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Avalanche vs Lightning Game 6 Odds & Picks

Robert Duff

by Robert Duff in NHL Hockey

Jun 25, 2022 · 9:11 AM PDT

Avalanche vs Lightning Game 6 Odds
Jun 24, 2022; Denver, Colorado, USA; Tampa Bay Lightning center Steven Stamkos (91) celebrates the victory against the Colorado Avalanche following game five of the 2022 Stanley Cup Final at Ball Arena. Mandatory Credit: Michael Madrid-USA TODAY Sports
  • The Colorado Avalanche are -115 road favorites over the Tampa Bay Lightning in Game 6 of the Stanley Cup final on Sunday, June 26
  • Colorado is 8-1 straight up on the road in the NHL playoffs
  • All of the Avalanche vs Lightning odds, picks, predictions and best bets are assessed in the following story

The Colorado Avalanche were all set to win the Stanley Cup in front of a raucous, capacity crowd at Ball Arena but the Tampa Bay Lightning had other ideas.

The two-time defending champion Lightning, down 3-1 in the best-of-seven series, won Game 5 by a 3-2 count, sending the set back to Tampa Bay for Game 6.

Oddsmakers don’t think you should be betting on it happening again. It’s the Avalanche who are slight -115 favorites in Game 6. Colorado is 5-4 against the puckline on the road in the NHL playoffs.

Avalanche vs Lightning Odds Game 6

Team Puck Line Total Moneyline
Colorado Avalanche -1.5 (+205) O 6 (+105) -115
Tampa Bay Lightning +1.5 (-250) U 6 (-125) -105

Odds as of June 25th at Caesars Sportsbook. See available Caesars Sportsbook promo codes

 

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The puck is slated to drop for Game 6 at 8:00 pm ET at Amalie Arena on Friday, June 24. The broadcast is being provided by ABC in the US and by CBC in Canada. Colorado is a -430 favorite in the Stanley Cup odds. Tampa Bay is at a betting line of +330 to win the Cup for the third year in a row.

At odds of -115, a wager on the Avalanche will deliver an implied probability of victory of 53.49%. A $10 bet on Colorado would return a payout of $18.70.

NHL betting trends are displaying that the public is expecting the Avalanche to close out the series on the road. In terms of the moneyline, 63% of handle and 64% of bets are backing the Avs. As for the puckline, 52% of handle is on Colorado but 58% of bets are with the Lightning. The total is leaning heavily to the over. There’s 87% of handle and 70% of bets placed on the over. The under has hit the past two games, though.

Tampa Bay vs Colorado Recent Results

Date Home-Away Moneyline Puck Line Over/Under
6/16/2022 Colorado 4 Tampa Bay 3 (OT) COL TB Over
6/18/2022 Colorado 7 Tampa Bay 0 COL COL Over
6/20/2022 Tampa Bay 6 Colorado 2 TB TB Over
6/22/2022 Tampa Bay 2 Colorado 3 (OT) COL TB Under
6/24/2022 Colorado 2 Tampa Bay 3 TB TB Under

Ondrej Palat added to his clutch goal scorer resume by netting the Game 6 winner for Tampa Bay. It was his 11th goal of this postseason and the 16th go-ahead goal of his Stanley Cup playoff career.

Tampa Bay is 20-2 straight up over the past 22 playoffs games in the game immediately following a loss. The Lightning have outscored opponents by a combined 81-44 margin in those contests.

It’s the third straight Stanley Cup final final in which Lightning forward Corey Perry’s team has staved off elimination. However, it should be noted that Perry’s two previous teams – the 2020 Dallas Stars and 2021 Montreal Canadiens – were eliminated by the Lightning in the next game.

Colorado’s Cale Makar leds the team with 21 assists, setting a franchise record for a single playoff year.

Tampa Bay vs Colorado Injury Report

Lightning defenseman Erik Cernak (lower-body injury) returned for Game 5. Tampa Bay forward Brayden Point (lower-body injury) has missed the past three games. Defenseman Brent Seabrook (shoulder) is out for the Lightning.

Colorado forward Andre Burakovsky ( thumb injury) has missed the past three games. The Avs are without defenseman Samuel Girard (broken sternum). Defenseman Ryan Murray (broken hand) is also out.

Vasilevskiy Does It Again

Lightning goalie Andrei Vasilevskiy is 4-0 with a 1.75 goals-against averag, a .945 save percentage and one shutout when facing elimination since the start of the 2020 playoffs. 

In his last 22 playof games following a loss, Vasilevskiy is 20-2 with a 1.83 goals-against average, .932 save percentage and five shutouts.

Lightning vs Avalanche Projected Starting Goalies

Team Goalie Record SV% GAA
Lightning Andrei Vasilevskiy 14-8 .921 2.54
Avalanche Darcy Kuemper 9-4 .898 2.68

In Game 5, Colorado’s Darcy Kuemper allowed a third-period goal for the first time in the series and it proved to be the game winner.

With his Game 2 shutout, Kuemper joined Hall of Famer Patrick Roy as the only Avalanche goalies to post a shutout in the Stanley Cup final.

Avalanche vs Lightning Game 6 Prediction

The Lightning are the 17th team in Stanley Cup final history to force a Game 6 when down 3-1 in the series. Only six of those 17 teams (35.3%) were able to get the set to Game 7.

Colorado also came home up 3-1 on St Louis for Game 5 of the second round and lost. The Avalanche then went to St Louis and won 3-2 to close out the series.

 Pick: Colorado Avalanche ML (-115)

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