Detroit Lions vs San Francisco 49ers Public Betting and Money Percentages for NFL Playoffs
- Spread bettors are embracing the 7-point-underdog Detroit Lions over the San Francisco 49ers in NFL public betting for Sunday’s NFC Championship Game
- Moneyline handle is also solidly backing Detroit at odds of +275, while there is heavy action on the under for the total of 52 points
- See the Lions vs 49ers public betting splits and money percentages for Jan. 28
History and the oddsmakers may not be on the side of the Detroit Lions in Sunday’s NFC Championship Game against the San Francisco 49ers, but in NFL public betting, the people are giving the underdog Lions plenty of action.
Spread splits are showing the Lions getting 71% of handle and 71% of bets as 7-point away underdogs. Detroit hasn’t won in San Francisco since 1975.
At +275, Detroit is also pulling 68% of public moneyline handle in the Lions vs 49ers picks. The Lions have straight up lost 11 successive road playoff games. However, Detroit’s last away win in the NFL postseason was at San Francisco in 1957.
Over/under players are leaning strongly toward the under on the total of 52 points.
Taking a deeper look, let’s see what the data is telling us about the NFL public betting trends for the Lions vs 49ers NFC Championship Game.
Lions vs 49ers Betting Percentages
| Team | Spread | ATS Handle% | ATS Bet% | Total Points | O/U Handle% | O/U Bet% | Moneyline | ML Handle% | ML Bet% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Detroit Lions | +7 | 71% | 71% | 52 | 26% | 27% | +275 | 68% | 32% |
| San Francisco 49ers | -7 | 29% | 29% | 52 | 74% | 73% | -350 | 32% | 68% |
The 49ers are -200 moneyline favorites in the Detroit v San Francisco picks, giving them an 77.78% implied win probability. San Francisco was an NFC-best 12-5 straight up during the regular season.
Kickoff for this game at Levi’s Stadium on Sunday, January 28, is set for 6:40pm ET. The broadcast is being carried by FOX.
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Spreading the Love for Lions
The popularity that the Lions are holding in the public spread splits is understandable. Detroit is an NFL-leading 14-5 against the spread this season. As an away team, the Lions are 7-2, covering 77.8% of the time. Detroit is 2-1 as an away underdog.
Which offense are you taking on Sunday? 👀
📺: #DETvsSF – Sunday 6:30pm ET on FOX
📱: Stream on #NFLPlus pic.twitter.com/qCBhyTlJPn— NFL (@NFL) January 27, 2024
Meanwhile, the 49ers are dismal at covering as home favorites this season, going 3-6 ATS. That’s the worst mark among NFL playoff teams. San Francisco failed to cover in the NFL Division Round as the 10-point home chalk over Green Bay.
The Lions are 4-1 ATS in their last five games and 8-2 ATS over their past 10 road games. San Francisco is 0-6 ATS in the club’s last six home games and 2-4 ATS overall through the past six games played.
Moneyline Splits Are Split
The people are also sticking with the underdog Lions when it comes to moneyline handle action. Public betting splits are displaying 68% of moneyline splits on the handle are going with Detroit at +275.
At 14-5 straight up when you include playoff games, the Lions are actually a touch better than the 13-5 49ers. As a home team and as the home chalk, San Francisco is 6-3 SU. On the road, Detroit is 6-3 SU, but the Lions are just 1-2 SU as an away underdog.
However, the 49ers are pulling 68% of moneyline bets as -350 favorites. That could be because the Lions have lost 13 games in a row at San Francisco. Overall, Detroit is 1-11 SU in the past 12 games facing the 49ers. However, the Lions are 5-1 SU in their past six games this season. They are also 2-5 SU in the last five games against teams from the NFC West.
San Francisco is 8-2 SU through the past 10 games and 7-1 SU in the last eight meetings with an NFC opponent.
Total Action Going Under
When it comes to the total of 52 points, both the handle and bet splits are leaning solidly to the under. It’s getting 74% of handle and 73% of bets.
49ers-Lions total at #BetMGM
50.5: Open
51: Thursday
51.5: Friday
52: Today
73% of money is on the OVER pic.twitter.com/SznU9BQksN
— John Ewing (@johnewing) January 27, 2024
Detroit is 12-7 on the total this season, while San Francisco is 9-8-1. Both the 49ers as a home team and the Lions as a road team show a 5-4 mark on the over/under.
The over holds a slight 5-3 edge in San Francisco’s past eight games. At 4-2 over the past six games, the over is also maintaining the advantage in Detroit’s recent contests. Eight of the last 11 Lions games have hit the over.
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An industry veteran, Bob literally taught the course on the history of sports at Elder College. He has worked as a Sports Columnist for Postmedia, appeared as a guest on several radio stations, was the Vice President of the Society For International Hockey Research in Ontario, and written 25 books.
