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NFL Props to Target for Super Bowl 57 When Lines Open

Robert Duff

by Robert Duff in NFL Football

Jan 30, 2023 · 6:33 AM PST

Jalen Hurts running with football.
Jan 29, 2023; Philadelphia, Pennsylvania, USA; Philadelphia Eagles quarterback Jalen Hurts (1) runs with the football against the San Francisco 49ers during the first quarter in the NFC Championship game at Lincoln Financial Field. Mandatory Credit: Bill Streicher-USA TODAY Sports
  • Which are the NFL props to target for Super Bowl 57 when the betting lines open?
  • Travis Kelce of the Kansas City Chiefs is averaging over 10 catches and 88 yards per game in the postseason
  • Philadelphia Eagles QB Jalen Hurts has run for a touchdown in both of the team’s playoff games

It just wouldn’t be the Super Bowl without NFL props to play. The Philadelphia Eagles are clashing with the Kansas City Chiefs in Super Bowl 57, and it’s never too early to begin assessing which player props look like the best bets to target in the championship game of the NFL.

The old saying is that a team can’t win a championship without their best players being their best players. That long-held axiom is certainly coming true for both the Chiefs and Eagles.

In his first NFL playoff experience, Eagles quarterback Jalen Hurts has led Philadelphia to 38-7 and 3-17 victories. Meanwhile, Chiefs All-Pro tight end Travis Kelce and quarterback Patrick Mahomes, both playing injured in Sunday’s AFC Championship Game win over the Cincinnati Bengals, were outstanding.

The Eagles opened as 1-point favorites in Super Bowl 57 and that line has grown to Philly -2 at some sportsbooks in the NFL odds. The big game is set for Sunday, February 12 at State Farm Stadium. Kickoff is 6:30 pm and FOX is carrying the broadcast.

Let’s take a look at some of the NFL props that make the most sense to be playing on Super Bowl Sunday.

Super Bowl Player Props to Target

Player (Team) Prop
AJ Brown (PHI) Under reception yardage total
Jalen Hurts (PHI) Over rushing TD total
Patrick Mahomes (KC) Under passing yardage total
Travis Kelce (KC) Over reception yardage total

See our top early prop bets to target for the NFL Super Bowl Sunday for AJ Brown, Jalen Hurts, Patrick Mahomes and Travis Kelce.


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Patrick Mahomes Under Passing Yardage Total

Mahomes was looking good in beating the Bengals. He hit on the over for his passing yardage prop (285.5 yards), throwing for 326 yards. However, with two touchdown passes, Mahomes went under his total (2.5).

In his two previous Super Bowl games, Mahomes hasn’t been statistically spectacular. He threw for 286 yards in Kansas City’s win over the 49ers. Mahomes was good for 270 yards as the Chiefs lost to Tampa Bay. He’s also only thrown for two TDs in Super Bowl games. Both TD aerials were in the victory over San Francisco.

Assuming his yardage total is again set in the 285.5-yard range, history suggests that an under play is the way to go.

Jalen Hurts Anytime Touchdown

The last time the Eagles were in the Super Bowl, their QB Nick Foles caught a TD pass. There’s a solid likelihood that in this Super Bowl, their QB will rush for a TD.

Hurts with the football in his hands in the red zone is like a magnet for the goal line. The favorite in the Super Bowl MVP odds, he’s found pay dirt in both of Philadelphia’s playoff victories by running for TDs.

When the elusive Hurts runs to daylight, there’s always a decent chance that the journey is going to conclude with him going to the house. He’s rushed for seven TDs over his last six starts. With eight, he already has the second-most multi-rushing TD games by a QB in NFL history.

Hurts is the third QB in league history to throw for 3,500+ yards (3,701), 20+ TD passes (22) and rush for 10+ TDs (13) in a single season. Take Hurts to score an anytime TD in the Super Bowl.

Travis Kelce Over Reception Yardage

If there was an award for MVP of the NFL playoffs, a strong case could be made for Chiefs tight end Travis Kelce. In Kansas City’s 27-20 Divisional Round win over the Jacksonville Jaguars, Kelce caught 14 passes for 98 yards and a TD.

As the Chiefs were beating the Bengals in the AFC Championship Game, Kelce snared seven balls for 78 yards and a TD. That’s an average of 11.1 yards per catch.

During the regular season, Kelce was the only TE to go over 1,000 receiving yards (1,338), 100 receptions (110) and 10 TD catches (12). He’s money on going over his reception yardage total.

AJ Brown Under Reception Yardage

The Eagles traded to get wide receiver AJ Brown from the Tennessee Titans to get them to the Super Bowl, and here they are. However, to suggest that Brown has proven to be a key cog in Philadelphia’s postseason run would be stretching a point.

Against the New York Giants in the Divisional Round, he caught three passes for a season-low 22 yards. The NFC Championship Game against San Francisco saw Brown catching four balls and accumulating 28 yards.

Oddsmakers find themselves in a tough spot here. Brown’s season average for receptions is 88 yards. Do they set the bar low because of his playoff performance? Should they raise it, expecting a bounce-back performance in the Super Bowl?

If they go high, you go low. Follow the trend. Play the under on Brown’s reception yardage total.

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