Royals vs Yankees Picks & Odds (July 29)
By John Perrotto in MLB Baseball
Published:
- The Yankees are -350 home favorites over the Royals on Friday night
- Left-hander Kris Bubic (2-6, 5.53) will start for Kansas City against Gerrit Cole (9-3, 3.09)
- A look at the matchup and odds can be found below with a pick
The American League East-leading New York Yankees host the Kansas City Royals, the last-place team in the AL Central, at 7:05 p.m. ET Friday in the second game of a four-game series at Yankee Stadium.
The Yankees (67-33/38-12 home) won just the third time in their last eight games as they edged the Royals 1-0 on Thursday night. The Royals (39-60/17-30 road) are on a three-game losing streak and 3-7 in their last 10.
Royals vs Yankees Odds
| Team | Moneyline | Runline | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Kansas City Royals | +275 | +2.5 (-110) | Over 8 (-115) |
| New York Yankees | -350 | -2.5 (-110) | Under 8 (-105) |
Odds as of July 28th at BetMGM.
As -350 favorites, the Yankees have a 77.78% implied win probability. The Yankees are the second choice in the World Series odds at +380, just behind the Los Angeles Dodgers (+360), while the Royals’ odds are +200000.
The weather forecast calls for a 40% chance of showers or thunderstorms at gametime. The temperature is expected to be 86 degrees at first pitch with a low of 73 along with cloudy skies and northwest wind from 7-10 mph.
Royals vs Yankees Probable Pitchers
Left-hander Kris Bubic (2-6, 5.53) is scheduled to pitch for the Royals against Gerrit Cole (9-3, 3.09). Bubic will be working on four days of rest and Cole on five.
Cole’s AL Cy Young Award odds are +850.
Bubic vs Cole
| 2-6 | Record | 9-3 |
| 5.53 | ERA | 3.09 |
| 5.72 | xERA | 3.04 |
| 1.65 | WHIP | 1.02 |
| 1.49 | SO/W | 4.78 |
Bubic ended a five-start winless streak his last time out when he beat the Tampa Bay Rays on Sunday in Kansas City. He allowed just two runs and four hits in seven innings while striking out four and walking three.
A breath of fresh air for Royals fans everywhere!
7 IP
4 K
4 H
3 BB
2 ERKris Bubic was Excellent!#Royals | #TogetherRoyal pic.twitter.com/YZ72Oy5y3m
— Royals Daily (@RoyalsDaily_) July 24, 2022
Bubic is 1-0 with a 2.29 ERA in his last three starts.
Against the Yankees in his career, Bubic is 0-1 with a 3.68 ERA in two games (one starts). He has pitched at Yankee Stadium only once, working 2.1 scoreless relief innings last season.
On the road this season, Bubic has a 1-2 record and 4.60 ERA in seven games (six starts). He is 1-3 with a 6.62 ERA in eight games (seven starts) at night. The Royals have a 5-10 record in his starts.
Cole’s three-game winning streak ended last Saturday with a loss to the Orioles in Baltimore. He was charged with four runs (three earned) in six innings while giving up nine hits and two walks to go with six strikeouts.
In his last three outings, Cole is 1-1 with a 2.25 ERA.
https://twitter.com/Low_rax/status/1549561682703355909
Cole has been tough on the Royals in his career, compiling a 4-1 record and 2.06 ERA in six starts.
Cole is 4-2 with a 2.09 ERA at home in 10 starts this season and 6-2 with a 3.66 ERA in 13 starts at night. The Yankees are 14-6 when he takes the hill.
Batting Average vs Starting Pitchers
| Royals Batters | Batting Average vs Gerrit Cole |
|---|---|
| Bobby Witt Jr. | .333 |
| Whit Merrifield | .250 |
| Michael A. Taylor | .250 |
| Nicky Lopez | .167 |
| Hunter Dozier | .154 |
| Ryan O’Hearn | .111 |
| Kyle Isbel | .000 |
| Yankees Batters | Batting Average vs Kris Bubic |
| Jose Trevino | 1.000 |
| Marwin Gonzalez | .500 |
| Anthony Rizzo | .500 |
| Aaron Hicks | .500 |
| Josh Donaldson | .273 |
| DJ LeMahieu | .250 |
| Kyle Higashiola | .000 |
| Isiah Kiner-Falefa | .000 |
| Gleyber Torres | .000 |
| Aaron Judge | .000 |
| Tim Locastro | .000 |
| Joey Gallo | — |
The Royals’ Hunter Dozier is just 2 for 13 (.154) against Cole, though the hits are a double and home run. Yankees utility player Marwin Gonzalez could get a start since he is 3 for 6 with a double off Bubic.
Royals vs Yankees Betting Outlook
A walk-off home run by the Yankees’ Aaron Judge in the ninth inning accounted for the game’s lone run and lifted New York over the Royals on Thursday night.
Judge’s blast was one of just two hits by the Yankees and his third game-ending homer of the season.
He done did it… again. @TheJudge44 🔥 pic.twitter.com/7c7j7Ql098
— New York Yankees (@Yankees) July 29, 2022
Andrew Benintendi joined the Yankees a day after being acquired from the Royals in a trade. He started in left field and went 0 for 4 with a strikeout.
Whit Merrifield had two of the Royals’ four hits.
Royals rookie shortstop Bobby Witt Jr. missed his fourth straight game with a hamstring injury. He went through a full workout prior to the game and could return to action Friday.
Kyle Isbel played left field following the departure of Benintendi and fellow rookie Vinny Pasquantino was the designated hitter after missing one game with right thumb discomfort. Isbel was 0 for 3 and Pasquantino went 1 for 4.
Kyle Isbel out on a 𝑔𝑒𝑛𝑒𝑟𝑜𝑢𝑠 strike 3 call by Ramon De Jesus to end the top half#Royals 0 #Yankees 0 🔻2 pic.twitter.com/0rymiHw2Gl
— Sᴘᴏʀᴛs 24/7 (@Sports_24x7_) July 28, 2022
The Yankees have won all four games against the Royals this season and are 44-21 versus Kansas City since 2012.
Royals vs Yankees Last 10 Games
| Date | Home Team | Away Team | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 7/28/22 | Yankees | Royals | NYY, 1-0 |
| 5/1/22 | Royals | Yankees | NYY, 6-4 |
| 4/30/22 | Royals | Yankees | NYY, 3-0 |
| 4/29/22 | Royals | Yankees | NYY, 12-2 |
| 8/11/21 | Royals | Yankees | NYY, 5-2 |
| 8/10/21 | Royals | Yankees | KC, 8-4 |
| 8/9/21 | Royals | Yankees | NYY, 8-6 |
| 6/24/21 | Yankees | Royals | NYY, 8-1 |
| 6/23/21 | Yankees | Royals | NYY, 6-5 |
| 6/22/21 | Yankees | Royals | KC, 6-5 |
Royals vs Yankees Prediction
The lightbulb seems to be going off for the 24-year-old Bubic. However, it’s tough to bet against Cole and the Yankees at home – even at such big odds.
Pick: Yankees -350 ML
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Sports Writer
John Perrotto has been covering and writing about sports for various outlets for over 40 years. His work has appeared in the likes of USA TODAY, ESPN.com, SI.com, Forbes.com, The Associated Press, Baseball Digest, and more. John is based out of Beaver Falls, PA.
