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Alabama vs San Diego State Odds & Predictions (March 24)

Nick Holz

by Nick Holz in College Basketball

Updated Mar 23, 2023 · 5:39 PM PDT

Alabama players react in celebration on the bench
Mar 18, 2023; Birmingham, AL, USA; Alabama center Charles Bediako (14) reacts to a basket by substitute Alabama guard Delaney Heard (12) at Legacy Arena during the second round of the NCAA Tournament. Alabama advanced to the Sweet Sixteen with a 73-51 win over Maryland. Mandatory Credit: Gary Cosby Jr.-Tuscaloosa News Ncaa Basketball March Madness Alabama Vs Maryland
  • NCAA tournament favorites Alabama battle San Diego State in the Sweet 16 on Friday, March 24th
  • Alabama have covered the spread in 4 of 5 games
  • Explore all the Alabama vs San Diego State odds and predictions below

The top-seeded Alabama Crimson Tide (31-5, 16-2 SEC) take on the San Diego State Aztecs (29-6, 15-3 Mountain West) in NCAA tournament Sweet 16 action. Thankfully there is a ton of value on betting the Sweet 16, beginning with Alabama vs San Diego State.

Alabama enters this one after blowing out Maryland 73-51 in the round of 32. The Terrapins offered little resistance to the Tide’s offensive onslaught as Alabama cruised to victory.

Similarly, San Diego State easily dispatched Furman from the NCAA tournament with a 75-52 victory.

Alabama vs San Diego State tips off at 6:40pm ET from the KFC Yum Center in Louisville, Kentucky on Friday, March 24th. Before you place your bets, take a look at the odds and our best Alabama vs San Diego State wagers below.

Alabama vs San Diego State Odds

Team Spread Moneyline Total
Alabama -7.5 -340 Over 137 (-110)
San Diego State +7.5 +280 Under 137 (-110)

Alabama are 7.5-point spread favorites, and -340 on the moneyline in Friday’s college basketball odds. While the San Diego State Aztecs come back as +280 moneyline underdogs. The total for this Alabama vs San Diego State match up is set at a pedestrian 137.

The winner of #1 Alabama vs #5 San Diego State will face either #6 Creighton or #15 Princeton in the Elite 8 of the March Madness bracket.

 

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Can Alabama Roll through March Madness?

The top-seeded Alabama Crimson Tide are favorites to cut down the mesh in the updated odds to win the NCAA tournament.

Alabama have demolished the competition in March thus far. Averaging an astounding 84.5 points and winning each game by over 20 points. Freshman forward Brandon Miller dominated Maryland with 19 points and 7 rebounds to lead the Tide to victory. Miller paced Alabama all season, averaging 19.1 points and 8.2 rebounds for the Crimson Tide. An elite NBA prospect, Miller will be a critical piece of Alabama’s run towards the title.

According to KenPom, the Crimson Tide are the #2 ranked team in the nation in adjusted efficiency rating. Armed with the third-ranked defensive unit in the land, this Alabama team will be tough to outscore. Furthermore, the shooting splits make Alabama’s defense even more menacing, as the Crimson Tide’s opponents’ effective field goal percentage of 41.3 leads the country.

San Diego State Aims for Historic Upset

While underdogs in this Sweet 16 contest, these Aztecs are no push overs. Brian Dutcher’s squad has won six straight games, while coming away with the win in 13 of their last 15. Senior guard Matt Bradley leads the team with 13 points, 3.9 rebounds, and 2.1 assists per game this season.

Crucially, the Aztecs are one of the best defensive teams in the nation, allowing just 90.8 points per 100 possessions per KenPom. Additionally, San Diego State’s opponents are shooting just 28.7% from three this season.

Alabama love to shoot the three, chucking up nearly thirty attempts per game on the year. If the Aztecs can limit Alabama’s free-flowing offensive style and force the Crimson Tide to shoot contested threes, they should be able to stay in this game.

Alabama vs San Diego State Prediction

The magic number in this contest is 70. San Diego State is an elite 22-2 when holding opponents beneath the 70-point mark. While Alabama is 29-1 when putting up at least 70 points on the year. Notably, the Crimson Tide average 82.3 points per game on the season. Holding this Alabama team to under 70 points would be a monumental achievement for the Aztecs.

Although the San Diego State defense has been elite this season, Alabama is simply too long, too athletic, and too deep a team for the Aztecs to handle. Roll Tide.

Alabama vs San Diego State Pick: Alabama -7.5 (-110)

 


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