Celtics vs Warriors Game 5 Odds, Lines, Picks

• The Celtics vs Warriors Game 5 odds favor Golden State by 3.5-points on Monday, June 13 at 9:10pm ET
• The best-of-7 series is tied 2-2 after the Warriors earned a 107-97 victory in Game 4
• Read below for the Celtics vs Warriors Game 5 odds, analysis, and betting prediction

The NBA Finals is down to a best-of-3. Golden State squared the series at two in Boston on Friday night, regaining home court advantage in the process.

The scene now shifts back to the Bay Area on Monday, where oddsmakers are expecting the Warriors to seize control of the series in Game 5.

Celtics vs Warriors Game 5 Odds

Odds as of June 11th from FanDuel Sportsbook. 

Golden State is currently a 3.5-point favorite, in a contest that features a total of 212. Tip-off is scheduled for 9:10pm ET at the Chase Center in San Francisco, with ABC providing the broadcast coverage.

As for the series market, there’s been a seismic shift in the NBA Championship odds. Boston entered Game 4 as a -240 favorite to raise the Larry O’Brien Trophy for a record breaking 18th time, but after the Warriors stole the contest on the road, Steph Curry and Co. are -130 favorites.

Celtics vs Warriors Betting Analysis

Speaking of Curry, all the talk prior to Game 4 centered around how his foot would hold up after getting rolled up on by Al Horford towards the end of Game 3. The injury forced Curry to miss the final few minutes of that contest, but on Friday night he looked as good as new.

Curry splashed 43 points, on 14-of-26 shooting, finishing with a game-high seven three’s. He also grabbed 10 boards, becoming just the fifth guard in Finals history with 40+ points and 10 rebounds in a game.

Steph Curry is averaging:

34.3 pts
6.3 reb
3.8 ast
2.0 stl
50.0 FG%
49.0 3P%
85.7 FT%
66.4 TS%

Against the NBA’s #1 defense 🐐 pic.twitter.com/dhPzHwC2wO

— ³⁰ (@StephMuse_) June 11, 2022

Golden State actually trailed by 5 points with just over six minutes to play, but closed the game on a 21-6 run to snatch victory from the jaws of defeat. In the process, they held Boston to just two field goals over the final seven minutes, and outscored the Celtics 13-0 in clutch time.

Klay Thompson poured in 18 points, including four triples, while Andrew Wiggins added 17 points and 16 boards. Draymond Green, who was pulled for stretches in the final frame due to ineffectiveness on offense, made one of the plays of the night late in the game, pulling down an offensive board before setting up Kevon Looney for a backbreaking lay-up.

Huge sequence by Draymond Green in the 4th:

1. Instead of taking a contested floater, he fires a pass leading to a Klay 3

2. Grabs the board and locates Steph

3. Screens then makes a perfect read on the short roll to find Looney

Everyone made the extra pass. Vintage Warriors. pic.twitter.com/J6oCVDvPiM

— Kevin O'Connor (@KevinOConnorNBA) June 11, 2022

Jayson Tatum wound up leading the Celtics with 23 points, but it was far from an efficient effort. Tatum made just 8-of-23 attempts and committed six turnovers. He’s now shooting a measly 34% in the Finals, after burying 48% of his looks in the Eastern Conference Final.

Jayson Tatum FG% this Finals:

— 34.1% overall
— 26.5% in 2nd half
— 25.0% in 4th quarter pic.twitter.com/zcfilrO32h

— StatMuse (@statmuse) June 11, 2022

Jaylen Brown put up 21 points for Boston, while Marcus Smart added 18. A game after combining 77 points, Boston’s Big Three managed only 62 points, while Horford and Robert Williams III combined for just 15 points.

Another area of concern for the Celtics was their willingness to settle for jumpers. They attacked the rim relentlessly in Game 3 scoring 52 points in the paint, but a game later they managed 20 points less in that area.

Celtics vs Warriors Pick

Golden State’s Game 4 win preserved their perfect record following a loss this postseason. The Warriors are now 6-0 following a defeat, with an average margin of victory of 14.5 points.

Not to be outdone, Boston is also perfect off a loss during the playoffs. The Celtics are 7-0 after a defeat, with an average win margin of 15.5 points.

gotta keep being aggressive pic.twitter.com/z9Dymabp16

— Boston Celtics (@celtics) June 11, 2022

So you should just blindly bet Boston in Game 5 right? Not so fast. Now that Golden State has its mojo back and is returning home, expect the Warriors to be firing on all cylinders.

They have an offensive rating that is 10 points higher at the Chase Center than on the road, and an effective shooting percentage that is four points higher.

The Celtics, meanwhile, actually perform better offensively on the road than at TD Garden. Their offensive rating is higher as a visitor than at home, while each of their Big Three have been more efficient shooting the ball in their opponent’s arena.

Expect Tatum to revert back to the offensive form he showed versus Miami, and for both teams to put up big totals at the offensive end.

Pick: Over 212 (-115)