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Roma vs Real Sociedad Prediction, Odds, Lineups – Europa League Picks

Quinn Allen

by Quinn Allen in Soccer News

Updated Mar 8, 2023 · 9:15 AM PST

Roma's head coach Jose Mourinho gives instructions
Roma's head coach Jose Mourinho gives instructions during the Europa Conference League play offs first leg soccer match between Trabzonspor and Roma, in Trabzon, Turkey, Thursday, Aug. 19, 2021. (AP Photo)
  • Roma and Real Sociedad lock horns in the Europa League Round of 16 on Thursday
  • This is the first-ever competitive meeting between the two sides
  • Keep reading for the Roma vs Real Sociedad odds, preview, and prediction for this first leg

The Europa League Round of 16 officially begins on Thursday, with last year’s Conference League winners Roma clashing with an unfamiliar opponent in Real Sociedad. The two sides have never met in UEFA competition. The kick-off at the Stadio Olimpico is scheduled for 12:45 PM ET. Get our Roma vs Real Sociedad prediction here.

Giallorossi had to claw their way through the UEL knockout rounds last month, beating Red Bull Salzburg 2-1 across two legs. As for Sociedad, they won Group E, even finishing above Manchester United with a 5-0-1 record. That earned them an automatic berth in the last 16.

Roma vs Real Sociedad Odds

Matchup Moneyline
Roma +120
Real Sociedad +270
Draw +220

Roma is slightly favored at +120 Europa League odds for an implied win probability of 45.45%. Real Sociedad sits at +270. That’s a 27.03% chance of coming out victorious in the Italian capital.

Odds as of March 7th at DraftKings.


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Roma vs Real Sociedad Preview

Jose Mourinho’s men are in the midst of a solid campaign domestically, currently sitting in the final Champions League spot in Serie A through 25 games. They’ve tasted defeat just once in their last five league appearances and come into Thursday’s clash very inspired, beating Juventus over the weekend in thrilling fashion.

Despite getting outplayed in terms of possession and chances in the final third, Roma capitalized in the 53rd minute when defender Gianluca Mancini smashed home an absolute screamer from well outside the 18-yard box. The hosts kept the Old Lady at bay for the rest of the second half and took home an absolutely crucial three points in the process.

However, the Yellow and Reds did lose to last-place Cremonese just five days prior to the big result against Juve. Consistency tends to be an issue, but Roma will be confident knowing they’re much better on home turf. Mourinho’s side has tasted defeat a mere two times in their last 33 matches at Stadio Olimpico in European competition.

Sociedad is also enjoying a respectable season over in La Liga, occupying the fourth place. That being said, The White and Blues aren’t winning a whole lot as of late, collecting a mere two victories in their previous eight domestic outings. That includes three losses and three draws, with the latest coming on Friday.

Imanol Alguacil’s group settled for a scoreless stalemate with 15th-place Cadiz in a fixture where Sociedad frankly should’ve easily grabbed three points. They controlled 72% of the ball and had a total of 15 shots but only three found the target. Producing in the final third tends to be a problem in recent weeks, netting just twice in their previous three outings.

While history isn’t exactly on Sociedad’s side with one win in six European games against Italian opponents, the Spanish outfit did come out victorious in every single away game in the group stages and didn’t concede once.

Roma vs Real Sociedad UEL Stats

Real Sociedad
3-1-2 Record in 2022-23 UEL Group Stages 5-0-1
11 Goals Scored 10
7 Goals Conceded 2
LWWLW Form in Last Five Games (All Comps.) LWDLD

Roma vs Real Sociedad Projected Lineups & Injuries

Roma Projected Lineup:Β Patricio; Llorente, Smalling, Ibanez; Karsdorp, Cristante, Matic, El Shaarawy; Pellegrini, Dybala; Abraham

Injuries & Absences: Spinazzola

Real Sociedad Projected Lineup:Β Remiro; Gorosabel, Zubeldia, Le Normand, Rico; Zubimendi, Merino; Oyarzabal, Silva, Kubo; Sorloth

Injuries & Absences: Sadiq

Roma vs Real Sociedad Prediction

The atmosphere at Stadio Olimpico is always an advantage for Roma and I expect that to be the case once again in our Roma vs Real Sociedad prediction, especially after a critical victory over Juve. Take the hosts to grab a first-leg win against Sociedad, who will have work to do in the reverse fixture.

Roma vs Real Sociedad Picks: Roma +120

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