Formula 1 2021 Brazilian Grand Prix Odds & Picks
- Max Verstappen looks to widen his lead atop the F1 Drivers Standings as a strong betting favorite in this weekend’s Brazilian Grand Prix
- Lewis Hamilton remains the only driver in striking distance of Verstappen, but lags as a distant second favorite in the Formula 1 Drivers Championship odds
- Read on for all the Brazilian Grand Prix odds and trends ahead of Sunday afternoon’s at Autódromo Hermanos Rodríguez
Max Verstappen will be looking to pad his growing lead atop the Formula 1 Drivers Standings when he hits the track for Sunday afternoon’s running of the 2021 Brazilian Grand Prix as a strong -190 favorite. Verstappen is coming off back-to-back wins in the United States and Mexico and has finished no worse than second in six of his past seven-race appearances. The only driver still in striking distance of Verstappen in the race for this season’s F1 crown, Lewis Hamilton has taken home the checkered flag in two of the past four editions of this race but faces a huge challenge to outpace Verstappen this time around as a +225 second betting favorite in the Brazilian Grand Prix odds.
Here’s a look at all the odds and trends ahead lights out at the 2021 Brazilian Grand Prix at Autódromo Hermanos Rodríguez in São Paulo on Sunday afternoon at 12:00 PM EST.
2021 Brazilian Grand Prix Odds
| Driver | Odds to Win | Odds to Finish Top Three | Odds to Finish Top Six | Odds to Finish Top 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Max Verstappen | -190 | -400 | -600 | -900 |
| Lewis Hamilton | +225 | -360 | -600 | -900 |
| Sergio Perez | +1200 | -165 | -450 | -700 |
| Valtteri Bottas | +1800 | +150 | -360 | -650 |
| Charles Leclerc | +5000 | +450 | -250 | -600 |
| Pierre Gasly | +5000 | +475 | -190 | -400 |
| Lando Norris | +6500 | +750 | -125 | -280 |
| Daniel Ricciardo | +6500 | +750 | +125 | -225 |
| Carlos Sainz Jr. | +6500 | +550 | -150 | -550 |
| George Russell | +10000 | +2500 | +1200 | +200 |
| Sebastian Vettel | +25000 | +2200 | +650 | -105 |
| Fernando Alonso | +25000 | +2200 | +330 | -105 |
| Esteban Ocon | +30000 | +4000 | +900 | +165 |
| Lance Stroll | +30000 | +5000 | +1100 | +135 |
| Yuki Tsunoda | +30000 | +5000 | +1800 | -110 |
| Antonio Giovinazzi | +50000 | +20000 | +6500 | +250 |
| Kimi Raikkonen | +50000 | +20000 | +6500 | +225 |
| Mick Schumacher | +50000 | +25000 | +10000 | +1000 |
| Nicholas Latifi | +50000 | +20000 | +8000 | +750 |
| Nikita Mazepin | +50000 | +30000 | +13000 | +2000 |
Odds as of November 11th at DraftKings
Verstappen has F1 Drivers Championship Title in His Sights
Fresh off yet another dominating victory last weekend in Mexico City, Max Verstappen enters the final month of the 2021 Formula 1 campaign firmly in control of his own destiny. The winner in nine of this season’s 18 races to date, Verstappen now holds a 19-point lead over Hamilton in the standings. Verstappen has also enjoyed past success at this event. He earned the win the last time this race was won in 2019 and has reached the podium on three occasions.
Just ONE point separating @MercedesAMGF1 and @redbullracing, with four races to go… 🤤#MexicoGP 🇲🇽 #F1 pic.twitter.com/RIe4XdDsIK
— Formula 1 (@F1) November 8, 2021
It has been very much a feast or famine campaign for the 24-year-old Red Bull racing driver, who has claimed a spot among the top two on 14 occasions while failing to finish in three of his other four race appearances. Not surprisingly, the Dutchman has also cemented his position on the F1 Drivers Championship odds, where he is now perched as massive -450 chalk.
Perez Key to Red Bull’s Constructors Title Hopes
However, in addition to continuing the pursuit of his first career F1 Drivers Championship, Verstappen and his Red Bull teammate Sergio Perez will also be eyeing the top of the Formula 1 Constructors Standings on Sunday afternoon. Red Bull has pulled to within one point of Mercedes in the standings on the strength of both Verstappen’s steady string of wins and a late-season surge by Perez.
🚨 | Sergio Pérez has revealed that Red Bull gave him Verstappen's damaged rear wing from FP3 for qualifying…
"Max had a problem with his wing in FP3 and they gave it to me… from qualifying the car was never the same".
[https://t.co/mNFyYGcIww]— formularacers (@formularacers_) November 7, 2021
Listed third in the Brazilian Grand Prix odds as a +1200 bet, “Checo” has been key to Red Bull’s climb in the Drivers Standings after claiming third place in each of his past three outings. That level of success has eluded the 31-year-old Mexican in Brazil, where he has finished no better than ninth in his past three appearances. However, with the benefit of the fastest car on the track, and his proven skill at keeping pace with his Mercedes rivals, Checo has vaulted to a short -165 bet to reach the podium once again this weekend.
Brazilian Grand Prix Recent Winners
| Year | Driver | Margin of Victory |
|---|---|---|
| 2020 | Race cancelled due to COVID-19 | n/a |
| 2019 | Max Verstappen – Red Bull Racing | 6.077 sec |
| 2018 | Lewis Hamilton – Mercedes | 1.469 sec |
| 2017 | Sebastian Vettel – Ferrari | 2.762 sec |
| 2016 | Lewis Hamilton – Mercedes | 11.455 sec |
| 2015 | Nico Rosberg – Mercedes | 7.756 sec |
| 2014 | Nico Rosberg – Mercedes | 1.457 sec |
Brazilian Grand Prix Picks & Predictions
While Verstappen has sung the praises of his veteran teammate for his recent performance, the relationship between Lewis Hamilton and his lame-duck Mercedes teammate Valtteri Bottas has grown decidedly frostier. Set to leave the German automaker following the mid-season news that he will be replaced by George Russell next year, Bottas has very much put personal success ahead of team performance in recent weeks. That has translated into top six finishes for the talented Finn in five of his past six outings.
Ricciardo and Bottas' Turn 1 incident revisited 😳💥#MexicoGP 🇲🇽 #F1 pic.twitter.com/Sb8wE7NkZs
— Formula 1 (@F1) November 8, 2021
However, criticism from both Hamilton and team principal Toto Wolff in the wake of an opening-lap collision with Daniel Ricciardo in Mexico City that doomed Bottas to a distant 15th-place finish is unlikely to lead to a thaw anytime soon. Simply put, Hamilton can no longer count on Bottas to adhere to team orders, or to sacrifice himself for the benefit of the reigning world champion. But with four top five finishes to his credit in Brazil, and plenty to prove, Bottas cannot be counted out as a high-value +150 wager to reach the podium on Sunday at the Brazilian Grand Prix.
The Picks: Sergio Perez top three (-165); Max Verstappen to win (-190)
Daniel has been writing about sports and sports betting for over 23 years. The seasoned pro has contributed to the likes of Sports Illustrated, Sportsnet, NESN, Bleacher Report, OddsShark, the Globe and Mail, and The Nation magazine.
