Upcoming Match-ups

Safe Super Bowl Bets to Make for 49ers vs Chiefs

Robert Duff

by Robert Duff in NFL Football

Updated Jan 31, 2024 · 12:37 PM PST

49ers RB Christian McCaffrey is given -213 odds to score a Super Bowl TD against the Chiefs
Jan 28, 2024; Santa Clara, California, USA; San Francisco 49ers running back Christian McCaffrey (23) is congratulated after scoring a touchdown against the Detroit Lions during the second half of the NFC Championship football game at Levi's Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Kelley L Cox-USA TODAY Sports
  • Safe Super Bowl bets are a great way to wager on Chiefs vs 49ers
  • San Francisco RB Christian McCaffrey has recorded a touchdown in each of his six career NFL postseason games
  • Read below for safe Super Bowl bets to make for Chiefs vs 49ers Super Bowl next week

The 2024 Super Bowl will take place on February 11th, and there’s no shortage of ways to bet on the game. With online sportsbooks releasing a plethora of different odds for 49ers vs Chiefs, it can feel overwhelming trying to make a simple wager.

Betting on the Super Bowl can be pretty straightforward if you know where to look and how to bet. To help you out, we’ve identified a few easy Super Bowl bets that offer value based on implied probability.

Under our Super Bowl picks, you’ll find some useful information such as how much money you can win betting on the Super Bowl and where to make these simple Super Bowl bets.

Super Bowl Safe Bets

Pick Odds Sportsbook
Christian McCaffrey anytime TD -213 BetMGM
Kansas City Chiefs fourth quarter moneyline -105 Bet365
Travis Kelce over 70.5 receiving yards -110 FanDuel

Let’s look at some potential Super Bowl safe bets for this Chiefs vs 49ers matchup that sees San Fran favored by 2 points and what the latest Super Bowl 58 odds are showing. And don’t forget to check out our best NFL betting promos before placing any wagers on the big game.

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Suepr Bowl Picks: Christian McCaffrey Anytime TD

In preparation to play the 49ers, every NFL defensive coordinator derives their game plan around the premise of containing San Francisco RB Christian McCaffey. And almost every one of them watches while their defense fails to complete this task.

The 49ers acquiring McCaffrey last season from the Carolina Panthers is looking as though it will go down in NFL history as one of the most lopsided trades in the annals of the league. A dual threat as both a runner and pass catcher, in 37 games for the 49ers, McCaffrey has accounted for 33 touchdowns.

McCaffrey’s innate ability to break tackles frequently turns two-yard gains into seven-yard runs. As he wears on a defense, eventually, one of those runs becomes a 40-yard chunk play and often, a TD.

He’s proven to be money in the playoffs. McCaffrey has found the end zone in each of his six career NFL postseason games. He’s ramping it up even more this season. McCaffrey scored twice in the NFL Divisional Round win over Green Bay and two more times in San Francisco’s NFC Championship Game rally against Detroit.

He’s given an implied probability of 68.05% to score a Super Bowl TD.

Safe Super Bowl Picks: Christian McCaffrey Anytime TD Scorer -213 (BetMGM)

Super Bowl Picks: Kansas City Chiefs Fourth Quarter Moneyline

Both of Kansas City’s Super Bowl wins with Patrick Mahomes at QB have been fashioned via thrilling fourth-quarter comebacks.

Last season against the Eagles, KC entered the fourth quarter down 27-21. Mahomes threw TD passes to Kadarius Toney and Skyy Moore, while Harrison Butker kicked a game-winning field goal for a 38-35 victory. The Chiefs won the fourth quarter by a 17-8 margin.

In 2020 vs the 49ers, San Francisco was leading 20-10 entering the final quarter of regulation time. Mahomes tossed TD passes to Travis Kelce and Damien Williams and then Williams ran for a TD. KC won the game 31-20 thanks to a 21-0 fourth-quarter margin.

At -105 odds, the Chiefs are given a 51.22% implied probability of winning the fourth quarter in this year’s big game.

Safe Super Bowl Picks: Kansas City Chiefs Fourth Quarter Moneyline -105 (Bet365)

Super Bowl Picks: Travis Kelce Over 70.5 Receiving Yards

Chiefs TE Kelce has kicked it into overdrive since the NFL switch flipped to the postseason. He’s set with a receiving yardage total for the Super Bowl of 70.5 yards. At odds of -110, this bet is given an implied probability of 52.38% of cashing.

Kelce has exceeded that number in all three of Kansas City’s playoff games. In the AFC Championship Game win over Baltimore, he complied 116 yards in receptions. He went for 75 yards in the Divisional Round against Buffalo and 71 on Wild Card Weekend facing Miami.

In fact, Kelce has gone over that number in each of KC’s last 12 playoff games and in two of the three Super Bowl games in which he’s played.

Safe Super Bowl Picks: Travis Kelce over 70.5 Receiving Yards -110 (FanDuel)

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