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Buffalo Bills vs Miami Dolphins – Odds, Lines, Spread, and Picks NFL Week 3

Bryan Thiel

by Bryan Thiel in NFL Football

Sep 24, 2022 · 6:00 AM PDT

Tua Tagovailoa motions, Miami Dolphins
Sep 18, 2022; Baltimore, Maryland, USA; Miami Dolphins quarterback Tua Tagovailoa (1) calls a play at the line during the first half against the Baltimore Ravens at M&T Bank Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Tommy Gilligan-USA TODAY Sports
  • The Bills and Dolphins meet in Week 3 with first place in the AFC East on the line
  • 2022 Record: 2-2, -0.28 units
  • See the Bills vs Dolphins odds ahead of Week 3 in the 2022 NFL season

The two hottest teams in the NFL both reside in the AFC East. And they both meet in Week 3.

The Buffalo Bills are fresh off of a thrashing of the Titans in Week 3, following up their Week 1 win over the Rams. Miami, meanwhile, stunned the Ravens in Week 2. Entering the fourth quarter trailing 35-7, the Dolphins exploded to outscore Baltimore 28-3.

Now the two get set to do battle with a 3-0 record and top spot in the AFC East on the line. Kick off is set for 1 pm ET from Hard Rock Stadium.

Bills vs Dolphins Odds

Team Moneyline Spread Total
Buffalo Bills -230 -5.5 (-109) Ov 53.0 (-109)
Miami Dolphins +180 +5.5 (-112) Un 53.0 (-112)

Odds as of September 24th from Barstool Sportsbook. Be sure to check out the Barstool Sportsbook promo code ahead of kickoff on Sunday.

While both teams are undefeated, it’s little surprise that the Bills are road favorites in Miami. The fact is they’ve looked like the class of the NFL through two weeks.

NFL Public Betting continues to back the Bills heavily. For the second week in a row, they better than 75% on both the money and total bets when it comes to moneyline and spread. And once again the over is seeing significant action too.

Josh Allen’s 2022 NFL MVP Case

Josh Allen and the Bills have put on a show two weeks into the NFL season.

Buffalo hung 24 points on the Titans in the third quarter on Monday, coming out of halftime with a 17-7 lead. They pulled away in the second half against the Rams as well, outscoring the champs 21-0.

Through it all, the NFL MVP odds favorite has been humming along, peppering Stefon Diggs with targets the whole way.

Josh Allen vs Tua Tagovailoa

75.4% (3rd) Completion % 71.1% (7th)
614 (4th) Yards 739 (1st)
8.9 (T-4th) Yards-per-Attempt 8.9 (T-4th)
7 (T-1st) Touchdowns 7 (T-1st)
2 (T-8th)
Interceptions 2 (T-8th)
123.7 (2nd) Rating 116.5 (5th)

There wasn’t really anything special about Week 1 against New England for Tua. He followed that one touchdown effort up with six against the Ravens though, and 469 yards through the air to top it off.

Known for his accuracy, Tagovailoa is completing passes at the best rate of his career right now. In two seasons, his QB rating has never been better than 91. He’s 25 points better than that right now. His seven TDs make it nearly a certainty that he’ll top the career-best 16 he threw last year.

What may be more impressive is that Miami is doing it without a running game. They’ve run for the fifth-fewest yards, with the eighth-lowest YPC to this point in the season.

That may be a good thing considering the Bills are first and third in rushing yards allowed and YPC.

Bills vs Dolphins Injury Report

While all eyes are typically on the Bills offense, there should be plenty of attention paid to their defense on Sunday.

Micah Hyde has already been declared out for Sunday. So is starting cornerback Dane Jackson, while Jordan Poyer closed the week with a questionable designation.

Week 3 Injury Report

Bills Injury, Status Dolphins Injury, Status
Micah Hyde, S Neck, OUT Hunter Long, TE Ankle, OUT
Dane Jackson, CB Neck, OUT Cethan Carter, TE Concussion, OUT
Ed Oliver, DT Ankle, OUT Raekwon Davis, DL Knee, Questionable
Jordan Phillips, DT Hamstring, OUT Terron Armstead, OT Toe, Questionable
Gabe Davis, WR Ankle, Questionable Cedrick Wilson Jr, WR Ribs/Toe, Questionable
Dawson Knox, TE Foot, Questionable Xavien Howard, CB Groin, Questionable
Tim Settle, DT Calf, Questionable N/A N/A
Mitch Morse, OL Elbow, Questionable N/A N/A
Jordan Poyer, S Foot, Questionable N/A N/A

Howard earned a DNP designation on Wednesday before practicing on Thursday and Friday. Terron Armstead failed to practice all week, but head coach Mike McDaniel refused to rule him out for Sunday.

Bills vs Dolphins Pick

The Bills are riding a seven-game win streak against the Dolphins, which is kind of ridiculous when you consider how unpredictable division games can be.

So are the Dolphins due?

Probably not. There’s a reason the Bills sit atop the Super Bowl odds. But the injuries to Buffalo’s secondary do present an interesting opportunity for the Dolphins to put up points.

The Bills will get theirs consider how well Allen and Diggs are playing, but stopping Tyreek Hill and Jaylen Waddle may prove tricky.

Before the last two games failed to cross the 50 point mark, these two had combined to go over 55 in four of five. That’s why you should back the points on Sunday.

The Pick: Over 52.5 (-110); 1 unit

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