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Chelsea vs Arsenal Odds & Prediction – Premier League (Apr 20)

Josh Ricker

by Josh Ricker in Soccer

Apr 19, 2022 · 4:00 PM PDT

Chelsea vs Arsenal
Chelsea's Kai Havertz, right, challenges for the ball with Arsenal's Cedric Soares during the English Premier League soccer match between Arsenal and Chelsea at the Emirates stadium in London, England, Sunday, Aug. 22, 2021. (AP Photo/Ian Walton)
  • Chelsea hosts Arsenal in Premier League play on Wednesday, April 20th at 2:45 pm ET. Chelsea are -114 moneyline favorites
  • Currently, Chelsea have a comfortable lead in third place on 62 points while Arsenal sit three points outside of the top four on 54 points
  • Get the Chelsea vs Arsenal odds, analysis, and betting prediction below

Nothing, and I mean nothing, is more exciting than a London Derby during the Premier League run-in. Luckily, fans are in for one that has even greater stipulations with Chelsea vs Arsenal coming on Wednesday afternoon.

In fact, this will be Chelsea’s attempt to do the league double over their London neighbors for the first time since 2015/16. The Blues will be riding the high of their FA Cup semifinal win over Crystal Palace at the weekend and will be no easy opponent for Mikel Arteta’s side.

Conversely, the Gunners desperately need this win if they want to keep the pace with Tottenham and Manchester United in the race for top four. Arsenal have lost three games on the bounce and have only won 22 points from 15 away matches this season. However, we all know that Arsenal love to bounce back against Chelsea when the chips are down. Remember their 3-1 win on Boxing Day last year?

Chelsea vs Arsenal Odds Odds

Matchup Moneyline Odds
Chelsea -114
Arsenal +320
Draw +270

Odds as of Apr 16th at Barstool Sportsbook

If you’re new to betting on this sport, then take a look at our How to Bet on Soccer page.

For this match, the moneyline favors Chelsea with Premier League odds of -114.

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Over/Under and Spread

While there is a lot of excitement around this match, the under on 2.5 goals is the favored result with odds of -134. However, in their last ten head-to-head matches across all competitions, this bet has only hit 30% of the time. Regardless, it is fair to say Arsenal have not been in the goals lately, with only two in five matches.

Despite this, there is some good value in getting Arsenal to cover the +0.5 spread with odds of -104.

Chelsea vs Arsenal Prediction

In all honesty, most pundits and fans will not Arsenal even a glimmer of hope against Chelsea. The Gunners have been absolutely putrid in front of goal lately.

With Lacazette still questionable due to COVID-19 and Eddie Nketiah serving as the only other striker in the team, Arsenal must make changes. As a result, I would expect Arteta to choose a versatile attacking side with the likes of Gabriel Martinelli, Nicolas Pepe and  Bakayo Saka.

Chelsea vs Arsenal EPL Statistics

Chelsea
VS
Arsenal
2.13 Goals per game 1.45
1.77 Expected goals per game 1.54
0.77 Goals allowed per game 1.19
0.92 Expected goals allowed per game 1.20
60.6% Possession % 53.1%
86.5% Passing Accuracy % 83.1%
14.7 Shots per game 15.6

Still, Arsenal have major problem points in other areas of the pitch. In the last three games, which were all losses, their midfield has been shambolic.

Moreover, they are still experiencing the same hiccups in defense. This was evident in the Crystal Palace match, when Arsenal were up against a side with tricky offensive talents. Arteta does not help his defensive problems either, by starting players like Xhaka in unnatural positions.

Chelsea Back to Winning Ways

On the flip side, Chelsea comes into this game with nothing to lose. With two games in hand against nearly the entire competition, they are comfortably in a top four spot for next season.

Also, they have already reached the FA Cup Final, where they will play Liverpool in May. While they made an exit from the Champions League, a triumphant comeback in the second leg will give Thomas Tuchel’s side a ton of confidence and resolve.

Now, I do not want to count Arsenal out completely because they have won three in five against the Blues. As the saying goes, everything goes out the window in a derby.

Chelsea vs Arsenal Projected Lineups and Injuries

Chelsea Projected Lineup: Mendy, Alonso, Rudiger, Silva, James, Azpilicuta, Kante, Jorginho, Mount, Havertz, Lukaku

Chelsea Injuries & Suspensions: Chillwell, Hudson-Odoi, Kovacic

Arsenal Projected Lineup: Ramsdale, Tavares, Gabriel, White, Soares, Xhaka, Rowe, Odegaard, Saka, Martinelli, Pepe

Arsenal Injuries & Suspensions: Tierney, Lacazette, Partey

Chelsea vs Arsenal Best Bet

Overall, the best bet for this match is the Chelsea moneyline with odds of -114. This pick has solid value and is simply the most logical pick. Chelsea’s last two matches at Stamford Bridge were defeats, and they have not lost three in a row since 1993.

Pick: Chelsea ML (-114) 

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