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Bradley Chubb has 6.5 Sacks in 4 Weeks, Still Not Top 3 in DROY Odds

Eric Rosales

by Eric Rosales in NFL Football

Updated Apr 6, 2020 · 7:42 AM PDT

Bradley Chubb Denver Broncos
Bradley Chubb is starting to produce the way everyone expected, racking up 6.5 sacks in his last four games. (Photo by Rich Graessle/Icon Sportswire)
  • Bradley Chubb has recorded 6.5 sacks in his last four games
  • But his odds to win 2018 NFL Defensive Rookie of the Year are still rather long
  • Find the best value bet for the DROY award

That noise you heard is Broncos linebacker Bradley Chubb making his case for Defensive Rookie of the Year – it’s the breath quarterbacks have been exhaling as he’s been taking them down at an increasingly effective rate as we reach the halfway point in the season.

But it’s apparently not enough noise, as he still find himself well behind the top three contenders for the award. (See the Top 4 tab in the graph below.)

Sure, he moved from average odds of +1400 to +900. But the guy has racked up 6.5 sacks in the last four weeks, and is now tied for sixth in the NFL with 8 on the season.

Is the minimal movement in his Defensive Rookie of the Year odds warranted?

2018 NFL DROY Odds

Player Team Pos Drafted Odds
Derwin James LAC S 17th Overall +130
Darius Leonard IND ILB 36th Overall +175
Denzel Ward CLE CB 4th Overall +350
Bradley Chubb DEN EDGE 5th Overall +900
Jaire Alexander GB CB 18th Overall +2000

*Follow the link in the table to see all available options

Is taking a flier on Chubb now worth the wager? Let’s delve into the defensive side of things, starting with a case for the standout Bronco.

Chubb Making an Impact on Defense

Questions about his ability early in the season should have been reserved after just five weeks of play. At that point, Chubb had just 1.5 sacks and had been held without a sack in three of the five games.

Now? He’s the top-five pick we expected. He showcased this with a destructive three-sack performance against the Rams, the league’s most high-octane offensive unit.

But with seven games to go on the season, he’ll have to push his number to somewhere near 15 or 16 sacks to be in the conversation, because the Broncos won’t be in any other discussion other than draft position.

And that’s probably what his main competitors (minus Denzel Ward – who is in the same position as Chubb with less fanfare) are holding over him.

James Playing a Key Factor on Surging Chargers

Quantifying impact is such a difficult task – particularly when discussing players at different positions with different responsibilities. But make no mistake: Chargers safety Derwin James is the real deal.

The Chargers have used James in many different ways, as seen by his 3.5 sacks on the year, and his six passes defensed and 37 solo tackles.

While Chubb has a three sack game against the Rams, James has been more solid and consistently great, and his biggest impact may be in the win column.

It’s safe to say he’s a key to the Bolts shedding that choker label and closing out games. At 6-2, they control their playoff destiny.

Leonard in Position to Lead Colts

Speaking of closing out games, the Colts have the makings of the 3-5 team with a legit run to the playoffs if they get it together.

Leonard is going to be a big part of that, and he has been already.

The guy is a volume producer, as he leads the league in tackles with 88, racking up four sacks and throwing in three forced fumbles along the way.

He has been a boon for the Colts, who now have an anchor to what has been a pretty disappointing defensive unit in the Andrew Luck era.

A playoff appearance would seriously give Leonard RDOY cred.


One thing is for sure, as well as Leonard and James have played, nothing is certain yet in this chase. Which is why Chubb is a must bet at +900.

Leonard’s game-in, game-out statistical performance has him in position to take the crown, and he would be my favorite, so James will need some more game-defining plays on his resume to hold him off.

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