Hawks vs Heat Game 1 Odds and Picks
- The Heat are 6.5-point home favorites over the Hawks on Sunday in Game 1 of their Eastern Conference first-round series
- The Heat are the No. 1 seed after going 53-29 in the regular season
- A look at the Hawks vs Heat odds and matchup can be found below with a prediction
The well-rested Miami Heat host the Atlanta Hawks in Game 1 of their Eastern Conference first-round series at 1 pm ET Sunday at FTX Arena.
The top-seeded Heat (53-29/29-12 home) haven’t played since last Sunday when they closed the regular season by losing to the Magic 125-111 in Orlando. Conversely, the Hawks (45-39/17-25 road) beat the Cavaliers 107-101 in the play-in tournament Friday night in Cleveland.
Hawks vs Heat Odds
| Team | Moneyline | Spread | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Atlanta Hawks | +215 | +6.5 (-106) | Over 217 (-110) |
| Miami Heat | -260 | -6.5 (-114) | Under 217 (-110) |
Odds as of April 16th at FanDuel.
The Heat are 6.5-point favorites in a game that will be televised by TNT. As -260 picks on the moneyline, they have an implied win probability of 72.22%.
Hawks Betting Outlook
The Hawks have won three in a row both straight-up and against the spread. However, they are 15-27 ATS in road games this season.
Trae Young led the way as the Hawks rallied from a 10-point deficit to beat the Cavaliers on Friday night. He scored 32 points in the second half – 16 in each quarter – and finished with nine assists.
Trae Young scored or assisted on 43 of 56 second half points for the Hawks, accounting for more points than the Cavaliers had in the 2nd half (40). pic.twitter.com/gljMBowFYX
— ESPN Stats & Info (@ESPNStatsInfo) April 16, 2022
Young was third in the NBA in scoring in the regular season with 28.4 points a game and third in assists with a 9.7 average.
Bogdan Bogdanovic contributed 19 points off the bench while Danilo Gallinari finished with 14 points, Kevin Huerter added 13 points and De’Andre Hunter chipped in with 10 points.
Hunter, though, missed all five three-point attempts. The Hawks were just 9 for 31 (29.0%) beyond the arc.
Clint Capela (knee) was injured in the second quarter and did not return. He has been ruled out for Sunday.
Capela pulled down 11.9 rebounds a game in the regular season, the fourth-best mark in the league.
Praying for Clint Capela 🙏 pic.twitter.com/q7UUtjKIRe
— Fanatics Sportsbook (@FanaticsBook) April 16, 2022
The Hawks were also without John Collins (finger, foot) and Lou Williams (back). Both have been ruled out for Game 1.
Atlanta averaged a league-low 11.9 turnovers a game in the regular season and its offensive rating of 116.5 was second. The Hawks were 26th in defensive rating, though, allowing 114.9 points per 100 possessions.
Heat Betting Outlook
The Heat had their six-game winning streak ended at Orlando on Sunday when coach Erik Spoelstra rested four starters. That also ended a six-game ATS win streak for Miami, which is 21-20 at home versus the number this season.
While the Heat were 10th in offensive rating (113.7), they finished the regular season with seven players averaging double figures in scoring. They currently have the sixth-best NBA Championship odds.
Jimmy Butler led the way as he had another fine all-round season with averages of 21 points, 5.9 rebounds, 5.5 assists and 1.65 steals.
— Austin (@ChefTrillie) April 15, 2022
Tyler Herro is the favorite in the Sixth Man of the Year odds after averaging 20.7 points, 5.0 rebounds and 4.0 assists. The Heat believe they have a Defensive Player of the Year candidate in Bam Adebayo, who averaged a double-double with 19.1 points and 10.1 rebounds.
Herro (knee) is on the injury report but is expected to play. Dewayne Dedmon (ankle), Markieff Morris (hip) and P.J. Tucker (calf) are questionable.
An encouraging sign in Sunday’s loss was the play of Victor Oladipo, who had 40 points, 10 rebounds and seven assists while making 5 of 11 three-pointers. The two All-Star played just eight games in the regular season while recovering form quadriceps surgery but could be a factor off the bench in the playoffs.
Victor Oladipo losses defender with the STEP-BACK 👏pic.twitter.com/ajHGqOX7me
— Heat Nation (@HeatNationCP) April 11, 2022
Two deep reserves also had strong performances as Javonte Smart scored 20 points and Haywood Highsmith finished with 16 points.
Hawks vs Heat Recent History
The Heat won three of four games against the Hawks in the regular season, including both games in Miami. The teams last played just over a week ago on April 8 and the Heat notched a 113-109 victory on their home floor.
Adebayo led the Heat with 24 points, Butler added 20 and Kyle Lowry finished with 16. Miami shot 55.6% (40 of 72) overall and 42.3% (11 of 26) on threes.
Young had 35 points and eight assists for the Hawks while Bogdanovic added 25 points and Capela had a double-double with 17 points and 14 rebounds. Capela helped the Hawks to a 43-33 advantage on the boards while Atlanta also forced 17 turnovers.
Hawks vs Heat Prediction
Normally this would be a spot to bet on the well-rested Heat. However, the Hawks have some momentum going and should keep it close.
The Pick: Hawks +6.5 (-106)
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John Perrotto has been covering and writing about sports for various outlets for over 40 years. His work has appeared in the likes of USA TODAY, ESPN.com, SI.com, Forbes.com, The Associated Press, Baseball Digest, and more. John is based out of Beaver Falls, PA.
