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Juventus vs Fiorentina Odds & Prediction – Coppa Italia Semifinals Leg 2

Gary Gowers

by Gary Gowers in Soccer News

Updated Apr 20, 2022 · 1:05 AM PDT

Mattia De Sciglio
Juventus' Mattia De Sciglio covers his face at the end of the Champions League, round of 16, second leg soccer match between Juventus and Villarreal at the Allianz stadium in Turin, Italy, Wednesday, March 16, 2022. Villareal won 3-0. (AP Photo/Antonio Calanni)
  • It’s Juventus vs Fiorentina in the Coppa Italia semifinal on Wednesday, April 20 at 3:00 pm ET.
  • Juve takes a slender one-goal advantage into the second leg after winning 1-0 in Florence.
  • We preview the game, look at the Juventus vs Fiorentina odds, and offer some picks below.

It is Juventus vs Fiorentina in the Allianz Stadium on Wednesday, April 20 at 3:00 pm ET in the semifinal second leg of the 2021-22 Coppa Italia. Juve takes a 1-0 lead into this game after Lorenzo Ventui’s own-goal in added time gave the Old Lady a slender lead. The winner of this tie will face either Inter Milan or AC Milan in the final.

We preview Juventus vs Fiorentina and offer below the best picks for this huge Coppa Italia clash.

Juventus vs Fiorentina Odds

Matchup Moneyline
Juventus -122
Fiorentina +320
Draw +265

Odds as of April 19 at Barstool Sportsbook

The bookies have Juve down as odds-on favorites at -122, which comes with a 55% implied probability of a win, compared to Fiorentina’s +320 with an implied probability of 24%. The draw after 90 minutes also offers a good return at +265, with an implied probability of 27%.

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Over/Under and Spread

Interesting to note is they list over 2.5 goals at even money (+100), which with so much at stake is well worth a second look. If you see a goal-fest incoming, then the +270 on offer for over 3.5 goals is very juicy.

If you’re new to this sport and want to know how to bet on soccer, then our page offers help on how to bet on this game and others like it.

Juventus vs Fiorentina Prediction

The era of Juve dominance in Italian soccer looks to be over, with the Old Lady currently down in fourth place in Serie A – eight points behind leaders Milan with five to play. This was compounded at the weekend when they could only manage a 1-1 draw against a nine-man Bologna.

After losing out to Villarreal in the last eight of the Champions League, Juve’s only chance of winning silverware this season is the Coppa Italia and so they will be desperate to hang on to the 1-0 lead they have from the first leg. This is a competition they like, having won it last season and for four consecutive seasons from 2015 to 2018.

Juve With Psychological Advantage

Their passage through to this season’s semifinal has been a straightforward one – home wins over Salernitana and Sassuolo – but to get past their old rivals Fiorentina is a much harder task, even when armed with a 1-0 first-leg lead.

In their previous two meetings this season with the Violas, Juve have won 1-0 twice – both courtesy of late goals – so they hold the psychological advantage going into this game.

Juventus vs Fiorentina  Head-to-Head Stats

Juventus
VS
Fiorentina
18 -9-6 Serie A record 17-5-10
50 / 29 Seria A goals record (F / A) 53 / 40
4th Serie A position 6th
3 Coppa Italia games played 4
7 / 2 Coppa Italia goals record (F / A) 10 / 5
4-1 vs Sampdoria Best Coppa Italia win 5-2 vs Napoli

Fiorentina Unlucky to Lose First Leg

Fiorentina was bitterly disappointed not to get something from the first leg – a game in which they led the shot count by 22 to 6 – but their performance level was such they will believe a place in the Coppa Italia final is still up for grabs. Under the management of Vincenzo Italiano, the Tuscans are on an upward curve and come into this game off the back of three straight wins.

Due to their 13th-place finish in last season’s Serie A, Fiorentina entered this competition one round earlier than Juve but made easy work of Cosenza in the second round and then Benevento in the round-of-16. From there they did it the hard way with away wins over Napoli and Atalanta to set up this semi with Juve.

In Form Tuscans

Since the turn of the year, Fiorentina has been one of Serie A’s form teams and is now sixth in the table and with a good chance of European soccer next season. While they tend to save their best performances for the Stadio Artemio Franchi, they will take confidence from their two away wins so far in this competition.

Juventus vs Fiorentina Team Lineups and Injuries

Juventus Projected Lineup: Perin, Danilo, De Ligt, Chiellini, Pellegrini, Cuadrado, Zakaria, Arthur, Rabiot, Morata, Vlahovic.

Juventus Injuries: Locatelli, McKennie,

Fiorentina Projected Lineup: Terracciano, Venuti, Igor, Milenkovic, Biraghi, Castrovilli, Torreira, Maleh, Gonzalez, Cabral, Ikone.

Fiorentina Injuries: Bonaventura.

Juventus vs Fiorentina Pick

With the prize being a place in the final against one of the Milan teams, the stakes are high and it’s undoubtedly the hosts who have more experience of occasions like this. In favor of the hosts, however, is form and momentum, neither of which should be underestimated.

So, while I expect it to be tight and nervy, this one could well go to the wire. With Juve stuttering, Fiorentina could easily snatch a draw, but it could be Juve’s away goal in Florence that decides the tie.

Pick: Juventus and Fiorentina to draw (+265)

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