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MLS Week 13 Odds & Predictions: Nashville SC vs Atlanta United, FC Cincinnati vs New England Revolution & More

Ryan Metivier

by Ryan Metivier in Soccer

May 20, 2022 · 4:00 PM PDT

MLS Week 13
May 15, 2022; Atlanta, Georgia, USA; New England Revolution forward Adam Buksa (9) scores a goal past Atlanta United defender Alex De John (3) and goalkeeper Bobby Shuttleworth (18) during the first half at Mercedes-Benz Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Dale Zanine-USA TODAY Sports
  • MLS Week 13 includes 14 games over May 21-22, 2022
  • Last week’s MLS betting predictions record: 2-1, +0.88 units; Season Record 27-14, +9.54 units
  • Read on for the odds and our MLS Week 13 best bets below

It’s a quick turnaround in Major League Soccer this week. After a ten-game midweek slate on Wednesday, MLS Week 13 kicks off on Saturday with four games. Then on Sunday, it’s a heavy slate of action with ten more games.

Read on for the odds for every MLS Week 13 game, as well as our best MLS betting predictions.

MLS Week 13 Odds

Matchup Home Draw Away
Columbus Crew vs LAFC +132 +230 +205
DC United vs Toronto FC -182 +330 +440
FC Cincinnati vs New England Revolution +195 +250 +128
Nashville vs Atlanta United +108 +230 +260
CF Montreal vs Real Salt Lake -141 +270 +375
Charlotte FC vs Vancouver Whitecaps -127 +280 +310
NYCFC vs Chicago Fire -265 +375 +700
Inter Miami vs New York Red Bulls +300 +255 -115
FC Dallas vs Minnesota United -155 +300 +380
San Jose Earthquakes s Sporting Kansas City -103 +255 +255
Austin FC vs Orlando City SC +107 +240 +245
Colorado Rapids vs Seattle Sounders -132 +280 +325
LA Galaxy vs Houston Dynamo -139 +260 +380
Portland Timbers vs Philadelphia Union +160 +230 +165

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MLS Predictions for May 21-22

There are many ways to bet on soccer in the MLS and below I’ve picked a variety of team and game totals, plus a small parlay. But be sure to shop around for your odds. While the odds in the table above are from Barstool, I found some better prices at places like DraftKings and Caesars Sportsbook for these specific bets.

Looking at the above table, oddsmakers seem to be expecting a weekend of close games. Only NYCFC at home to Chicago are listed in the -200 to -300 range.

If you’re looking to back hot teams, look towards the likes of NYCFC, Cincinnati, Montreal, Dallas, and San Jose. They’ve collected the most points in the past five weeks. Teams to fade? Toronto (0 points), Chicago (1), Houston (3), Charlotte (4), and Minnesota (4), have all been costing their backers huge.

Nashville SC vs Atlanta United Prediction

If only we had a little recent history to look back on between these teams. Oh wait, we do. It was just May 11 that we witnessed this exact matchup in the US Open Cup. The teams will return to the same venue, GEODIS Park, where Nashville won 3-2.

That scoreline is a bit deceiving. First. It was Atlanta that jumped out to an early 2-0 lead with goals by Thiago Almada and Luiz Araujo in the 13′ and 29′ minutes.

But Nashville would fight back with a PK goal in the 50′ minute to cut the lead in half. It looked like it wouldn’t be enough until two stoppage-time goals in the 92′ and 93′ minutes gave Nashville the win. Both teams had plenty of chances with Atlanta leading 19-14 in attempts, and both landing four shots on target.

Atlanta’s only other game came last weekend at home to New England. Again it was Almada and Araujo scoring, this time in a 2-2 draw.

Nashville played at home to Montreal on Wednesday and won 2-1. Atlanta was off, so will come into this one with some extra rest. At home, Nashville has lost just once in the past 32 games. Their only other home loss, ever, came to Atlanta back in their franchise’s very first home game on February 29, 2020.

Atlanta seems to have figured out some things offensively, even without Josef Martinez, who has returned to training. But on defense, down keeper Brad Guzan and defender Miles Robinson, they are a bit of a mess. The Five Stripes have kept just two clean sheets all season in MLS and none in their past four.

This one closes out the Saturday night slate at 7:30 pm EST and should be a good one. I think both teams are capable of finding the scoresheet.

Pick: Both Teams to Score (+100); 1 unit at Caesars Sportsbook

FC Cincinnati vs New England Revolution Best Bet

Next up is another US Open Cup rematch. These sides also played on May 11, but in New England, which resulted in a huge 5-1 Revs’ win.

This match too, saw the losing team scoring first as FCC struck early just 12 minutes in. But, New England would score twice before halftime to take a 2-1 lead, adding three more in the second half. Carles Gil netted a hat-trick, while Adam Buksa scored a brace. Buksa scored both of New England’s goals last weekend as well against Atlanta and has now scord in each of his past five games. Buksa has been called into the Polish National Team camp for next month for Nations League participation. So the Revs need to enjoy his goals now.

Meanwhile, Cincinnati rebounded from that shelling with a 2-1 road win in Chicago last weekend. Luciano Acosta scored the winner in the 85′ minute, his fifth of the season. It was their fourth-straight win in MLS.

This is something we can say for maybe the first time in Cincinnati’s short history. And that is that FC Cincinnati is hot right now. They’ve never won four in a row, ever. Prior to the Chicago win, they had also never won three in a row.

The Revs aren’t off to the best of starts, sitting 11th in the East. But they are now 2-2-1 in their past five.

Revs’ games have been pretty open. They’re 8-3 to the Over and their games average 3.5 GPG. That’s only lower than Montreal and San Jose. In eight of their 11 games a bet on both teams scoring and over 2.5 goals would have cashed.

That’s the way I see this one playing out on Saturday.

Pick: Both Teams to Score & Over 2.5 (-125); 1 unit at DraftKings Sportsbook

MLS Week 13 Parlay Picks

While those first two picks come from the four games on Saturday, I’m going to group together a couple of games from the Sunday slate for a two-game parlay.

NYCFC vs Chicago Fire Pick

In the Week 12 column, I mentioned how New York hadn’t played too much on the road so far. They did on Wednesday, in DC, and won 2-0. So perhaps the Pigeons will be strong no matter the venue. NYCFC are now second in the East and are undefeated in six at 5-1-0. They’ve scored 23 times in just 11 games and have scored multiple goals in five of those past six games. They’re easily among the favorites in the MLS Cup odds.

On Sunday, they’ll play Chicago. A team I also mentioned on Wednesday are terrible on the road. They played the Red Bulls, and, actually weren’t … terrible. They led 2-1 and 3-2 in the second half. With a Xyerdan Shaqiri 89′ minute goal to give them a 3-2 lead, it looked liked they would win away from home. Something they had done just three times in 33 road games. But c’mon, it’s Chicago. They coughed up the equalizer two minutes later in the 91′ and drew 3-3. It was the second game in a row where they threw away points late. Last weekend they drew level 1-1 with Cincinnati in the 83′, only to give up the winner in the 85′.

There is just no way you can trust this Fire team no matter the location right now. They’re last in the East, winless in eight, and have now won just 3/34 road games.

NYCFC should easily win this one. But you can get a better price for them to score over 1.5 goals (-190).

San Jose Earthquakes vs Sporting KC Pick

I’m always going to ride streaks until they don’t cash anymore. And if you’re an Over better in San Jose games, the good times just keep coming. Going into Wednesday night’s game at home to Portland, their games averaged the highest goals per game in the MLS. That sat at 4.1 GPG. And after a 3-2 win, that average is now even higher at 4.2. Along with Montreal, San Jose has cashed the most Over 2.5 tickets this year at 9-3.

These teams are 12th (SJ) and 13th (SKC), so neither are off to great starts. But all things aren’t created equal here. The arrow is pointing up on the Earthquakes. In all comps over their past eight, they’re 5-2-1.

At home, at PayPal Park, San Jose is undefeated in their past six. Their only home loss came in their home opener. Dating back into last season, at home, they’ve lost just 3/13. Only once were there fewer than two goals scored in those 13.

Sporting KC may have won 2-1 at home to Colorado on Wednesday. but that followed a 7-2 thumping in Portland last weekend. Wednesday’s win was their first in eight and questions are starting to be asked about the direction of the team and Peter Vermes.

Across all competitions, both teams have scored in head-to-head meetings in each of their past eight games. But only two of those eight have ended 1-1. The other scores? 3-1, 3-3, 2-1, 4-1, 5-1, and 2-2.

It’s very possible both teams score in this one. But SKC has just 12 goals on the year, compared to San Jose’s 22. The way these teams are playing right now, it seems unlikely we don’t see at least two goals scored (O1.5 -370).

Parlay Picks: NYCFC to Score Over 1.5 & San Jose vs SKC Over 1.5 (-106); 1 unit at Caesars Sportsbook

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