Upcoming Match-ups

Week 15 NFL Player Props – Best Player Props to Bet for Sunday, December 18

George Nassios

by George Nassios in NFL Football

Updated Dec 17, 2022 · 2:24 PM PST

Kansas City Chiefs quarterback Patrick Mahomes raises fist
Dec 11, 2022; Denver, Colorado, USA; Kansas City Chiefs quarterback Patrick Mahomes (15) following the win over the Denver Broncos at Empower Field at Mile High. Mandatory Credit: Ron Chenoy-USA TODAY Sports
  • NFL player props for Week 15 of the season have been released by online sportsbooks
  • We’ve selected bets on Ezekiel Elliott, Patrick Mahomes, Gerald Everett and Saquon Barkley in the Week 15 NFL player props
  • Check out the passing, rushing, and receiving lines, as well as touchdown odds, and our best player prop picks below

After a tripleheader of Saturday NFL football, Week 15 rolls on Sunday as some teams battle to stay in the playoff picture, while others jostle for playoff positioning. Tom Brady and the Bucs are desperate for a win against the streaking Bengals to keep hold of top spot in the NFC South.

On Sunday night, there’s a huge NFC East battle between the Giants and Commanders that could end up determining which team snatches a Wild Card spot in the NFC. Which players could play a huge role with big performances? That’s what we’ll key in on here.

Week 14 wasn’t our greatest, as we went 1-3 in our NFL player props and lost two units, but we’re confident in rebounding this time around with four picks that we’re bullish in placing bets on.

Check out the Week 15 NFL player props below, as well as all the betting lines for each suggested pick.

Week 15 NFL Player Props

Prop Odds Risk
Ezekiel Elliott anytime touchdown -120 1 unit
Patrick Mahomes over 298.5 passing yards +100 1 unit
Gerald Everett over 32.5 receiving yards -110 1 unit
Saquon Barkley over 64.5 rushing yards -117 1.5 units

All odds as of December 17th at DraftKings. Get this DraftKings Sportsbook promo code to bet on the NFL this weekend.

Our favorite predictions and picks in the Week 15 NFL player props above include plays on three of the NFL’s most recognizable players and a tight end you might not be the most familiar with in Gerald Everett.

 

DRAFTKINGS
SPORTSBOOK


Bet $5 & Get $200 in Bonus Bets Instantly + a No Sweat NBA SGP Every Day!

LOCK IN PROMO
SIGNUP PROMO
BET $5
GET $200

+ A NO SWEAT NBA SGP

GET PROMO

Week 15 Touchdown Prop – Ezekiel Elliott Anytime TD

This was the lone player prop we hit on last week and it came in the last minute of the game. Although he kept us holding our breath until the end, Zeke has now scored touchdowns in his last six straight games.

So why not continue the trend and go back to the well again? Elliott appears to have new life breathed into him after getting almost a month off to recover from a knee injury.

While Tony Pollard is amongst the best running backs in yards per carry, it’s Zeke who is more trusted and still gets the touches when Dallas is a yard or two from the goal line. Of Elliott’s nine rushing touchdowns this season, six have come from two yards out or less. We love him to do it again this week.

Prop Pick: Ezekiel Elliott anytime touchdown (-120); risk 1 unit at DraftKings Sportsbook

Week 15 Passing Prop – Patrick Mahomes Over 298.5 passing yards

It’s a big number, but it’s also a big-time player. One of the favorites in the NFL MVP odds, Mahomes is coming off a game where he threw for 352 yards. That’s the seventh time in the last eight games the league leader in passing yards has gone over the 300 mark.

Despite having the worst record in the league, the Texans actually have a pretty solid secondary and are middle of the pack in the league in passing yards allowed. However, the injury report has dealt some bad news, with both starting cornerbacks, Steven Nelsen and Derek Stingley Jr. expected to be out setting Mahomes up to feast.

Despite being the only QB who’s thrown for over 4,000 yards and owning a 10-3 record, Mahomes is trailing Jalen Hurts in the MVP odds. While that’s not the trophy he’s chasing, expect him to pad the stats even more against the Texans to let voters know who the best player in the league this year is.

Prop Pick: Patrick Mahomes over 298.5 passing yards (+100); risk 1 unit at DraftKings Sportsbook

Week 15 Receiving Prop – Gerald Everett Over 32.5 Receiving Yards

Not exactly a household name here, so why are we gambling on the Chargers’ tight end when Justin Herbert has so many other options available to him? Part of it has to do with the opponent.

The Titans are one of the worst teams in the league defending the tight end position. Last week Evan Engram had a career day for the Jaguars catching 11 balls for 162 yards. That’s the third game in a row the opposing team’s starting tight end easily went over 32.5 yards receiving against Tennessee.

While Everett only had 28 receiving yards last week, he was targeted eight times. With Tennessee likely concerned with the multitude of other weapons the Chargers have on offense, we think Herbert and the offense will exploit the Titans weak spot in the Titans defense here.

Prop Pick: Gerald Everett over 32.5 receiving yards (-110); risk 1 unit at DraftKings Sportsbook

Week 15 Rushing Prop – Saquon Barkley Over 64.5 Rushing Yards

After starting the season on fire garnering him favorite status in the odds to win comeback player of the year, the Giants running back has tailed off somewhat in recent weeks and is now likely chasing Geno Smith to win that award.

Barkley has seen a reduced workload over the past few weeks, carrying the ball, 15, 11, 18 and nine times in each of his last four games. The highest number there was against this week’s opponents, the Washington Commanders, two weeks ago, when he rushed 18 times for 63 yards in a 20-20 tie.

Some health concerns have been raised concerning his neck, but Barkley took on a full workload in practice this week, so there’s no need to worry about any limitations.

New York and Washington are both tied with records of 7-5-1 and while the winner of this matchup will be extremely comfortable in the NFC playoff odds, the loser will have to be worried about other teams breathing down their neck.

In such a crucial game, with the game time temperature at FedEx Field to be right around freezing on Sunday Night Football, expect the Giants to use the ground game early and often.

The only previous two times Barkley played in Washington in the month of December he had 170 and 189 rushing yards respectively. We’re fairly confident he’ll be able to get at least half that on Sunday.

Prop Pick: Saquon Barkley over 64.5 rushing yards (-117); risk 1.5 units at Caesars Sportsbook

 

Author Image