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Lakers vs Mavericks Predictions & Odds (Feb. 26)

Robert Duff

by Robert Duff in NBA Basketball

Updated Feb 25, 2023 · 5:53 PM PST

Luka Doncic scoring over LeBron James
Jan 12, 2023; Los Angeles, California, USA; Dallas Mavericks guard Luka Doncic (77) moves to the basket against Los Angeles Lakers forward LeBron James (6) during overtime at Crypto.com Arena. Mandatory Credit: Gary A. Vasquez-USA TODAY Sports
  • The Dallas Mavericks are four-point home favorites over the Los Angeles Lakers in an NBA game scheduled for Sunday, February 26
  • Dallas is 7-0 against the spread in the last seven meetings with the Lakers
  • With Dallas 1-4-1 ATS in their last six at home, check out the Lakers vs Mavericks odds

Will the new-look Los Angeles Lakers (28-32, 28-31-3 ATS) have any better luck against the new-look Dallas Mavericks (32-39, 22-36-3 ATS) than the older version of the club enjoyed?

Dallas has owned the Lakers in recent meetings. The Mavericks are 6-1 straight up and 7-0 against the spread in the past seven games against LeBron James and company.

However, both teams engineered blockbuster moves right before the NBA trade deadline that have certainly changed the look of who each club is putting on the floor.

Oddsmakers aren’t being swayed by the respective shake ups. They’re sticking with the Mavericks, who are set as four-point home favorites for this game. Dallas is 5-0 ATS in the last five at home when facing the Lakers.

Lakers vs Mavericks Odds

Team Spread Moneyline Total
Los Angeles Lakers +4 (-110) +152 O 237 (-110)
Dallas Mavericks -4 (-110) -180 U 237 (-110)

The Mavericks opened up as 4-point favorites in the NBA odds. Currently, the total is set at 237 points. The total has gone over in four of the last five Dallas games. However, the under was the winning play in four of the last five Lakers vs Mavericks games.

This game is being broadcast by ABC in the USA and the NBA League Pass in Canada. Tip-off is scheduled for 3:30pm ET at the American Airlines Center.

Despite not even being in a playoff position, the Lakers are the 11th betting choice in the NBA championship odds at +3000. Oddsmakers are setting +250 odds that Dallas will be participating in an NBA Play-In Game.

 

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Odds as of February 25 at Caesars Sportsbook.

Lakers vs Mavericks Betting Trends

The public is completely on board with the favored Mavericks. Dallas is drawing 80% of handle and 55% of bets in the NBA public spread slots. On the moneyline numbers, Dallas is getting 58% of handle and 60% of bets.

The public is going with the over on the total. It’s getting 71% of handle and 64% of bets.

Los Angeles vs Dallas Injury Report

In the NBA starting lineups for the Lakers as they beat Golden State in their last game, 60% of the starters consisted of newcomers to the team. DeAngelo Russell (Minnesota) and Jarred Vanderbilt and Malik Beasley (Utah), acquired in the Russell Westbrook deal, all were on the floor to start the game.

That’s likely to change on Sunday afternoon. Russell (ankle) is doubtful to play. Two other starters – power forward Anthony Davis (foot) and small forward James – are listed as probable for the Lakers.

Power forward Maxi Kleber (hamstring) and small forward David Bertans (calf) are out for the Mavericks. Kleber has been out since Dec. 13.

Reconfigured Lakers Still Rely On LeBron

King James is defying logic and Father Time. Recently crowned as the NBA’s all-time scoring leader, at 38 James is averaging 28.6 points, 8.4 rebounds and 7.0 assists per game. In a January home game against Dallas, he just missed out on a triple-double. James finished with 24 points, 16 rebounds and nine assists.

He scored 38 points against the Mavericks on Christmas Day at Dallas.

The status of Davis is intriguing. The Lakers are certainly a different team when he’s healthy and playing. He’s missed 24 games through injury this season. However,  Davis is averaging 21.8 points and 12.5 rebounds in the last 11 games. He’s also blocking nearly two shots per game.

Mavericks Sacrificing Defense For Offense?

In their first three games in the backcourt together, Doncic and Irving have ramped up the Dallas offense. The Mavericks are averaging 130.3 points. However, in each of the last five games, the opposition has made at least 50% of their shots. Opponents are scoring a minimum of 114 points in each of those last five Dallas games.

Signed from the pre-All-Star game buyout market, shooting guard Justin Holiday came through big-time in his Dallas debut on Thursday. He was good for 15 points off the bench. Holiday hit five-of-six from beyond the arc.

Lakers vs Mavericks Prediction

Vanderbilt will be drawing the assignment of guarding Doncic, the NBA scoring leader (33.2 ppg) and one of the top contenders in the NBA MVP odds. As much as recent outcomes seem to be making a bet on the Dallas to cover the point spread as the logical conclusion, the over is also a good play here.

Dallas is both scoring and coughing up points of late. Only three NBA teams are allowing more points per game than the Lakers (118.1).

Pick: Over 237 points (-110)

 

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