MLS Week 6 Odds & Picks: Chicharito and Vela Meet in El Tráfico

• MLS Week 6 kicks off Saturday afternoon with Orlando hosting Chicago at 1:00 pm EST
• Last week’s record: 3-0, +3.29 units; Season Record 13-5, +6.76 units
• Read on for the odds and our best bets for the MLS Week 6 below

The MLS Week 6 odds are highlighted by a huge El Trafico matchup on Saturday night which will see Chicharito and Carlos Vela meet head-to-head in MLS for the first time in this LA derby. We preview this and more from MLS Week 6 below.

It’s a slightly lighter slate this weekend with just 12 matches taking place, ten on Saturday, and two on Sunday, versus the typical 14 overall matches we’ve seen in weeks past.

Seattle and New York City FC played in the CCL Semifinals on Wednesday, with the Sounders winning leg 1 by a 3-1 scoreline.

Read on for the odds for MLS Week 6 below, followed by our two top plays for the weekend, as well as a two-team parlay bet.

MLS Week 6 Odds

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There are several pros and cons of betting to betting all of the matches above. However. it looks to be a fairly evenly-matched weekend with the biggest favorite only being New York at -160 odds against CF Montreal.

With legal Canadian sports betting launching on Monday, April 4 in Ontario, Toronto FC bettors now have a whole host of new sportsbooks to bet with this weekend. TFC visits RSL Saturday night.

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Inter Miami vs New England Revolution Prediction

No one would have expected these two teams to be just two spots apart in the Eastern Conference standings heading into MLS Week 6. Especially when one of them, Miami, ranks dead-last at 0-1-4 with just a single point.

After an opening day draw (0-0), Miami has dropped each of their past four results by 5-1, 2-0, 3-1, and 3-1 scorelines. Three goals scored on the year makes them tied for the worst total in all of MLS. Their 13 goals conceded is second-worst. They’ve only created 6.0 expected goals (xG) which is an East worst.

I don’t know where the offense is going to come from for Miami in this match. They only hold 46.6-percent average possession (21st), and rank 25th in attacking third touches, as well as 25th in shots on goal.

Their best player, Gonzalo Higuain has looked visibly annoyed with his own teammates, has been at odds with head coach Phil Neville and has in fact announced his retirement this week at the end of the season.

Gonzalo Higuain will retire at the end of the season, as confirmed by his father to TNT Sports 🇦🇷 pic.twitter.com/JFGrzBhzdn

— GOAL (@goal) April 5, 2022

At 1-1-3, the defending Supporters Shield champs New England have not had much better of a start to the season. However, they were dealing with CCL matches to start the year and after being eliminated, no longer have that extra travel and game time between matches.

The Revs’ lone win came back on March 5, 1-0, at home to Dallas. Last week they lost 1-0 through a 90′ own goal against the New York Red Bulls. The Revs have now lost three straight in MLS, and head coach Bruce Arena has never lost four in a row in his coaching career in regulation.  Back in 1996, he lost a fourth-straight in a shootout and that’s been his only four-match slide. Those were also his four games coaching.

The winningest coach in MLS history. 👏

Bruce Arena adds another accolade to an incredible career. pic.twitter.com/7wO8AgIFQ8

— Major League Soccer (@MLS) March 5, 2022

While neither is in good form, this is still the Supporters’ Shield winners and an early favorite in the MLS Cup odds. The Revs are off to a bad start. Miami is just a disaster. If New England were to lose to Miami, that would be a disaster. I’ll take the plus-money odds for the Revs.

Pick: New England to win (+129); 1 unit

LA Galaxy vs LAFC Prediction

It’s third in the West (LA) versus first in the conference (LAFC), in another installment of the El Trafico rivalry in California.

LAFC is one of just three undefeated teams in the league so far, with the others being Philadelphia and Chicago in the East. LAFC is now riding a three-game winning streak after last week’s 4-2 road win in Orlando. It was an impressive win, especially considering neither Carlos Vela nor Cristian Arango found the scoresheet.

Chicharito vs. Carlitos

Old friends finally meet on the pitch tomorrow at 7:30 ET on FOX: https://t.co/nHzFDim501 pic.twitter.com/v6HM9ut6oO

— Major League Soccer (@MLS) April 8, 2022

With 13 goals scored they’re tied for first overall in goal scoring with Austin through five weeks. They sit right behind Austin in xG, 9.5 to 9.7, and rank fourth overall in that category.

Equally impressive though has been the defense, a problem last season, which has only conceded on four occasions.

The Galaxy’s offense hasn’t been quite as prolific (7 goals scored), but they’ve been just as good defensively, only conceding five goals. The Galaxy was involved in the lone Sunday match last weekend, a 3-1 road win in Portland, though aided by a first-half extra-time red card shown to the Timbers’ Pablo Bonilla.

Off the field: 😃
On the field: 😤 pic.twitter.com/Ybi2Fny5b3

— Major League Soccer (@MLS) April 8, 2022

These rivals met on three occasions last season. First, a 2-1 home win by the Galaxy, followed by a 3-3 draw at home for LAFC. Their final meeting was another draw, 1-1, back on the Galaxy’s home ground. Overall, there’s been 13 all-time meetings between the teams. And while we haven’t seen any eight-goal thrillers of late from years past, never have there been fewer than at least two goals scored. A road team has also only won this rivalry one time.

With both Chicharito for the Galaxy and Carlos Vela for LAFC in good form with four goals each to start the year, this one should feature all the big names. And while the defenses have been impressive for both of late, it’s typically all offense when these sides meet up.

LAFC ranks sixth in attacking third touches and fifth in shots on target. Meanwhile, the Galaxy ranks fifth in attacking third touches and seventh in shots on target.

Pick: Both to Score & Over 2.5 Goals (-125); 1 unit

MLS Week 6 Parlay Bet

Here’s a two-teamer for Sunday’s two matches to consider as a parlay bet for MLS Week 6.

Charlotte FC vs Atlanta United Prediction

Oddly we just saw this match as recently as March 13. That one came in Atlanta and was just Charlotte’s fourth game into existence. As expected, the Five Stripes came away with the win over the expansion side. However, the score was just 2-1, and Atlanta’s winning goal didn’t come until the 96′ minute. In fact, Charlotte had kept the match scoreless until Josef Martinez’s PK goal on the hour-mark.

Much has changed since. Charlotte went on to win their next two matches, both at home, by 3-1 and 2-0 scores, prior to last week’s 2-0 loss in Philly.

📝 | #ATLUTD announces that Josef Martinez will miss approximately six to eight weeks after undergoing arthroscopic surgery on Wednesday to clean out debris in his right knee.

— Atlanta United FC (@ATLUTD) April 8, 2022

Atlanta then drew 3-3 at home to Montreal and won 1-0 in DC last week. But injuries are already mounting. Martinez has left the team to surgery on his previously surgically repaired knee (ACL) and will be out six-to-eight weeks. Also, midfielder Osvaldo Alonso is done for the year with an ACL tear of his own.

The home advantage and depleted Atlanta squad should lead to Charlotte at least picking up a point in the double chance (-185) market which means they can win or draw.

Austin FC vs Minnesota United Prediction

Austin is tied for the highest-scoring team in MLS right now, with 13 goals alongside LAFC. Of those 13, 11 have come while playing at home in just three matches.

The Verde and Black are off to a strong start in thier second campaign at 2-2-1 (WDL) and have scored in four of five matches. Playing in the friendly confines of Q2 Stadium has done wonders for Austin’s offense as they’ve only failed to score once in their past 14 at home. They’re also 6-1-1 in their past eight.

Energy is high for our return home. 🙌 pic.twitter.com/uv7Oq8DaBz

— x – Austin FC (@AustinFC) April 8, 2022

A home win may in fact be in the cards, however, Minnesota is 2-2-1 themselves so far and are 4-1 to Under 2.5 totals. The Loons have only conceded four goals over their five matches while scoring just five themselves.

This one could be close but keeping Austin off the scoresheet on their home pitch has been a tough task. Austin to score (-450) will go into this parlay.

Parlay Bet: Charlotte double chance & Austin to score (-114); 1 unit