Historical Super Bowl Futures from Past Seasons

• The last Super Bowl (60) was won by the Seattle Seahawks
• Look back at opening Super Bowl odds from past seasons and see how they changed over the course of each year
• Looking for the latest Super Bowl odds?

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I have been tracking the Super Bowl futures for all 32 teams in the NFL over the course of each season going back to Super Bowl 52. Whether you’re looking for the opening Super Bowl futures for any of the past nine seasons, or want to see how the odds to win the Super Bowl changed in any of those years, you can find all the data below. You will also find bullet notes on what led to some of the biggest changes we saw in the odds each season.

You can use the list below to jump to any specific past Super Bowl:

Super Bowl 60 | SB 59 | SB 58 | SB 57 | SB 56 | SB 55 | SB 54 | SB 53 | SB 52

Super Bowl 60 Futures

The Seattle Seahawks won their second Super Bowl championship in the 2025-26 NFL season, hammering the Patriots 29-13 in Super Bowl 60, which was played on February 8, 2026 in Santa Clara, California. The Seahawks were not among the top contenders when futures opened, though. They were favored when the matchup was set, and had become the favorites a few weeks prior. But as you can see, they were not seen as the favorites for much of the season.

The New England Patriots served as the underdog in Super Bowl 60. Mike Vrabel’s squad was getting +197 odds to win the game.

Odds opened to win Super Bowl 60 in February and the Eagles were the early Super Bowl favorites. After the Bills, Chiefs, and Rams enjoyed some time as the favorites this season, a new favorite emerged: the Seahawks. Sportsbooks were right about Seattle, as they ended up winning the Super Bowl.

The Seahawks took over as the new Super Bowl favorite following Week 17, where the Rams, who had been the favorites the past month or so, not only lost the potential to win their division (and get the top seed), but were also upset by the Falcons. Seattle locked up their division and the #1 seed in the NFC with a Week 18 win over the 49ers. They then steamrolled the 49ers in the Divisional Round, and outdueled the Rams in an extremely entertaining NFC Championship.

The Patriots were given the second-best odds to win the Super Bowl ahead of the Conference Championships, in spite of playing the AFC Championship on the road. The fact that the game was being played against a backup QB resulted in their odds improving significantly.

Here are some notes to help answer why odds changed/moved for the top contenders for Super Bowl 60:

• [December 30] The Rams lost to the Falcons in Week 17 and had already lost the potential of finishing in the top seed in the NFC prior to kickoff of their game. These two things were the cause of LA no longer being seen as the Super Bowl favorite after Week 17, as the Seahawks took over for the first time.
• [November 25] The Los Angeles Rams crushed the Buccaneers on SNF of Week 12, while the Eagles lost to the Cowboys. These two outcomes resulted in the Rams taking over as the lone favorites to win the Super Bowl following Week 12.
• [November 17] The Rams and Eagles took over as the Super Bowl favorites after they recorded wins over the Seahawks and Lions, respectively, paired with a Chiefs loss to the Broncos in Week 11.
• [October 14] After the Bills lost a second straight game in Week 6, and the Chiefs earned a convincing win over the Lions, Kansas City reclaimed the title of Super Bowl favorite.
• [September 16] According to sportsbooks, the Bengals’ season essentially ended after Week 2, when Joe Burrow suffered a toe injury that was projected to keep him out for around three months. Their Super Bowl odds went from as short as +2000 to as long as +7500.
• [September 9] Buffalo’s thrilling comeback win over the Ravens resulted in the Bills taking over as Super Bowl favorites following Week 1. The Chiefs’ odds took a big hit, fading from an average of +817 prior to kickoff to as long as +1200, after their offensive line issues did not look resolved in their loss to the Chargers. Detroit was another top contender who disappointed in Week 1, as they were dominated by the Packers, resulting in their Super Bowl odds fading from +1233 to +2000.
• [August 28] The Packers saw their Super Bowl odds improve from an average of +2029 to as short as 12-1 after trading for standout defender Micah Parsons. The move saw them jump the Rams, Commanders, and 49ers to move sixth-best odds on the board.
• [July 22] The Baltimore Ravens took back over as the Super Bowl favorites in mid/late-July. While the movement did not come immediately after the team signed free agent corner Jaire Alexander, it’s likely the addition brought in some extra money over the following weeks, resulting in sportsbooks shortening the Ravens’ odds slightly.
• [April 30] The NFL Draft did very little to Super Bowl odds. The Patriots saw the biggest improvement, after what was seen as a great first draft for Mike Vrabel, but only went from average odds of +9786 to +7943 and remained longshots. The Saints were the team whose odds worsened the most, going from +16286 to a little longer than +20000. This is likely the result of Derek Carr’s shoulder concerns, and drafting Tyler Shough very early.
• [March 17] The combination of Baltimore re-signing Ronnie Stanley, and a pretty underwhelming free agency period for the Chiefs, resulted in the Ravens breaking away from Kansas City and Buffalo for the second-best odds to win Super Bowl 60 early in the offseason.
• [March 7] The Raiders went from extreme longshots to win the Super Bowl to slightly shorter extreme longshots after acquiring Geno Smith from the Seahawks. While the QB position has been a sore spot for the team over the past couple few handful of seasons, it’s far from their only problem. Sportsbooks are also considering their external problems as well, as they find themselves in what appears to be a very difficult AFC West.
• [February 8] Just prior to the end of the previous NFL season, the Chiefs moved to the new favorites to win Super Bowl 60. Their odds actually worsened a little, but so did all of the other top contenders. The Eagles were listed with the second-best odds at this time, which is pretty typical of the two teams who are meeting in the Super Bowl the previous season.
• [January 19] In the very early opening Super Bowl 60 odds, the Baltimore Ravens were listed as the favorites at +500 odds. They were slightly better than the Chiefs at +550, and the first NFC team didn’t show up until fourth, which was the Lions at +850.

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Super Bowl 59 Futures

The Chiefs were considered the favorites when we got to Super Bowl 59, with the Eagles serving as the underdogs, but both teams were doubted at different points of the 2024-25 NFL season. The Eagles silenced all doubters in the Super Bowl when they crushed the Chiefs, effectively having the game wrapped up early in the second half.

The longest odds you could have gotten on Kansas City to win the Super Bowl this season were +1000 at opening. The longest odds they had during the season was +568, which came after Week 15 when it looked like Buffalo had a real shot to take the top seed in the AFC.

The longest odds available on the Eagles to win the Super Bowl in the 2024-25 NFL season were also at opening, when you could have bet them at +2200. The longest their odds were listed during the regular season came after Week 7, which was a game they did win but Washington was starting to look very good and appeared to be a real threat to Philadelphia in the NFC East.

The San Francisco 49ers were the early Super Bowl favorites this year, even though the Chiefs took them down in last year’s big game. However, Kansas City’s 2025 Super Bowl odds continued to steadily improve throughout the spring and summer, ultimately leading to the Chiefs becoming the new Super Bowl favorites in July.

Kansas City maintained the best odds to win the Super Bowl up until losing their first game of the season, which came in Week 11 at the hands of the Bills. After the loss, the Detroit Lions took over as the new Super Bowl favorites. Those same Bills went at beat the Lions in Week 15, though, making Buffalo the Super Bowl favorite for one week.

Detroit then took back the title of favorite after Week 16, only to see the Chiefs overtake them following Week 17. This was because the Lions found themselves in a Week 18 matchup with the Vikings, where the loser would get the fifth-seed in the NFC. After the Lions won the game, locking up the top seed in the NFC, they became the Super Bowl favorites again as the NFL playoffs prepare to kickoff, and remained the favorites until they were upset by the Commanders in the Divisional Round.

Kansas City took over as the favorite again after Detroit’s loss, but it was just temporary, as the Eagles became the new favorites after beating the Rams to advance to the NFC Championship. Philadelphia was also serving as a temporary favorite, though, as they had the much easier matchup in the Conference Championships. After the Chiefs beat the Bills in the AFC Championship, they moved to the favorites to win Super Bowl 59.

Super Bowl 59 Line Movement

Here are some notes on the movement of the top contenders for Super Bowl 59:

• [February 9] The Eagles beat the Chiefs 40-22 to win Super Bowl 59.
• [January 27] After the Eagles and Chiefs won their respective Conference Championships to advance to Super Bowl 59, Kansas City opened as 1.5-point favorites to win the 2025 Super Bowl.
• [January 19] As suspected, Philadelphia took over as the favorite to win the Super Bowl following their win over the Rams. The Eagles are being listed as the favorites because sportsbooks believe they have an easier path to the Super Bowl, as they prepare to host the Commanders.
• [January 18] Detroit, who was favored to win the Super Bowl when the Divisional Round started, was surprisingly upset by the Commanders in the second round of the NFL Playoffs. The Chiefs became the new Super Bowl favorites after the Lions’ loss, but the Eagles were very close behind, meaning if they manage to advance to the Conference Championships, they would overtake Kansas City as the favorites. Washington’s Super Bowl odds improved from +3000 to +550 after the big win, which punched their ticket to the NFC Championship.
• [January 5] The Lions beat the Vikings in the final game of the regular season to clinch both their division crown and the top seed in the NFC, which moved them back to being Super Bowl favorites entering the playoffs. The loss resulted in Minnesota’s Super Bowl odds fading from +900 to +1500.
• [December 31] After another impressive win in Week 17, sportsbooks believed the Chiefs were back. Kansas City moved back to the Super Bowl favorite for the first time since mid-November.
• [December 22] Buffalo’s reign as the Super Bowl favorite only lasted one week. Their narrow win over the Patriots, paired with Detroit’s dominance in Chicago, resulted in the Lions becoming the Super Bowl favorites again.
• [December 17] With the Bills beating the Lions in Week 15, Buffalo took over as the Super Bowl favorites for the first time this season. They were only the fourth different team to be favored at this point. The Bills’ odds improved from +626 to +425 after Week 15. Detroit’s Super Bowl odds faded from +266 to +550 after the loss, plus the devastating news of losing David Montgomery for the season.
• [December 3] After Week 13, the Kansas City Chiefs were no longer among the top two contenders to win the Super Bowl for the first time this season. Their near-loss to the Raiders on Black Friday resulted in both the Eagles and Bills jumping them in the odds.
• [November 26] The 49ers’ Super Bowl odds took a massive hit after a Week 12 loss to the Packers. San Francisco entered the weekend with +1200 odds, but were +8000 after losing 38-10 without starting QB Brock Purdy.
• [November 17] For the first time since July, the Kansas City Chiefs were not the Super Bowl favorites. The Chiefs lost to the Bills in Week 11, marking their first loss of the season, which opened the door for the Lions to take over as the new Super Bowl favorites.
• [October 22] The Lions handed the Vikings their first loss of the season in Week 7, and the 49ers took another loss, this time to the Chiefs. On top of that, Brandon Aiyuk suffered a season-ending knee injury and Deebo Samuel checked into the hospital with pneumonia. All of that led to San Francisco’s Super Bowl odds fading from +669 to +1200, allowing Baltimore and Detroit to move ahead of them.
• [October 15] After the Jets acquired Davante Adams from the Raiders and the Bills acquired Amari Cooper from the Bills, neither team saw any sort of significant change in their Super Bowl odds. Sportsbooks still felt the Jets had other problems, leaving their odds slightly longer than 30-1 at most sportsbooks, and still have the Chiefs and Ravens firmly ahead of the Bills.
• [October 8] The Ravens overtook the 49ers for the second-best odds to win the Super Bowl, behind the Chiefs, following another San Francisco loss in Week 5. The Bengals and Jets, both of whom have suffered from slow starts, have seen their odds take another big dip. Cincinnati went from +2625 to +3500, while the Jets went from +2025 to +3000 after a loss in London that resulted in their coach, Robert Saleh, being fired.
• [September 30] The Chiefs’ Super Bowl odds went from +475 to +550 after Rashee Rice went down in Week 4 with what’s feared to be a torn ACL. They still remained the favorites, but San Francisco closed the gap a bit. The Vikings were finally moved into the top ten contenders for Super Bowl odds after a 4-0 start. Minnesota’s odds improved from +2560 to +1700, with some sportsbooks listing them as short as +1200.
• [September 23] The 49ers didn’t see their Super Bowl odds change much after losing their second straight game in Week 3. The Bills have closed the gap between them and the Chiefs & 49ers. Buffalo’s second dominant win in a row has seen their odds improve to as short as +800. Houston’s high came to an end in Week 3, though, as they were blown out by the Vikings, sending their odds from +1100 to +1800. The Vikings, the team who handed Houston that bad loss, still remain a distant +2500 in the Super Bowl odds after wins over the 49ers and Texans pushed them to 3-0. Minnesota did at least improve from +4700.
• [September 16] The Packers rebounded after seeing their odds plummet following QB Jordan Love going down with a knee injury. Green Bay got a win over the Colts with backup Malik Willis under center, and their Super Bowl odds bounced back from +3500 to +2200. The Dolphins’ odds went from +2000 to +4000 with Tua Tagovailoa’s very uncertain future following another concussion. Sportsbooks are only really buying into one of the teams who provided one of Week 2’s many massive upsets: the Saints saw their odds to win the Super Bowl improve from +6000 to +3500 after an extremely impressive win over the Cowboys. None of the Raiders, Vikings, or Buccaneers saw much movement in their Super Bowl futures.
• [September 9] After a shocking loss at the hands of the Patriots in Week 1, the Bengals saw their Super Bowl odds dip from +1400 to +2000. The Browns, who were seen as outside contenders entering the season, faded from +3750 to +6000 after a truly awful showing against the Cowboys. The Packers also saw their odds plummet from +1800 to +3500 after not only losing to the Eagles in Week 1, but also losing Jordan Love for what sounds like 3-6 weeks.
• [September 5] The true Super Bowl contenders saw very little Super Bowl odds movement throughout the preseason and leading up to kickoff. The three teams who have seen some movement are the New England Patriots, New York Giants, and Denver Broncos. The Patriots and Giants saw their odds worsen significantly, though they were already very long, while the Broncos went from having the second-worst odds to third-worst.
• [July 1] Though nothing has changed on either roster, the Kansas City Chiefs have overtaken the San Francisco 49ers as the favorites to win Super Bowl 59. This movement is simply the result of money coming in on the Chiefs.
• [April 29] The NFL Draft didn’t bring about too much movement in the Super Bowl odds. Miami saw their odds fade a little, going from +2020 to +2343 after a somewhat underwhelming draft that saw them select Chop Robinson, who is quite raw and would ideally find himself behind Bradley Chubb and Jaelan Phillips on the depth chart, in the first round, followed by Patrick Paul, who projects to also be a backup this season, in the second round. The Steelers saw the biggest odds improvement, going from +6520 to +4643 after adding two starting offensive limen with their first two picks as well as Roman Wilson, who may be their second-best receiver, and Payton Wilson, the draft’s second-best ILB.
• [April 4] The Houston Texans have acquired Stefon Diggs from the Buffalo Bills. Houston’s Super Bowl odds went from +2180, which were already 11th-best in the NFL, to +1471, making them a top-seven contender. The Bills saw their odds fade a little from +1140 to +1300 with the loss of their top wide receiver.
• [March 11] The Falcons have seen their Super Bowl odds improve from +4000 to +2800 after signing Kirk Cousins in free agency. Saquon Barkley landing in Philadelphia has improved the Eagles’ odds, but only slightly.
• [January 29] After the Chiefs downed the Ravens in last year’s AFC Championship, they have seen their Super Bowl 59 odds improve as well. Kansas City now has the second-best odds to win the 2025 Super Bowl.
• [January 21] Super Bowl 59 odds have already opened and the 49ers are the clear favorites at +550 odds. The Bills opened with the second-best odds, followed by the Ravens and then the Chiefs. The biggest surprise (to some) might be the Lions tied with the Bengals for the fifth-best odds

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Super Bowl 58 Futures

The San Francisco 49ers were the Super Bowl favorites, as they prepared to take on the Kansas City Chiefs in Super Bowl 58. However, the Chiefs hoisted another Lombardi Trophy after a thrilling overtime win.

Kyle Shanahan’s team became the favorites after beating the Seahawks in Week 12, ending Philadelphia’s one week reign as favorites. They really broke away from the pack after embarrassing the Eagles in Philadelphia in Week 13. The 49ers have even remained Super Bowl favorites after losing to the Ravens on Christmas night. San Francisco really overcame adversity after falling down 24-7 to the Lions entering halftime of the NFC Championship. A red hot second half gave Brock Purdy and company a 34-31 victory, punching their ticket to Las Vegas.

The Chiefs opened the season as the favorites to win Super Bowl 58, spent the entire offseason as the favorites, but saw the San Francisco 49ers take over as the Super Bowl favorites after Week 1. The Chiefs, however, took back over as the favorites following Week 7, but gave that up with a loss to the Eagles at home in Week 11.

The Chiefs and Eagles, who were favorites most of the season saw their odds fall off significantly over the final few weeks of the regular season as they continued losing / showing signs of weakness. The struggles ultimately led to a first-round playoff exit for the Eagles, but Kansas City has gotten hot at the right time and will represent the AFC in the 2024 Super Bowl. The Chiefs managed to outlast the Ravens in the AFC Championship, winning 17-10.

You can see the closing Super Bowl odds for 2024 below, and see how all 32 teams’ odds changed throughout the course of the 2023-24 NFL season with the graph above.

The 49ers were listed as the favorites to win Super Bowl 58 with -130 odds.

Super Bowl 58 Odds Movement

Here are some notes on the movement of the top contenders for Super Bowl 58:

• [February 11] The Chiefs beat the 49ers 25-22 in the second Super Bowl to go to OT.
• [January 28] The Super Bowl 58 matchup is set, as the San Francisco 49ers will take on the Kansas City Chiefs in a rematch of Super Bowl 54. The 49ers have opened as 2.5-point favorites, and are given -135 odds just to win the game.
• [January 21] The 49ers enter the Conference Championships as the Super Bowl favorites with +145 odds. The Ravens are not far behind with +200 odds, but they’ll have to deal with the reigning champs in the AFC Championship.
• [December 26] Even after losing handily to the Ravens on a Christmas edition of Monday Night Football, the 49ers remained the favorites to win Super Bowl 58.
• [December 10] For the first time this season, neither of the Chiefs or Eagles are among the top two favorites to win the Super Bowl. Both teams lost in Week 14 and we have seen Miami move behind the 49ers for the second-best odds.
• [December 5] The 49ers created some separation between themselves and the rest of the field when it comes to odds to win the Super Bowl after hammering the Eagles 42-19 in Week 13. We also saw the Chiefs lose in Week 13 as well.
• [November 28] In spite of the Eagles winning again in Week 12, moving their record to 10-1, they are no longer the favorites to win the Super Bowl. Philadelphia failed to put together a complete game yet again, and the sportsbooks are obviously feeling that won’t cut it against top competition. The 49ers, on the other hand, looked very good in a win over the Seahawks, and have moved back to Super Bowl favorites.
• [November 21] For the first time this season, the Philadelphia Eagles are Super Bowl favorites. This comes after beating the Chiefs at Arrowhead on Monday Night Football of Week 11.
• [November 17] Prior to their TNF matchup with the Ravens, the Bengals’ Super Bowl odds were listed at +1600. With the news today of Joe Burrow being done for the season with a torn ligament in his wrist, which comes with all sorts of concerns (specifically from the betting world) due to Burrow not being listed on the Bengals’ injury report, Cincinnati’s odds have plummeted to +10000. I suspect we will see these odds continue to worsen before they play their next game as well.
• [November 6] After fading to as long as +3000 in early October, the Bengals have moved back into the top eight Super Bowl contenders. This comes after their Week 9 win over the Bills, which has resulted in their odds improving from +1750 to +1200.
• [October 23] The 49ers had already seen their Super Bowl odds slip after being upset by the Browns in Week 6, but were no longer seen as the favorites after their Week 7 loss to the Vikings. Kansas City is back to being favored to win the Super Bowl.
• [October 3] The Bengals suffered another bad loss in Week 5, this time to the Tennessee Titans. Cincinnati’s Super Bowl odds took a bigger hit after this loss, moving from +1800 to +2900.
• [September 25] After scoring 70 points in a Week 3 win over the Broncos, the Dolphins see their Super Bowl odds continue to improve, going from +1300 to +900. This ties them with the Cowboys, who faded from +750 to +900 after being upset by the Cardinals, for the fourth-best odds.
• [September 18] After a concerning 0-2 start to the 2023-24 NFL season, the Bengals have seen their Super Bowl 58 odds fall to +1800, which still puts them in a tie for the eighth-best odds on the board.
• [September 12] As we all await the likely and very unfortunate confirmation that Aaron Rodgers tore his Achilles four plays into his Jets debut, sportsbooks moved the Jets’ Super Bowl 58 odds from +1800 to +2500 Monday night. *Now that it is confirmed to be a torn Achilles, they are down to +6000*. The Bills, who lost to the Aaron Rodgers-less Jets in Week 1, have seen their odds fade from +800 to +1100.
• [September 10] The San Francisco 49ers have taken over as Super Bowl 58 favorites after Sunday of Week 1. Their Super Bowl 58 odds improved from +1000 to +475 after a truly dominant performance against the Steelers. Dallas also put forth an incredible performance in Week 1, shutting out the Giants 40-0, and saw their odds improve from +1400 to +1000. Miami also saw notable improvement to their Super Bowl odds, as they moved from +2500 to +1700 after a thrilling win over the Chargers. On the other end, we saw the Bengals only fade from +1100 to +1400 after looking awful in a bad loss to Cleveland.
• [September 8] After losing to the Lions in the 2023-24 NFL season opener, the Chiefsare now co-favorites to win the Super Bowl alongside the Eagles. We did not see their odds fade until Friday morning, as they remained the favorites throughout Thursday night. It should be noted Kansas City was without Travis Kelce and Chris Jones. Plus, Kadarius Toney played one of the worst games we’ve seen from a wide receiver in recent memory. The Lions, on the other hand, saw their Super Bowl 58 odds improve from +2200 to +1700 with the win.
• [August 16] The Jets’ Super Bowl odds haven’t moved much at all after signing free agent running back Dalvin Cook.
• [July 24] Despite signing free agent wide receiver DeAndre Hopkins, the Titans odds actually got worse, going from an average of +7750 to +8120. Sportsbooks and bettors obviously don’t feel Hopkins moves the needle in Tennessee.
• [May 10] Heading into the NFL Draft, the Seahawks saw their Super Bowl odds improve dramatically, going from +6500 to +4250. Without any major move of their own to point to, I believe this was just due to the Rams trading off Jalen Ramsey, and potentially preparing for a bit of a rebuild, as well as the uncertainty around San Francisco QB Brock Purdy’s availability for Week 1 (and beyond). After Seattle landed both Devon Witherspoon and Jaxon Smith-Njigba in the first-round of the 2023 NFL Draft, their Super Bowl odds continued to improve, landing at +3500.
• [April 28] The Ravens and Lamar Jackson have agreed to a five-year extension, keeping the 2019 NFL MVP in Baltimore. Their Super Bowl odds opened at +2800 due to the uncertainty around whether Jackson would remain in town, but are now continuing to steadily improve at +2150.
• [April 24] The Jets’ Super Bowl odds improved from +1500 to +1400 after finalizing a trade to acquire Aaron Rodgers. The odds only shifted slightly because sportsbooks had already made the adjustment based on Rodgers being a Jet. After the former Packers QB said he wanted to be traded to the Jets, sportsbooks adjusted, knowing it was only a matter of time before the trade was official. The Packers saw more significant movement after the trade, fading from +3500 to +5000 with Jordan Love now taking over under center.
• [March 13] An early report has suggested Aaron Rodgers has been traded to the Jets, but the news has yet to be confirmed. That has not stopped the Jets’ Super Bowl odds from continuing to improve, though, as they have now gone from +1800 to +1500. A fellow AFC East team also made a splash, as Miami traded for cornerback Jalen Ramsey. The Dolphins’ odds to win the Super Bowl went from +3000 to +2500 after the move.
• [March 10] The Chicago Bears’ Super Bowl odds improved from +7000 to +5500 after trading the first-overall pick in the 2023 NFL Draft to the Panthers for a massive haul that included two first-round picks (one from this year’s draft), two second-round picks, and receiver DJ Moore. They’re not seen as contenders yet, but sportsbooks felt this was a strong move in the right direction, especially with Aaron Rodgers reportedly leaving the division.
• [March 8] The Jets’ Super Bowl odds opened at +4000 but have since improved to +1800 after the Packers have granted Aaron Rodgers permission to speak with New York.
• [March 6] The Saints’ Super Bowl odds went from +4250 to +3750 after signing Derek Carr.
• [February 12] After winning Super Bowl 57, the Chiefs’ odds moved from +550 to +600 to win Super Bowl 58. They open the favorites yet again.
• [February 1] Tom Brady has again announced his retirement from the NFL, this time saying it is for real. Tampa Bay’s Super Bowl odds had opened at +3500, but have now plummeted to as long as +6500 following Brady’s announcement.
• [January 31] Denver’s 2024 Super Bowl odds opened at +4000, but improved to as short as +2800 after trading for former Saints head coach Sean Payton. The new head coach will be tasked with fixing Russell Wilson and the pitiful offense the Broncos put on the field last season.
• [January 23] Early Super Bowl 58 odds opened with the Chiefs listed as +550 favorites, followed by the Bills, 49ers, and Eagles.

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Super Bowl 57 Futures

The Chiefs and Eagles met in Super Bowl 57 with Patrick Mahomes and company coming out victorious after an extremely entertaining game.

The Chiefs entered the playoffs as the consensus favorite to win the Super Bowl, with the 49ers being given the best odds among NFC teams. The Eagles became the new favorites two days after the NFL Divisional Round wrapped up thanks to Patrick Mahomes’ ankle injury. Philadelphia’s Super Bowl odds improved to +100 after they beat the 49ers to earn a trip to Super Bowl 57, and closed -120 to beat the Chiefs.

You can see the latest 2023 Super Bowl odds below, and track how all 32 teams’ odds have changed throughout the course of the 2022-23 NFL season with the graph above.

Closing Super Bowl 57 Odds

*Odds as of February 12 prior to kickoff

The Eagles closed as the Super Bowl 2023 favorites. Philadelphia’s -120 odds to win the Super Bowl imply a 55.6% chance to hoist the Lombardi Trophy this year. The Chiefs, who narrowly got by the Bengals in the AFC Championship, are given +100 odds to win the Super Bowl, implying a 48.8% chance to win. If you’re wondering why that adds up to more than 100%, it’s because of the vig/juice sportsbooks charge to take the bet.

The Super Bowl point spread opened at Philadelphia -1.5, quickly moved down to Philadelphia -1, but then jumped back in the Eagles favor. Some sportsbooks had moved to Eagles -2.5 as of Monday, but we are seeing the line settle back in at Philadelphia -1.5. The Super Bowl over/under opened at 49.5, made a brief move to 50, but went back to 49.5 pretty quickly. On Thursday, February 2 we saw the total move to 50.5, and increased another half point to 51 on Tuesday. It made a final move to 51.5 on Super Bowl Sunday.

The 2023 Super Bowl kicked off at 6:30pm ET on Sunday, February 12.

Here are some more notes on the movement of the top contenders for Super Bowl 57:

• [February 12] The Kansas City Chiefs defeated the Philadelphia Eagles in Super Bowl 57. The Chiefs won 38-35, kicking a go-ahead field goal with just eight seconds left.
• [January 29] The Philadelphia Eagles have punched their ticket to the 2023 Super Bowl after beating the San Francisco 49ers in the NFC Championship. The Eagles’ Super Bowl odds were listed at +100 prior to the AFC Championship kicking off, but improved to -115 after the Chiefs beat the Bengals. Kansas City’s Super Bowl odds moved to -105 after beating the Bengals in the AFC Championship.
• [January 24] For the first time this season, the Philadelphia Eagles are given the best odds to win the Super Bowl. Kansas City was the consensus favorite after the Divisional Round, but concern over Patrick Mahomes’ ankle as well as a tough matchup against the Bengals in the AFC Championship has seen the Chiefs’ Super Bowl odds fade from +260 to +275. They are now third on the board behind the Eagles and Bengals.
• [January 22] The Buffalo Bills, who spent much of the year as the favorites to win the 2023 Super Bowl and entered the NFL Divisional Round with the second-best odds on the board, were upset by the Bengals in the third game of the weekend. Cincinnati’s Super Bowl odds improved from +900 to +280 after the win, leaving them with the second-best odds after the game. Before the Cowboys vs 49ers game even kicked off, the Eagles jumped the Bengals on the odds board, becoming co-favorites alongside the Chiefs with both getting +260 odds. The Bengals’ odds improved a little bit as well, landing at +275, which are the same odds the 49ers are getting after beating the Cowboys. I cannot recall another year where we entered the Conference Championships with the difference between the best and worst odds to win the Super Bowl being 15 cents.
• [January 15] The Vikings and Chargers losing have been the biggest upsets of the NFL Wild Card Weekend thus far. Minnesota and LA were listed at +2800 ad +2200, respectively, to win the Super Bowl. Jacksonville and New York (Giants), the two teams who beat them, both improved from +5000 odds to +2800.
• [January 8] Kansas City enters the NFL postseason as the favorites to win Super Bowl 57. The Bills have the second-best odds, while third on the board is the 49ers, who are given the best odds among NFC teams. The Giants and Dolphins enter the playoffs with the worst Super Bowl odds.
• [January 5] After the Bills vs Bengals game from Week 17 was canceled, the Chiefs have an inside path to the top seed in the AFC. As a result, the Chiefs and Bills are now listed as co-favorites to win the Super Bowl.
• [December 19] With the news of Jalen Hurts spraining his shoulder in Week 15, and possibly worse news to come, Philadelphia’s Super Bowl odds have faded from +430 to +525. They had the second-best odds on the board prior to this news, but have now dropped below Kansas City.
• [December 4] The Bengals beat the Chiefs in Week 13, marking their third consecutive victory over Kansas City. Cincinnati’s Super Bowl odds improved from +1800 to +1200 with the win, while Mahomes and company fell from +400 to +450. The dip has allowed Buffalo to take back the title of Super Bowl favorites. The 49ers had improved from +625 to +600 with their win over Miami, but news of Jimmy Garoppolo’s ankle being broken, and the QB now set to miss the rest of the season, San Francisco’s odds faded to +900 with Brock Purdy currently at the helm.
• [November 27] For the first time since mid-March, the Buffalo Bills are not the favorites to win the Super Bowl. With the Bills struggling lately and Chiefs seeming to be getting better as the season goes on, Kansas City has taken over as the favorites after Week 12.
• [November 14] After suffering their first loss of the season in Week 10, the Eagles’ Super Bowl odds faded from +500 to +650. Both were third-best at the time.
• [November 13] Even after being upset by the Vikings, marking back-to-back losses for Buffalo, the Bills remain the favorites to win the Super Bowl. Their odds did worsen from +280 to +375, though.
• [October 20] The San Francisco 49ers’ Super Bowl odds improved from +1800 to +1400 after they acquired star running back Christian McCaffrey from the Panthers. The 49ers have the fifth-best odds to win the Super Bowl after the trade, jumping over the Vikings for the third-best odds among NFC teams.
• [October 16] The Bills’ odds to win the Super Bowl have improved from +350 to +280 after Buffalo got a win in Kansas City in Week 6. All of Tampa Bay, Green Bay, Baltimore, and San Francisco lost as big favorites in Week 6. But only the Packers and Ravens saw their Super Bowl odds significantly fade – both went from +1400 to +2000.
• [October 2] The Eagles now have the best Super Bowl odds among NFC teams after beating the Jaguars to extend their perfect start to 4-0. Philadelphia’s odds improved from +900 to +750. The Broncos have seen their odds take a hit, going from +2200 to +3000 after losing to the Raiders.
• [September 25] Despite losing to the Dolphins in Week 3, the Bills remain heavy favorites to win Super Bowl 57. Their odds only faded from +400 to +450. Miami’s odds to win the Super Bowl have improved from +2500 to +1600. With the Buccaneers also losing, the Eagles are now tied with Tampa Bay for the best Super Bowl odds among NFC teams.
• [September 18] With Trey Lance done for the season, the 49ers’ Super Bowl odds actually improved from +2500 to +2000 after Jimmy Garoppolo led them to a win over the Seahawks. Miami’s huge comeback win over the Ravens resulted in their odds going from +3000 to +2500. Meanwhile, a couple teams we thought were true contenders have seen their Super Bowl odds begin to plummet: the Bengals faded from +2500 to +3500 as they start 0-2 following their major upset loss at the hands of the Cooper Rush-led Cowboys; and the Colts getting shutout in Jacksonville sees their odds go from +3000 to +4000.
• [September 11] After beating up on the Cardinals in Week 1, the Chiefs’ Super Bowl odds have improved from +1100 to +800. Green Bay’s Super Bowl odds only went from +1200 to +1500 following their ugly loss to the Vikings. Minnesota went from +4000 to +2500 with the win. San Francisco’s odds moved a little more after their loss to the Bears, going from +1600 to +2200.
• [August 18] The NFL has announced an 11-game suspension for Browns QB Deshaun Watson. Cleveland’s Super Bowl odds were once as short as +1800 after acquiring Watson from the Texans, but have now faded as long as +4000.
• [April 29] The Tennessee Titans traded away star receiver AJ Brown during the first-round of the 2022 NFL Draft, sending him to the Philadelphia Eagles. Tennessee’s Super Bowl odds faded from +2500 to +3000, while Philadelphia’s improved from +5000 to +4000. Some sportsbooks have the Eagles as short as +3500 after the trade. No movement was seen from the Cardinals trading for Marquise Brown from the Ravens. The Steelers’ odds to win the Super Bowl improved slightly, from +8000 to +6000, after drafting Kenny Pickett in the first round.
• [March 23] This absolutely insane NFL offseason continues, as the Chiefs have agreed to trade Tyreek Hill to the Miami Dolphins for a package of five draft picks, including their first-round pick in 2022. The move has resulted in the Chiefs’ odds going from +850 to +900, and the Dolphins have improved slightly from +7000 to +4000. Miami remains long shots in spite of having incredible speed at the wide receiver position.
• [March 21] The Indianapolis Colts have acquired Matt Ryan from the Falcons, replacing Carson Wentz under center and marking their sixth straight year with a new starting quarterback for Week 1. The Colts’ Super Bowl odds saw some improvement from the move, but not a ton, going from +3000 to +2500. The Falcons’ odds have faded from +6000 to +10000, putting them among the likes of the Giants and Bears.
• [March 18] In a surprise turn of events, Deshaun Watson has chosen the Cleveland Browns as the team he will waive his no-trade clause to be dealt to Cleveland. The Browns’ Super Bowl odds have improved from +4000 to +2000 with the move, with the early reports saying Cleveland will give up three first-round picks and then two more mid-round picks. Cleveland is now a top ten Super Bowl contender based on the betting odds at the moment. New Orleans and Atlanta, the two teams believed to be the preferred destinations for Watson, see their odds fade dramatically as they miss out on a new QB.
• [March 17] Green Bay’s Super Bowl odds have not moved much after agreeing to trade star receiver Davante Adams to the Las Vegas Raiders. The Packers went from +1100 to +1200 to win the Super Bowl. Las Vegas’ odds only improved from +6000 to +5000. With the Chargers adding star corner JC Jackson in free agency and trading for Khalil Mack, their Super Bowl odds have steadily improved from +2000 to +1600. Their movement has caused Denver’s odds to win the Super Bowl to fade a little too. New Orleans has seen major movement, going from +5000 to +1800, thanks to the Saints appearing to be the front-runners to acquire Texans QB Deshaun Watson. The Falcons have also seen their odds go from +8000 to +3000 while they remain the other team in the Watson sweepstakes.
• [March 13] Tom Brady has announced he will be unretiring and returning to the Tampa Bay Buccaneers for the 2022-23 NFL season. Tampa Bay’s Super Bowl odds had gotten as long as +2800 with Brady believed to be gone. But the Bucs’ odds to win Super Bowl 57 are now as short as +750 at DraftKings, tied for the second-best odds on the board at that sportsbook. If you’re looking to bet the Bucs, you’ll want to do it at Caesars Sportsbook, where they can still be found at +1000 odds.
• [March 8] The Green Bay Packers’ Super Bowl odds improved from +1500 to +1000 after Aaron Rodgers announced he will be returning to the team on a four-year, $200 million deal. The Packers are now given the best odds to win the Super Bowl among NFC teams, surpassing the Rams today. The Denver Broncos also saw their Super Bowl odds improve, going from +2200 to +1400, thanks to a blockbuster trade that sees them acquire Russell Wilson from the Seahawks in exchange for multiple first-round picks and Drew Lock. The Broncos are now tied for the fifth-best odds to win the Super Bowl. After trading Wilson away, the Seahawks’ Super Bowl odds faded from +4000 to +7500.
• [February 10] With Tom Brady announcing his retirement, the Tampa Bay Buccaneers saw their 2023 Super Bowl odds plummet from +1000 to +2200. They remain among the top ten contenders for now, but could quickly fall out if they are unable to bring in a quality quarterback or retain some key free agents. The Denver Broncos saw their Super Bowl odds improve from +3500 to +2000 after naming Nathaniel Hackett, Green Bay’s former offensive coordinator, their new head coach, which has brought on even more Aaron Rodgers to Denver speculation.
• [January 24] Early Super Bowl 57 odds have opened with the Kansas City Chiefs once again being listed as the favorites. This is their fourth straight season opening as the Super Bowl favorites. The Buffalo Bills opened with the second-best Super Bowl odds, while the Packers and Buccaneers are tied for the best odds among NFC teams at +1000.

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Super Bowl 56 Futures

The Rams were the 2022 Super Bowl champions after defeating the Cincinnati Bengals in Super Bowl 56.

The Los Angeles Rams were among the Super Bowl favorites most of the season, never seeing their average Super Bowl odds get longer than +1500. The Rams were listed as the favorites to win the Super Bowl once their matchup with the Bengals was set after the NFL Conference Championships.

The Bengals, on the other hand, were not seen as legitimate Super Bowl contenders for very long this season. Their odds to win the Super Bowl opened at +6600 and reached +18000 after losing to the Bears in Week 2. Even as late as December 12, Cincinnati’s Super Bowl odds were still as long as +4400.

You can see the closing 2022 Super Bowl odds below, while the graph above will let you view how all 32 teams’ odds changed throughout the course of the 2021-22 NFL season.

Closing Super Bowl 56 Odds

*Odds as of February 13

Here are some more notes on the movement of the top contenders for Super Bowl 56:

• [February 13] The LA Rams won the 2022 Super Bowl, defeating the Bengals 23-20 at SoFi Stadium.
• [February 7] We are less than one week from kickoff of Super Bowl 2022 between the LA Rams and Cincinnati Bengals. The Rams’ odds to win the Super Bowl have improved since odds opened after the matchup was set, going from -175 to -200 now. The Bengals’ Super Bowl odds are moving the other way, as they’ve faded from +140 to +170. However, the point spread for the game is down to Rams -4 at most sportsbooks after opening at 4.5.
• [January 30] The Bengals pulled off a wild upset in Kansas City, taking down the Chiefs to advance to the 2022 Super Bowl. Cincinnati’s Super Bowl odds improved from +800 to +140 after the win. Their odds moved back to +145 after the Los Angeles Rams defeated the San Francisco 49ers in the NFC Championship. The Rams’ Super Bowl odds improved to -175 with the win, and have opened as 4.5-point favorites against the Bengals in Super Bowl 56.
• [January 23] After taking down the reigning champs in the NFL Divisional Round, the LA Rams are temporarily listed as the new favorites to win Super Bowl 2022. LA will host the 49ers next weekend in the NFC Championship. After the Bills vs Chiefs game settled, with the Chiefs winning 42-36 in overtime, Kansas City took over as the favorites to win the Super Bowl. The Chiefs’ Super Bowl odds are now listed at +135. The Rams’ odds improved slightly to +200, the 49ers are listed at +450, and the Bengals at +700.
• [January 22] The Packers, who were the Super Bowl favorites ahead of their Divisional Round matchup with the 49ers, were upset 13-10 by San Francisco on Saturday night. The 49ers’ Super Bowl odds improved from +1000 to +490 with the impressive win. Kansas City now takes over as the team with the best odds to win the 2022 Super Bowl. Tampa Bay has the best Super Bowl odds among NFC teams after Green Bay’s playoff exit. All of Kansas City, Buffalo, Tampa Bay, and LA (Rams) saw their Super Bowl odds improve without playing a game, thanks to them knowing they will be hosting a conference championship game if they win on Sunday.
• [January 17] With Super Wild Card Weekend in the books, we head into the Divisional Round of the NFL Playoffs with the Green Bay Packers still listed as the favorites to win the 2022 Super Bowl. The Packers’ Super Bowl odds are listed at +370 ahead of them hosting the 49ers. The Chiefs have the best Super Bowl odds among AFC teams, but have a very tough matchup with the Bills coming to town.
• [January 16] The 49ers entered Wildcard Weekend with +2000 odds to win the Super Bowl. After they upset the Cowboys on Sunday, their Super Bowl odds improved to +1100.
• [January 15] After laying an absolute beating on the Patriots in their wildcard matchup, the Bills’ Super Bowl odds have improved from +800 to +450. Assuming the Chiefs do win on Sunday, we may see Buffalo’s Super Bowl 2022 odds fade just a touch.
• [January 10] In one of the biggest upsets of the season, the Jaguars ended the Colts’ Super Bowl hopes in Week 18, beating them to keep Indianapolis out of the playoffs. The Colts’ odds to win the Super Bowl were listed at +1800 entering Sunday, but are now off the board. The Titans saw their Super Bowl odds improve from +1200 to +850 after locking up the top seed in the AFC and earning a first-round bye in the playoffs. Though the Steelers are still being given very long odds to win the Super Bowl, it’s notable that their odds improved from +40000 to +6000 after they snuck into the playoffs. The Packers will head into the NFL Playoffs as the Super Bowl favorites.
• [January 2] For the first time this season, the Packers have the best odds to win Super Bowl 56. The Chiefs saw their Super Bowl odds fade from +400 to +500 after losing to the Bengals in Week 17, giving up the top seed in the AFC to the Titans. Tennessee’s Super Bowl odds improved from +1800 to +1400 as a result.
• [December 26] The Bills jumped back into the top four Super Bowl contenders after beating the Patriots in Week 16 to take back over the top spot in the AFC East. The Patriots’ Super Bowl odds faded from +900 to +1200 with the loss.
• [December 20] The Packers and Chiefs woke up Monday morning as the new co-favorites to win Super Bowl 56. Tampa Bay’s odds faded from +450 to +600 after being shutout by the Saints on Sunday Night Football. With the loss, Green Bay is now in the driver seat of the NFC. Kansas City is also back in the top seed for the AFC as well.
• [December 19] The Cardinals saw their Super Bowl odds fade from +1000 to +1800 after an embarrassing upset at the hands of the Lions in Week 15. Baltimore’s Super Bowl odds were also moving the wrong way after a loss to the Packers. The Ravens’ odds to win the Super Bowl went from +3500 to +6000.
• [December 12] The Ravens saw their Super Bowl odds fade from +1600, which had them among the top ten contenders, all the way to +3500 with the loss to Cleveland in Week 14, paired with Lamar Jackson being carted off the field early with an apparent ankle sprain. The win saw the Browns’ Super Bowl odds go from +6000 to +3500. Buffalo’s odds have yet to move much after they lost in overtime to the Buccaneers.
• [December 5] After beating the Bengals in Week 13, the Chargers saw their Super Bowl odds improve from +2800 to +2000. Baltimore’s loss to Pittsburgh only resulted in their odds fading from +1200 to +1600. The Patriots have become a top four Super Bowl contender after beating the Bills on MNF. New England’s Super Bowl odds improved from +1000 to +700, tying them with the Packers for the third-best odds. The Bills faded from +750 to +1000 with the loss.
• [November 28] The Patriots are now among the top six contenders in odds to win the Super Bowl after recording their sixth straight win in Week 12. New England’s Super Bowl odds improved from +1400 to +1000 after beating up on the Titans. The Rams saw their Super Bowl odds fade slightly after losing in Green Bay.
• [November 25] The Bills bounced back in on Thanksgiving Day of Week 12, hammering the Saints 31-6. As a result, Buffalo’s Super Bowl odds improved back to +650, seeing them leap the Chiefs for second-best odds. Although the Cowboys lost to the Raiders, their odds to win the Super Bowl only faded to +1100.
• [November 21] After the Bills were dominated by the Colts in Week 11, they are no longer the favorites to win the Super Bowl. Tampa Bay, who beat the Giants on Monday night, once again has the best odds to win Super Bowl 56. The Titans also saw their Super Bowl odds fade after being upset by the Texans. Kansas City, on the other hand, is back among the top four contenders after a convincing win over the Cowboys.
• [November 14] The Bucs and Bills flip-flopped again at the top. Tampa Bay faded as far as +650 after an upset loss at Washington. The Bills are at +600 after destroying the Jets.
• [November 7] The Buccaneers, who were enjoying their bye in Week 9, became the Super Bowl favorites again after an upset-filled Sunday. The Bills lost to the Jaguars, allowing the Bucs to take over as the favorites. Buffalo’s Super Bowl odds didn’t fade much, though, as they’re still as short as +550. The Saints, Bengals, Cowboys, and Rams all saw their odds to win the Super Bowl suffer after being upset in Week 9 as well.
• [November 2] The Rams’ Super Bowl odds improved to +650 after acquiring Von Miller from the Broncos ahead of the NFL trade deadline. Tennessee’s odds faded to as long as +2200 after learning Derrick Henry will be out for 6-10 weeks with a foot injury.
• [October 31] Just as the Bengals were starting to build some momentum and saw their Super Bowl odds nearing contender status, Cincinnati goes and loses to the Jets in Week 8. The loss sends their Super Bowl odds back to +5000. The Cowboys’ Super Bowl odds have reached a new best this season, thanks to Cooper Rush leading them to a win over the Vikings on SNF. Tampa Bay’s odds to win the Super Bowl only worsened a little after being upset by the Saints.
• [October 29] The Packers handed the Cardinals their first loss of the season on Thursday Night Football of Week 8. Arizona’s Super Bowl odds went from +900 to +1200, falling out of the top four contenders. Green Bay’s Super Bowl odds improved from +1200 to +900, making them a top four contender.
• [October 25] The Chiefs entered Week 7 as a top three contender, but after being blown out by the Titans, they see their Super Bowl odds fade to +1400, tied for seventh-best. Cincinnati’s big win over the Ravens with Maryland’s team seeing their odds to win the Super Bowl improve from as long as +10000 to +3500
• [October 18] Even after losing to the Titans on Monday Night Football of Week 6, some sportsbooks still list the Bills as the favorites to win Super Bowl 56. Other sportsbooks are now giving Tampa Bay the best odds to win the Super Bowl.
• [October 17] For the first time this season, the Buffalo Bills are listed as the favorites to win the Super Bowl. The Cardinals’ Super Bowl odds are still listed at +1100, the sixth-best in the league, despite extending their perfect start to 6-0 with a win in Cleveland in Week 6.
• [October 11] The Buccaneers have taken over as the favorites to win the Super Bowl after dismantling the Dolphins in Week 5. Kansas City’s Super Bowl odds have faded to +750 after losing to the Bills on Sunday Night Football. Buffalo now has the best odds to win the Super Bowl among AFC teams. Seattle’s Super Bowl odds have plummeted with Russell Wilson expected to miss some time after injuring his finger.
• [October 3] The Chiefs are back to being the Super Bowl favorites after an offensive explosion against the Eagles in Week 4. The Cardinals have seen their Super Bowl odds improve to +1700 after upsetting the Rams in LA.
• [September 26] For the first time this season, the Chiefs are not the favorites to win the Super Bowl across the board. Some sportsbooks have moved the Buccaneers, despite losing their own game as well, to the favorite after Kansas City lost their second straight game in Week 3, falling to 1-2.
• [September 20] The Chiefs lost to the Ravens on Sunday Night Football of Week 2. But sportsbooks have yet to move Kansas City’s odds after the loss, so the Chiefs are still the favorites to win the Super Bowl. The Ravens saw their Super Bowl odds improve to +1400 after the win. Miami saw the biggest immediate movement after Sunday of Week 2. The Dolphins’ odds to win the Super Bowl went from +3200 to +4400 after being shutout by the Bills, where Tua Tagovailoa left the game early with a rib injury.
• [September 18] Baltimore’s Super Bowl odds took a little longer to move after they were upset by the Raiders in Week 1. The Ravens Super Bowl odds just worsened now from +1500 to +1800.
• [September 12] In spite of getting routed by the Saints in Week 1, the Packers’ Super Bowl odds have not moved at all yet. The Bills saw their odds dip from +1000 to +1300 after being upset by the Steelers. The Saints and Steelers both saw their odds improve after pulling off impressive upsets.
• [September 9] The Kansas City Chiefs will open the 2021 NFL season as the favorites to win Super Bowl 56. Tom Brady’s Buccaneers are also given very short odds ahead of their season-opener against the Cowboys.
• [August 31] The Patriots’ Super Bowl odds are unchanged after releasing Cam Newton and opting to start rookie Mac Jones under center
• [August 17] Indianapolis’ Super Bowl odds continue to fade as their quarterback Carson Wentz remains sidelined and his Week 1 status is up in the air. After an awful performance in Week 1 of the preseason, albeit from mostly their backups, the Vikings have seen their odds to win the Super Bowl plummet from +2800 to +5000. The movement is more likely the result of Aaron Rodgers preparing to start for the Packers this season.
• [July 26] With news breaking of Aaron Rodgers’ intentions to now play for the Packers this season, Green Bay’s Super Bowl odds have instantly improved to +1400, tied for the fourth-best odds on the board.
• [July 24] The Packers’ Super Bowl odds have plummeted to as long as +2800 at some sportsbooks, with Aaron Rodgers continuing to stand firm on not wanting to play for Green Bay anymore. As a result, Minnesota’s odds to win the Super Bowl have improved to +2800 with the Packers weakening. The Broncos’ odds have also continued to steadily worsen, as it appears the team will go into the season with Drew Lock or Teddy Bridgewater as their starting quarterback, seemingly opting to pass on trading for Rodgers.
• [June 7] The Tennessee Titans’ Super Bowl odds are now as short as +2500 at some sportsbooks after acquiring Julio Jones from the Atlanta Falcons. Jones joins AJ Brown and Derrick Henry to create a very talented group of skill players for Ryan Tannehill to target.
• [May 3] After the 2021 NFL Draft, the Ravens fell out of the top five Super Bowl contenders; the Packers odds have fallen to +2000 with Aaron Rodgers reportedly very unhappy with the team.
• [April 29] After rumors surfaced of the Broncos being set to acquire Aaron Rodgers from the Green Bay Packers, Denver’s Super Bowl odds improved from +6000 to +2000 almost instantly, and have continued to shorten to +1600 now. However, no deal has been announced, and Denver used the ninth-overall pick on Patrick Surtain II. Multiple insiders have said no deal is in the works. Chicago also saw their Super Bowl odds shorten a little, moving from +6000 to +5000 after trading up from 20 to 11 to take Justin Fields.
• [April 23] The Chiefs have not seen any immediate movement to their Super Bowl 56 odds after acquiring offensive tackle Orlando Brown from the Baltimore Ravens. The move is a big one for Kansas City, whose starters at tackle prior to the trade were Martinas Rankin and Mike Remmers. The Chiefs gave up their first-round (31st overall), third-round (94th), and fourth-round picks from the 2021 NFL Draft, along with a fifth-round pick from 2022. They also got back a second-round (58th) pick in 2021 and a sixth from 2022.
• [March 17] After the Bears failed to acquire Russell Wilson from Seattle, their Super Bowl odds took a hit when they settled for Andy Dalton in free agency. New England’s Super Bowl odds have improved after going wild in free agency, signing Jonnu Smith, Hunter Henry, Matthew Judon, and Nelson Agholor among others.
• [March 16] The Chiefs, who were already the favorites, saw their Super Bowl odds improve after signing free agent lineman Joe Thuney. The Saints odds have worsened a bit after Drew Brees officially announced his retirement from the NFL. Chicago’s Super Bowl odds have also improved with rumors swirling of the Bears being in the mix to acquire Russell Wilson from the Seahawks. Finally, Washington has also seen their odds improve after signing Ryan Fitzpatrick.
• [February 18] The Colts have acquired QB Carson Wentz from the Eagles to replace Philip Rivers, who retired after last season. Indianapolis’ Super Bowl 56 odds were as long as +2900 before the trade, and are now as short as +2000 at some sportsbooks.
• [February 7] After the Buccaneers beat the Chiefs 31-9 in Super Bowl 55, Tampa Bay’s odds improved from +1100 to +900. The Bucs are either tied for the second-best odds or have the second-best Super Bowl odds, depending which sportsbook you look to. Kansas City remains the heavy favorites to win Super Bowl 56, as their odds still sit between +500 and +550.
• [January 30] After the Rams traded for Matthew Stafford, their Super Bowl 56 odds improved from +2000 to +1100, tying them for the third-best odds to win the Super Bowl.
• [January 24, 2021] The Kansas City Chiefs have opened as the favorites to win Super Bowl 56 in the early odds. Green Bay has the second-best odds at +900, and the Jaguars have the worst odds at +10000.

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Super Bowl 55 Futures

The Tampa Bay Buccaneers laid a beating on the Kansas City Chiefs in Super Bowl 55. But that’s not how sportsbooks expected the season to play out – evident by the odds to win Super Bowl 55 that were available.

Closing 2021 Super Bowl Odds

*Odds updated February 7

Here are some more notes on the movement of the top contenders for Super Bowl 55:

• [February 7] The Tampa Bay Buccaneers upset the Kansas City Chiefs in Super Bowl 55, dominating the game and winning by a final score of 31-9.
• [February 7] The odds to win Super Bowl 55 are moving slightly in Tampa Bay’s favor, as they’re now being offered at an average of +139. Kansas City’s odds have worsened a touch to -160 ahead of kickoff.
• [February 5] The Chiefs’ odds to win the Super Bowl have settled in at an average of -164, while the Buccaneers are being offered at +143 with just two days to go before kickoff of Super Bowl 55.
• [January 24] The Tampa Bay Buccaneers have upset the Green Bay Packers in the NFC Championship to advance to Super Bowl 55. The Kansas City Chiefs have beaten the Buffalo Bills, booking a ticket to their second straight Super Bowl. Kansas City has opened as the favorite in Super Bowl 55, listed as short as -186 and as long as -175. The Bucs’ odds to win the Super Bowl are as short as +140 and as long as +156.
• [January 18] After a 12-hour period that saw the Packers become the new favorites to win Super Bowl 55, the Chiefs have reclaimed that title thanks to Patrick Mahomes’ status for Sunday’s AFC Championship looking more optimistic
• [January 17] The Chiefs’ Super Bowl odds have actually gotten worse after beating the Browns, thanks to the concussion Patrick Mahomes suffered. The Bills have seen their Super Bowl odds improve as a result, now seeing odds as short as +260 when being +350 yesterday. The Packers have become the new Super Bowl favorites after the Bucs upset the Saints
• [January 16] The Packers’ Super Bowl odds have improved from an average of +400 to +260 after beating the Los Angeles Rams to advance to the NFC Championship game, which will be played at Lambeau Field. The Bills’ Super Bowl odds are as short as +350 after beating the Ravens and punching their ticket to the AFC Championship
• [January 10] The Titans, Bears, and Steelers were eliminated on the second day of Wild Card Weekend. The Ravens’ odds improved from an average of +1000 down to as short as +750. The Browns have the worst odds among remaining teams, but they improved from +5500 to +2100 at some sportsbooks
• [January 9] The Colts, Seahawks, and Football Team were all eliminated from the playoffs on the first day of Wild Card Weekend. The Bills Super Bowl odds didn’t improve much from their win, but the Rams are now as short as +1600 after upsetting Seattle, and the Bucs are as short as +750
• [January 3] The Chiefs enter the NFL playoffs as the favorites to win the Super Bowl, while the Packers have the best odds among NFC teams after clinching the top seed and a first-round bye. The Washington Football Team heads into the postseason with the worst odds of the 14 who qualified
• [December 27] The Rams and Browns both saw their Super Bowl odds take a big hit in Week 16 after they both recorded losses. Los Angeles lost to Seattle, giving away the NFC West division, while the Browns are now on the ropes to make the playoffs after losing to the Jets
• [December 21] The Steelers were upset by the lowly Bengals as 15-point favorites on Monday Night Football of Week 15. This marks Pittsburgh’s third straight loss, and resulted in their Super Bowl odds taking a major hit. They were as short as +1300 at some sportsbooks entering the week, and are now as long as +2200
• [December 20] The Saints are still a top three Super Bowl contender after losing to the Chiefs in Week 15. The Rams’ Super Bowl odds took a major hit, though, after losing to the Jets as 17-point favorites. Los Angeles had the fourth-best odds heading into Sunday, but saw Buffalo, Pittsburgh, and Seattle leap them at most sportsbooks
• [December 13] The Steelers’ Super Bowl odds have faded from +700 to longer than +1000 at some sportsbooks after losing their second straight game. The Packers and Saints are neck-and-neck for the second-best Super Bowl odd, behind Kansas City, now that Green Bay has taken over the top seed in the NFC
• [December 8] The Steelers suffered their first loss of the 2020 NFL season in Week 13, and their Super Bowl odds took a small hit. Pittsburgh still remains a top three Super Bowl contender based on the odds, however
• [December 6] The Seahawks have fallen out of the top five Super Bowl contenders after being upset by the Giants in Week 13; their Super Bowl odds are listed as long as +1300
• [November 29] The Buccaneers have fallen out of the top five Super Bowl contenders after losing to the Chiefs in Week 12
• [November 22] The Chiefs remain Super Bowl favorites after avoiding a scare against the Raiders in Week 11; the Jets were officially eliminated from the playoffs as well, so they will no longer be seen on Super Bowl odds boards
• [November 15] Four of the top ten Super Bowl contenders entering Week 10 lost this week – Seattle, Buffalo, Baltimore, and Tennessee – while only one of those losses came to another top ten contender – the Seahawks losing to the Rams; Baltimore and Seattle were the teams who saw their Super Bowl odds suffer the most
• [November 9] The Buccaneers were blown out by the Saints in Week 9, resulting in them falling out of the top three Super Bowl contenders
• [November 2] A victory over the Ravens has resulted in the Steelers now having the second-best odds to win the Super Bowl
• [October 27] After Seattle suffered their first loss of the season, the Bucs now have the best Super Bowl odds among NFC teams
• [October 14] The Titans have finally cracked the top ten Super Bowl contenders after a convincing Week 5 win over the Bills
• [October 12] Dallas’ odds to win the Super Bowl have plummeted with Dak Prescott out for the rest of the season
• [October 4] The Cowboys’ Super Bowl odds reach a season-worst after losing to the Browns in Week 4, pushing their record to 1-3
• [September 21] The Chiefs still have the best average odds to win Super Bowl 55, but some sportsbooks are listing the Ravens as the favorites after Week 2
• [September 14] After Week 1 losses, the Buccaneers, Colts, and Eagles saw their Super Bowl odds take big hits. Tampa Bay went from +900 ahead of kickoff to +1533 after Week 1; the Eagles went from +2267 to +3433; and the Colts worsened from +2333 to +3433 as well.
• [July 26] The Seahawks’ Super Bowl odds have seen very little movement across multiple sportsbooks after acquiring Jamal Adams from the Jets
• [June 29] After signing Cam Newton, the Patriots’ Super Bowl odds are as short as +1200 at some sportsbooks, but still as long as +2500
• [June 15] The Eagles’ Super Bowl odds were unaffected after they announced Brandon Brooks would miss the season with a torn Achilles
• [May 18] The Packers’ draft day decisions took a little longer to affect their Super Bowl odds, but they’re now listed at +3000, well outside of the top ten for the first time this year
• [Apr 27] The Cowboys and 49ers saw the biggest improvements in Super Bowl odds after the 2020 NFL Draft, while the Raiders and Titans saw the biggest dip
• [Apr 23] After reuniting Tom Brady and Rob Gronkowski, the Bucs have seen their odds shorten to +900
• [Mar 18] The Tampa Bay Buccaneers have become a top five Super Bowl contender after signing Tom Brady
• [Mar 16] The Cardinals’ odds have improved from +8000 to +3867 after acquiring DeAndre Hopkins from the Texans
• [Feb 3] After winning Super Bowl 54, the Chiefs’ Super Bowl 55 the Chiefs have opened as the favorites to win Super Bowl 55

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Super Bowl 54 Futures

The Chiefs beat the 49ers in Super Bowl 54. Here are some more notes on the movement of the top contenders for Super Bowl 54:

• [Feb 2] The Kansas City Chiefs beat the San Francisco 49ers 31-20 in Super Bowl 54
• [Jan 19] The Chiefs will take on the 49ers in Super Bowl 54; KC has opened as the slight favorite
• [Jan 12] The Niners’ reign as favorites lasted less than 24 hours, as the Chiefs have overtaken them after their wild comeback victory over the Texans
• [Jan 12] After the Ravens were upset by the Titans in the Divisional Round, the 49ers are now favored to win Super Bowl 54 for the first time this season
• [Jan 6] The Patriots and Saints, two of the top five contenders, have been eliminated in Wild Card Weekend
• [Dec 30] After missing out on a first-round bye, the Patriots’ Super Bowl odds are the longest they’ve been all season
• [Dec 16] After being upset by the Falcons in Week 15, which has temporarily cost them the lead in the NFC West, the Niners are still among the top three contenders
• [Dec 13] Baltimore has become a more pronounced favorite after their win streak reached 10. Now +222, only the Niners (+433) and Patriots (+483) are in the same neighborhood
• [Nov 29] The Patriots are not listed as the Super Bowl favorites for the first time this season; Baltimore has now claimed that title
• [Nov 18] For the first time this season, the Ravens have the second-best odds to win the Super Bowl
• [Nov 4] After suffering their first loss of the season, the Patriots remain heavily favored to win Super Bowl 54
• [Oct 29] After a loss to Green Bay, Kansas City’s odds have reached a season-worst of +1400, falling from the top four contenders
• [Oct 22] The Ravens saw their Super Bowl odds improve from +2200 to +1667 after going into Seattle and leaving with a victory; the Chiefs average odds only got as long as +1033 after Patrick Mahomes’ knee injury
• [Oct 14] For the first time this season, the Chiefs do not have the second-best odds to win the Super Bowl; the Saints have claimed that honor after KC lost again in Week 6
• [Oct 7] A loss to the Colts at home on Sunday Night Football of Week 5 results in Kansas City’s Super Bowl odds getting as long as +700, still the second-best in the NFL, though
• [Oct 1] The Rams’ Super Bowl odds took a huge hit after losing to the Tampa Bay Buccaneers at home
• [Sep 26] After slow starts to the 2019 season, the Browns and Chargers have seen themselves fall out of the top 12 Super Bowl contenders
• [Sep 16] The Saints Super Bowl odds have faded with Drew Brees status up in the air
• [Sep 11] After discouraging Week 1 losses, the Bears and Browns have seen their Super Bowl odds plummet
• [Sep 7] The Patriots were already the favorites to win Super Bowl 54 before signing Antonio Brown; they’re now as short as +500
• [Aug 25] After Andrew Luck retired, the Colts’ Super Bowl odds went from an average of +1300 to +4500
• [Apr 2] The New England Patriots Super Bowl odds were unaffected by Rob Gronkowski announcing his retirement
• [Mar 13] The Cleveland Browns have the seventh-best odds to win Super Bowl 54 after acquiring Odell Beckham Jr
• [Feb 5] Since winning Super Bowl 53, the New England Patriots have now claimed the title of Super Bowl 54 favorites
• [Jan 16] The Kansas City Chiefs opened as the favorites for Super Bowl 54

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Super Bowl 53 Futures

The New England Patriots got off to a slow start in the 2018 NFL season, seeing their odds to win Super Bowl 53 take a bit of a tumble. However, they would turn their season around and ultimately win Super Bowl 53.

Closing Super Bowl 53 Odds

*Odds above were taken right before kickoff of Super Bowl 53

Here are some more notes on the movement of the top contenders for Super Bowl 53:

• [01/29/18] Heavy money has been coming in on New England to win the 2019 Super Bowl, resulting in their odds getting shorter and shorter
• [12/31/18] The Saints enter the NFL Playoffs with the best odds to win the Super Bowl; the Eagles have the worst
• [12/11/18] A Rams loss to the Bears on MNF of Week 14 has resulted in the Saints being favored again
• [12/4/18] After a Saints loss to the Cowboys on TNF in Week 13, the Rams are again Super Bowl favorites
• [11/20/18] The New Orleans Saints have claimed the title of Super Bowl favorites
• [11/13/18] The Patriots are not among the top three contenders for the first time this year
• [11/06/18] The Rams remain Super Bowl favorites even after losing to the New Orleans Saints in Week 9
• [09/18/18] For the first time this year, the Patriots are not Super Bowl 53 favorites; the Rams have now taken that title
• [02/05/18] Yet again, the Patriots opened the season as Super Bowl favorites. Their +475 average odds to win Super Bowl 53 are even shorter than what they opened at last year to win Super Bowl 52 (+525 average odds)

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Super Bowl 52 Futures

The Philadelphia Eagles beat the New England Patriots in one of the most entertaining Super Bowls of this era. This marked the Eagles first ever Super Bowl championship.

Sportsbooks had a difficult time figuring out the Eagles, as they suffered a massive injury to their QB (Carson Wentz) late in the regular season, who was having an MVP-caliber season prior to the injury. But Nick Foles stepped in admirably and ended up leading his team to a championship.

Although few were surprised by the New England Patriots reaching Super Bowl 52, many of the other 2017 division winners were quite the surprise (see the Eagles, Jaguars, Rams etc.).

And perhaps the biggest surprise of the season came when the Eagles, led by Nick Foles, managed to knock off the Patriots in Super Bowl 52, earning the franchise’s first Lombardi Trophy.

The worst odds to win the Super Bowl New England saw all season were +525 when they opened on February 5, 2017. Philadelphia, on the other hand, were as long as +5100 at opening.