Thunder vs Spurs Predictions, Best Bets & Splits for Game 3

• The scene shifts to San Antonio as the Spurs host the Thunder in Game 3 of the West Finals
• The Spurs boast a sturdy 4-1 straight-up record as favorites over their last five games
• Read below for the latest Thunder vs Spurs odds, best bets and my expert prediction

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It’s a pivotal Game 3 in the Western Conference Finals.

The OKC Thunder and San Antonio Spurs are in the midst of a heavyweight tilt, throwing big haymakers in splitting the first two games of this best-of-7 series.

The scene shifts to San Antonio, where the books are wary of going against the defending champs, pegging the Spurs as very slight favorites in the NBA odds.

Tip-off is scheduled Friday night at 8:30pm ET from the Frost Bank Center in San Antonio, with NBC and Peacock broadcasting nationally.

Read below as I share my Thunder vs Spurs prediction, best bets, odds and betting splits for Game 3.

Thunder vs Spurs Prediction

• Pick: Spurs ML (-125 at DraftKings)

What does getting a leg up in Game 3 of a tied series mean in the NBA Playoffs?

In NBA playoff history, teams that win Game 3 of a best-of-seven series tied 1-1 go on to win the series approximately 74.2% of the time, holding an all-time series record of 198-69.

Both of these teams will seek that all important victory with compromised rosters.

For the Spurs, De’Aaron (ankle) has yet to play in the series, removing a primary and crunch-time scoring threat from the lineup. Making matters worse, Dylan Harper (leg) was forced to exit Game 2 is also day-to-day.

On the other side, the status of Jalen Williams isuffered a hamstring injury in Game 2, leaving him day-to-day and putting his availability in serious jeopardy. Losing their most reliable secondary scorer would leave a massive void in the starting five.

In th end, that means more scoring burden on stars Victor Wembanyama and Shai Gilgeous-Alexander.

The Spurs thrive when oddsmakers expect them to win, boasting a dominant 4-1 record as a favorite over their last five games.

They are also a reliable 7-3 against the spread over their last 10 playoff outings. While the Thunder are a respectable 3-1-0 ATS as an underdog recently, the home team’s ability to consistently win outright makes laying the chalk on the moneyline the smarter play.

Thunder vs Spurs Best Bets

Total Pick: Over 217.5 Points (-110 at DraftKings): If there is one absolute certainty in this matchup, it is that both offenses consistently outperform expectations. The Over has cashed in each of the last five Spurs games. Furthermore, the over is a perfect 5-0 in the Thunder’s last five games when playing as an underdog.

Best Prop Pick: Gilgeous-Alexander Over 30.5 points (-125 at DraftKings): The Thunder rely heavily on their superstar guard to generate offense, especially in hostile road environments. Given the expectation of a high-scoring affair as indicated by the total trends — and Williams potentially sidelined again for this game and series — Gilgeous-Alexander will need to absorb a massive volume of shot attempts and splash plenty of buckets to keep the visitors within striking distance.

Thunder vs Spurs Odds and Betting Splits

The graphic above shows the best available odds, which are subject to change. Don’t forget to use theScore Bet promo code to bet on Thunder vs Spurs Game 3.

San Antonio is just a -124 moneyline favorite at FanDuel and are also getting -110 odds to cover a 1.5-point spread.

Oklahoma City is getting a rare 2.5 points on the road at BetMGM, while winning outright pays out at +110 odds at bet365.

Looking at the NBA Public Betting Trends, the public is hammering the Spurs as 1.5-point favorites, with 79% of the money and 74% of the bets headed that way.

The public is leaning heavy on the Spurs on the moneyline as well, with 69% of the bets and 61% of the money on San Antonio at -125.

But the overwhelming number is the total, a near unanimous betting side taking the Over at 217.5 points, with a whopping 98% of the bets and 99% of the money.