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Sporting Lisbon vs Arsenal Prediction, Odds, Lineups – Europa League Round of 16

Sam Cox

by Sam Cox in Soccer News

Mar 8, 2023 · 11:00 AM PST

Arsenal head coach Mikel Arteta talks to his players
Jul 23, 2022; Orlando, FL, USA; Arsenal head coach Mikel Arteta talks to his players during a cooling break in the first half against Chelsea at Camping World Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Sam Navarro-USA TODAY Sports
  • Sporting host Arsenal in the Europa League Round of 16 on Thursday
  • The Gunners are +105 favorites to win the match at the Estádio José Alvalade in the Sporting Lisbon vs Arsenal odds
  • Read below for our full preview, statistics and a Sporting Lisbon vs Arsenal prediction

Arsenal are on the road on Thursday as their Europa League campaign resumes against Sporting in Lisbon. Mikel Arteta’s team won in dramatic fashion to maintain a five-point lead at the top of the Premier League last weekend, and it will be interesting to see how seriously the Spaniard takes this competition. They are second favorites in Europa League odds to lift the trophy at the time of writing and +110 favorites to win this match in the Sporting Lisbon vs Arsenal odds.

Having been knocked out of the Champions League, Sporting are aiming to reach the last eight of a major European competition for the first time since 2017-18. They have success against English opposition already this season, notching a win and a draw against Tottenham.

Arsenal have been Europa League regulars over the last few seasons. Arteta saw his team knocked out at the semi-final stage last term, and they were runners-up in 2018-19.

Sporting Lisbon vs Arsenal Odds

Matchup Moneyline
Sporting +250
Arsenal +110
Draw +230

Sporting hammered FC Midtjylland 4-0 in the second leg of the last round after a 1-1 draw. Their moneyline price is still just +250 for this game inthe Sporting Lisbon vs Arsenal odds, equating to an implied probability of 28.6%. At +110, Arsenal have a 47.6% implied probability of winning this match. The Premier League outfit are as short as -375 to qualify for the next round.

Odds as of March 8th at FanDuel. Use this FanDuel Sportsbook promo to bet on all Europa League matches.

Sporting Lisbon vs Arsenal Over/Under and Spread

The bookies are not expecting an especially high-scoring encounter here for this Sporting Lisbon vs Arsenal prediction. The over/under is set at 2.5, but they are leaning towards the under with a -126 price. The over is at +102 for punters fancying three or more goals. For the spread, Arsenal -1 is +320. As the moneyline indicates, the books don’t believe there is a great deal to choose between these sides. Sporting +2 is as short as -600.

Sporting Lisbon vs Arsenal Preview

Both sides enter this matchup on four-match winning streaks. Sporting has kept three clean sheets in a row, including in the second leg against Midtjylland. Arsenal bounced back from their defeat to Manchester City with a string of important victories, but they have required late winners to beat both Aston Villa and Bournemouth.

Form in UEFA competitions has been a concern for Sporting prior to their drubbing of Midtjylland. They drew once and lost three times in their final four Champions League matches. It is just one win at home with losses to Marseille and Eintracht Frankfurt. Domestically, they have lost three times to Porto and drew with Benfica. Aside from emphatic wins over Braga, there is little evidence the Verde e brancos can compete with high-caliber opposition.

Arsenal, meanwhile, have not been great on the road of late, losing two of their last four. The two wins in that span were hardly dominant showings. Arteta is bound to rotate here, too, leaving them vulnerable to an upset. Sunday’s match against Fulham is naturally the Gunners’ priority as they eye their first Premier League title in two decades.

Sporting Lisbon vs Arsenal Lineups & Injuries

Sporting Lisbon Projected Lineup: Adan; Diomande, Coates, Inacio; Esgaio, Ugarte, Morita, Santos; Pote, Chermiti, Edwards

Injuries: Braganca

Arsenal Projected Lineup: Turner; Tomiyasu, Saliba, Kiwior, Tierney; Vieira, Partey, Xhaka; Nelson, Martinelli, Smith Rowe

Injuries: Jesus, Elneny, Trossard

Sporting Lisbon vs Arsenal Statistics

Sporting
VS
Arsenal
LDWWWW Form DLWWWW
14.4 Shots taken per match 16.8
59.6% Possession 60.4%
94 yellows, 6 reds Cards 55 yellows, 0 reds
530.3 Passes per match 544.7

Sporting Lisbon vs Arsenal Prediction

On paper, this should be a routine Arsenal win in the Sporting Lisbon vs Arsenal predictions. Sporting’s victory over Tottenham serves as a warning to Arteta, but the Gunners are miles clear of their north London rivals this season.

Rotation is a factor for bettors to consider before backing Arsenal, yet Arteta named some strong teams in the group stage and will surely continue that trend into the knockout rounds. Which regulars get left out for this one?

The +110 on Arsenal to win the match is reasonable enough, but we feel more comfortable taking the double chance with the draw as some insurance against rotation.

First legs are often cautious affairs, and that likely leads to a low-scoring match. Pair the double chance with under 3.5 total goals.

Sporting Lisbon vs Arsenal Picks: Arsenal to win or draw and under 3.5 total goals (-137)

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