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Dallas Mavericks vs OKC Thunder Predictions, Player Props & Best Odds (Dec. 10)

Sascha Paruk

By Sascha Paruk in NBA Basketball

Published:


Dallas Mavericks guard Kyrie Irving battles for the ball against Oklahoma City Thunder guard Luguentz Dort
Nov 17, 2024; Oklahoma City, Oklahoma, USA; Dallas Mavericks guard Kyrie Irving (11) moves the ball between Oklahoma City Thunder guard Luguentz Dort (5) and forward Kenrich Williams (34) during the second half at Paycom Center. Mandatory Credit: Alonzo Adams-Imagn Images
  • Luka Doncic and the Dallas Mavericks visit Shai Gilgeous-Alexander and the OKC Thunder in the NBA Cup quarterfinals on Tuesday
  • The Mavericks have won three in a row against the Thunder dating back to last year’s playoffs
  • See the Mavericks vs Thunder predictions, player props, and best odds for Dec. 10

A rematch from last year’s playoffs highlights the NBA Cup quarterfinals on Tuesday night as the Dallas Mavericks (16-8,8-5 away, 14-9-1 ATS) visit the OKC Thunder (18-5, 9-2 home, 14-9 ATS) at the Paycom Center at 8:40 pm CT/9:40 pm ET. Despite a run of three straight setbacks to Dallas, OKC is a 4.5-point favorite in Tuesday’s NBA odds.

Dallas Mavericks vs OKC Thunder Predictions

  • Mavericks +4.5 (-110) at ESPN Bet
  • Doncic over 28.5 points (-120) at DraftKings
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Not only have the Mavericks been hot against OKC, they’re also the hottest team in the NBA overall entering play on Tuesday. Dallas has won seven straight games, three without Luka Doncic (28.7 PPG, 8.3 RPG, 8.1 APG), including a trio of wins over teams that are currently above .500 (Atlanta, Memphis, New York). Since Luka returned from a wrist injury on Dec. 1, he’s averaged 31.0 PPG, 10.0 RPG, and 9.5 APG in four straight wins.

In other words, the preseason favorite in the NBA MVP odds has picked up where he left off.

Fading the Thunder has been a dangerous proposition this season. Not only are they the top seed in the West right now, two games clear of Memphis, they also have the seventh-best ATS record in the Association at 14-9. Yet this Dallas team just seem to have OKC’s number. They went 2-1 straight-up in Oklahoma City during last year’s playoffs (winning the best-of-seven four games to two) and already beat the Thunder 121-119 in OKC this season without Luka.

YouTube video

The spread of 4.5 points is not insignificant. Dallas has a great chance to win this one straight-up, and I love them getting a handful of points.

DAL vs OKC Player Props

Player Points Rebounds Assists Three-Pointers Made
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander (OKC) 30.5 (Ov -120 | Un -110) 4.5 (Ov -148 | Un +115) 5.5 (Ov -148 | Un +115) 1.5 (Ov -146 | Un +114)
Luka Doncic (DAL) 28.5 (Ov -120 | Un -110) 8.5 (Ov -120 | Un -110) 8.5 (Ov +110 | Un -142) 1.5 (Ov -146 | Un +114)
Kyrie Irving (DAL) 21.5 (Ov -125 | Un -105) 4.5 (Ov +126 | Un -162) 4.5 (Ov -110 | Un -120) 2.5 (Ov -125 | Un -102)
Jalen Williams (OKC) 21.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115) 5.5 (Ov -120 | Un -110) 4.5 (Ov -130 | Un -100) 1.5 (Ov -130 | Un +102)
Klay Thompson (DAL) 12.5 (Ov -110 | Un -120) 2.5 (Ov -154 | Un +120) OFF 3.5 (Ov -136 | Un +106)
PJ Washington (DAL) 11.5 (Ov -120 | Un -110) 6.5 (Ov -125 | Un -105) OFF OFF
Isaiah Hartenstein (OKC) 11.5 (Ov -105 | Un -125) 11.5 (Ov -120 | Un -110) OFF OFF
Daniel Gafford (DAL) 10.5 (Ov +105 | Un -135) 6.5 (Ov -130 | Un -100) OFF OFF
Luguentz Dort (OKC) 9.5 (Ov -120 | Un -110) 3.5 (Ov -142 | Un +110) OFF 2.5 (Ov +122 | Un -156)
Derrick Lively Jr (DAL) 8.5 (Ov -110 | Un -120) OFF OFF OFF
Aaron Wiggins (OKC) 7.5 (Ov -110 | Un -120) OFF OFF 1.5 (Ov +136 | Un -174)
Alex Caruso (OKC) 7.5 (Ov -110 | Un -120) 2.5 (Ov -162 | Un +162) OFF OFF
Isaiah Joe (OKC) 7.5 (Ov -110 | Un -120) OFF 3.5 (Ov -148 | Un +115) 2.5 (Ov -118 | Un -108)
Cason Wallace (OKC) 6.5 (Ov -120 | Un -110) 3.5 (Ov +120 | Un -154) OFF OFF

NBA player props from FanDuel on Dec. 10

SGA leads the Mavericks vs Thunder props at with a point total of 30.5. Doncic has the highest total on the Mavs’ side at 28.5. OKC early-season acquisition Isaiah Hartenstein has the highest rebound total at 11.5, three higher than any other player on the board. Hartenstein was picked up in an effort to fill Chet Holmgren’s minutes while the Thunder center works his way back from a hip injury.

Best Mavericks vs Thunder Odds

Team Spread Moneyline Total
DAL Mavericks +4.5 (-110) at ESPN Bet +155 at bet365 Over 230.5 (-105) at FanDuel
OKC Thunder -4.5 (-108) at DraftKings -180 at Caesars Under 231.5 (-110) at BetMGM

The Mavericks/Thunder spread is currently OKC -4.5 across the board with only slight variations in the odds. The vast majority of books have the line at -110 both ways, but OKC bettors can get the Thunder -4.5 at -108 at DraftKings.

On the moneyline, bet365 and ESPN Bet have the best price on Orlando winning straight-up at +155, while Caesars and DraftKings have the best OKC moneyline at -180.

There is a bigger range when it comes to the total. The O/U is as high as 231.5 (O -105/U -115) at BetMGM and as low as 230.5 (O -110 / U -110) at FanDuel.

Tuesday’s NBA public betting percentages illustrate two contrasting trends; the Thunder are getting 74% of moneyline handle but the Mavericks are getting 72% of ATS handle as 4.5-point underdogs.

Sascha Paruk
Sascha Paruk

Managing Editor

Sascha has been working in the sports-betting industry since 2014, and quickly paired his strong writing skills with a burgeoning knowledge of probability and statistics. He holds an undergraduate degree in linguistics and a Juris Doctor from the University of British Columbia.

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