NFL Public Betting & Money Percentages for Bears vs Patriots Monday Night Football
- The Bears vs Patriots public betting splits show New England has gone from a 6-point favorite to -8.5 ahead of Monday Night Football in Week 7
- New England is still getting 66% of the ATS tickets and 68% of the spread handle at the new line
- See below for a complete breakdown of the Bears vs Patriots public betting splits for tonight’s MNF matchup
Only one offense ranks lower than the Bears per DVOA. Justin Fields meanwhile, boasts the 32nd-best quarterback rating in the NFL. Tough to imagine them having much success against a Bill Belichick defense.
Bettors are feeling the same way ahead of the Chicago-New England matchup tonight on Monday Night Football, as money has been pouring in on the Pats all week. The overwhelming New England support has caused significant movement to the spread in the NFL public betting trends, and as we approach kick-off, the line movement might not be done yet.
Bears vs Patriots Betting Splits
| Game | Spread | ATS Handle % | ATS Bet % | Total | O/U Handle % | O/U Bet % | Moneyline | ML Handle % | ML Bet % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chicago Bears | +8.5 | 32% | 34% | O 40 | 47% | 41% | +290 | 11% | 14% |
| New England Patriots | -8.5 | 68% | 66% | U 40 | 53% | 59% | -350 | 89% | 86% |
Splits from DraftKings Sportsbook. Claim the DraftKings promo code to bet on MNF.
The Patriots are currently 8.5-point favorites, after opening up as the 6-point chalk. New England is also drawing nearly all of the moneyline action, while the under is getting slightly more wagers than the over after that number has seen a point-and-a-half increase.
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Bears vs Patriots ATS Splits
These two teams are going in complete opposite directions. Chicago enters play losers of three straight, while New England has racked up back-to-back victories. The Pats have covered three in a row, while the Bears are just 2-3-1 ATS this season.
AFC East standings:
🏈 Bills: 5-1
🏈 Jets: 5-2
🏈 Dolphins: 4-3
🏈 Patriots: 3-3Patriots host Bears (ESPN, 8:15p) on “Monday Night Football” as they look to keep pace.
— Mike Reiss (@MikeReiss) October 24, 2022
As of Monday afternoon, bettors are all-in on New England. The Pats are drawing 66% of the spread tickets and 68% of the ATS wagers, despite the spread being nearly a field goal higher than the opening line.
The Patriots are expecting to have starting QB Mac Jones under center per the Bears vs Patriots injury report, after the sophomore missed the last three games.
From NFL Now: #Patriots QB Mac Jones is poised to make his return. pic.twitter.com/EU133AJxFs
— Ian Rapoport (@RapSheet) October 24, 2022
Chicago enters play winless in three road tilts so far, averaging just 14.6 points in those contests. Fields hasn’t thrown for more than 208 yards in any game all season, failing to eclipse 190 yards five times.
Chicago vs New England Total Betting Splits
Given Fields and the Bears’ offensive ineptitude, it’s surprising to see the total has risen 1.5 points throughout the week. Under 40 is currently drawing the slight majority of the action, as 59% of the over/under bets are accounting for 53% of all money wagered on the total. One of our experts is siding with the majority, predicting a low-scoring affair in the Bears vs Patriots picks.
Assuming the Bears and Patriots don't light the world on fire and go OVER 40.5, primetime unders this year will be 15-7 after Monday Night Football in Week 7…
— Ben Heisler (@bennyheis) October 24, 2022
New England’s offense is perhaps the reason for bettors backing the over earlier in the week. The Pats have scored 38, 29, and 24 points over the past three weeks, all with Bailey Zappe under center. Theoretically, Jones, a former first-round pick, should be an upgrade over Zappe, but the New England offense wasn’t exactly humming when he was healthy.
The Pats averaged just over 16 points per outing with Jones in control, dropping two of three. No matter who’s playing QB for New England, they’d be wise to stick to the ground game. Chicago is allowing 163 rushing yards per game and ranks 27th versus the run per DVOA. Tonight feels like a great opportunity to fade Jones’ arm in the Bears vs Patriots player props.
Chicago vs New England Moneyline Splits
Chicago is drawing virtually no support in the moneyline market. 86% of the moneyline bets are on New England, accounting for 89% of the handle. Given that this is the final game of the slate, a large chunk of those bets will be tied to parlays.
Since Fields was drafted, the Bears are just 3-9 on the road. The common thought tonight is that Belichick will throw a defensive scheme at him he simply isn’t ready for, and history backs up that sentiment.
Lowest passer rating this season
Kenny Pickett 66.7
Baker Mayfield 71.9
Justin Fields 72.7 pic.twitter.com/5N6nqwuJPP— YouWager.lv (@YouWager_FF) October 24, 2022
Rookie and second-year quarterbacks are 3-42 in Foxborough against Belichick and the Pats since 2003. For those keeping track at home, that’s a win percentage of .066.
As SBD's resident Swiss Army Knife, Chris covers virtually every sport including NFL, PGA, NBA, MLB, NCAAB, NCAAF and the Olympics. A true grinder, he'd rather pick off small edges in the player props market than swing for the fences with a 5-leg parlay.
