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Julio Jones’ NFL Comeback Player of the Year Odds Still +7500 After Signing with Bucs; Is He Worth Betting?

Robert Duff

by Robert Duff in NFL Football

Jul 26, 2022 · 5:07 PM PDT

Julio Jones NFL CPOY odds
Jul 10, 2022; Hampton, Georgia, USA; Former Falcons receiver Julio Jones stands on the grid prior to the Quaker State 400 at Atlanta Motor Speedway. Mandatory Credit: Adam Hagy-USA TODAY Sports
  • Former All-Pro wide receiver Julio Jones is back in the NFL after signing with the Tampa Bay Buccaneers
  • However, this move didn’t move the needle on Jones’ NFL Comeback Player of the Year odds (+7500)
  • Tampa Bay is favored to win the AFC South title; is Jones worth a wager for NFL CPOY?

Five-time All-Pro and seven-time Pro Bowl selection Julio Jones is coming back to the NFL. So should you think about betting him in the NFL Comeback Player of the Year odds?

Good question. Oddsmakers appear to be expecting that you won’t be placing a wager on Jones in this NFL prop wager. He was listed at a betting line of +7500 when Jones was still an unemployed NFL wide receiver. Now that he’s officially a wideout on the roster of the Tampa Bay Buccaneers, Jones is still being offered at odds of +7500.

2022 NFL CPOY Odds

Player (Team) Odds
Derrick Henry (Titans) +400
Jameis Winston (Saints) +500
Christian McCaffrey (Panthers) +800
Baker Mayfield (Panthers) +1000
Chase Young (Commanders) +1600
Daniel Jones (Giants) +1600
Michael Thomas (Saints) +1600
Mitchell Trubisky (Steelers) +1600
Marcus Mariota (Falcons) +2000
Allen Robinson III (Rams) +2500
JK Dobbins (Ravens) +2500
JuJu Smith-Schuster (Chiefs) +3000
Cam Akers (Rams) +4000
Saquon Barkley (Giants) +4000
Drew Lock (Seahawks) +4000
Travis Etienne (Jaguars) +4000
Chris Godwin (Buccaneers) +5000
Robert Woods (Titans) +5000
Danielle Hunter (Vikings) +5000
Carl Lawson (Jets) +7500
DeAndre Hopkins (Cardinals) +7500
JJ Watt (Cardinals) +7500
Julio Jones (Buccaneers) +7500
Marcus Peters (Ravens) +7500
Odell Beckham Jr (Free Agent) +7500
Raheem Mostert (Dolphins) +7500
Tre’Davious White (Bills) +7500
Will Fuller (Free Agent) +7500
Brandon Graham (Eagles) +10000
Darrell Henderson (Rams) +10000
Gus Edwards (Ravens) +10000
Jaycee Horn (Panthers) +10000
Jeffrey Okudah (Lions) +10000
Marlon Humphrey (Ravens) +10000
Ronnie Stanley (Ravens) +10000

Odds as of July 26 at FanDuel Sportsbook. Get this FanDuel Sportsbook promo code before making your NFL bets



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At odds of +7500, Jones is being given an implied probability of victory of just 1.32%. A $10 wager on Jones would return a payout of $760 if he’s able to earn the NFL CPOY title.

Keeping Up With Jones

Jones has twice led the NFL in reception yardage. He did so most recently with the Atlanta Falcons in 2018.

As well, Jones caught an NFL-leading 136 passes in 2015. Three times, he’s led the league’s receivers in yards per touch.

However, of late, Jones hasn’t been keeping up with those numbers. Last season, he caught a career-low 31 balls in 10 games with the Tennessee Titans. His targets (48) and reception yardage (434) totals were also lows for Jones’ decade-long NFL career.

It was the third successive season in which his numbers dipped in all three of these statistical categories. The 33-year-old receiver has missed 14 games over the past two seasons due to injury.

Buccaneers Have Crowded Receivers Room

The Buccaneers are a deep team. They’re favored to win the division in the NFC South odds. Tampa Bay is the second betting choice in the Super Bowl odds.

Jones will be competing for playing time and the attention of Buccaneers quarterback Tom Brady with Chris Godwin and Mike Evans. Godwin caught a career-high 98 passes for 1,103 yards and five touchdowns last season. Evans snared 74 balls for 1,035 yards and 14 TDs.

Godwin is also an NFL CPOY candidate at odds of +5000. He’s returning after undergoing knee surgery for a torn ACL on Jan. 3. However, Godwin is good to go and will be in training camp with Tampa Bay.

Then you factor in running back Leonard Fournette. He caught 69 passes out of the backfield last season. Tampa Bay also added 11-year veteran tight Kyle Rudolph to replace the retired Rob Gronkowski. The fact of the matter is that Jones may find it hard to get his hands on the ball this season.

Better CPOY Candidates Than Jones

As great as Jones once was, it does seem like a long-ago memory. The recent returns give off all indications of a player whose career is in steady decline.

The best bet for NFL CPOY this season might just be the guy who oddsmakers are viewing as the best bet. That would be Tennessee Titans running back Derrick Henry.

Jones’ teammate a year ago, Henry lost much of the 2021 season to a broken foot. He’d led the NFL in rushing in each of the two prior seasons.

There’s much better value on the board than Jones. Washington Commanders defensive end Chase Young (+1600) could be in for a monster year. Receiver Allen Robinson (+2500) is moving into the Los Angeles Rams’ explosive offense in which Cooper Kupp figures to be drawing most of the double coverage assignments. If New York Giants running back Saquon Barkley (+4000) stays healthy, he could challenge for the NFL rushing title.

If you like keeping your money, best that you do not ante up any NFL CPOY wagers on Jones.

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