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Mariners vs Yankees Odds & Picks (Aug 1)

John Perrotto

By John Perrotto in MLB Baseball

Updated: August 1, 2022 at 7:25 am EDT

Published:


New York Yankees starting pitcher Domingo German throwing to home
Jul 25, 2021; Boston, Massachusetts, USA; New York Yankees starting pitcher Domingo German (55) pitches during the first inning against the Boston Red Sox at Fenway Park. Mandatory Credit: Bob DeChiara-USA TODAY Sports
  • The Yankees are -175 home favorites over the Mariners on Monday night
  • Lefty Marco Gonzales (0-1, 8.22) will start for Seattle against Domingo German (0-1, 8.22)
  • A look at the matchup and Mariners vs Yankees odds can be found below with a pick

The American League East-leading New York Yankees host the Seattle Mariners at 7:05 p.m. ET Monday in the opener of a three-game series at Yankee Stadium.

The Yankees (69-34, 40-13 home) had their three-game winning streak end Sunday with an 8-6 loss to the Kansas City Royals at home. The Mariners (55-48, 28-25 road) fell to the Astros 3-2 in 10 innings in Houston for their third loss in the last four games.

Mariners vs Yankees Odds

Team Moneyline Runline Total
Seattle Mariners +145 +1.5 (-135) Over 9 (-110)
New York Yankees -175 -1.5 (+110) Under 9 (-110)

Odds as of July 31st at BetMGM.

 

 

The Yankees have a 63.64% implied win probability as -175 favorites. The Yankees are second choice in the World Series odds at +390 behind the Los Angeles Dodgers (+360) while the Mariners are listed at +4000.

The weather forecast calls for a gametime temperature of 75 degrees with a low of 67 to go with mostly clear skies and a 7-mph wind from the west.

Mariners vs Yankees Probable Pitchers

The Mariners are expected to pitch left-hander Marco Gonzales (0-1, 8.22) against Domingo German (0-1, 8.22). Both will be working on four days of rest.

Gonzales vs German

Marco Gonzales
VS
Domingo German
6-10 Record 0-1
3.66 ERA 8.22
4.62 xERA 5.31
1.35 WHIP 1.83
1.67 SO/W 3.00

Gonzales is 2-1 in his last four starts despite a 4.97 ERA and beat the Texas Rangers last Wednesday in Seattle. In seven innings, Gonzales gave up two runs and four hits while striking out five and walking one.

Gonzales is 0-1 with a 3.32 ERA in three career starts against the Yankees but will be pitching at Yankee Stadium for the first time.

He can be tough on anyone.

In nine road starts this season, Gonzales is 2-5 with a 3.83 ERA. He has a 5-5 record at night and a 3.97 ERA in 14 starts. The Mariners are 8-12 when he takes the mound.

German will be making just his third start of 2022. He was on the injured list from the start of the season until July 21 with right shoulder impingement syndrome.

In his last start, German allowed two runs on five hits in 4.2 innings to the Mets on Wednesday at Citi Field in a no-decision. He had seven strikeouts and two walks.

German has made one start and one relief appearance versus the Mariners in his career, going 1-0 with a 3.60 ERA.

This will be his first start of 2022 at Yankee Stadium. Both of his outings have been at night.

Batting Average vs Starting Pitchers

Mariners Batters Batting Average vs Domingo German
Ty France 1.000
Carlos Santana .500
J.P. Crawford .000
Abraham Toro .000
Yankees Batters Batting Average vs Starting Pitcher
Aaron Hicks .667
Marwin Gonzalez .429
Jose Trevino .417
DJ LeMahieu .333
Joey Gallo .300
Isiah Kiner-Falefa .250
Gleyber Torres .250
Anthony Rizzo .250
Andrew Benintendi .000
Aaron Judge .000
Josh Donaldson .000
Kyle Higashioka .000

The Yankees’ Jose Trevino is 5 for 12 (.417) against Gonzales with four doubles. However, Andrew Benintendi is 0 for 10 and Aaron Judge is hitless in six at-bats.

Mariners vs Yankees Betting Outlook

The Mariners lost to the Astros on Sunday on Yordan Alvarez’s walk-off single in the 10th.

Jesse Winker hit a two-run home run in the eighth for Seattle to tie the score at 2-2 and force extra innings. Adam Frazier had two of the Mariners’ four hits.

Mariners center fielder Julio Rodriguez, a heavy -715 favorite in the AL Rookie of the Year odds, was placed on the injured list with a bruised right wrist prior to the game. Utility player Dylan Moore also went on the IL with back spasms.

Outfielder Jarred Kelenic was recalled from Triple-A Tacoma and outfielder Jack Larsen was selected from Double-A Arkansas.

First baseman Ty France is questionable for Monday after sitting out with left wrist soreness.

The Yankees lost to the Royals on Sunday when All-Star reliever Clay Holmes gave up a three-run home run to Salvador Perez in the top of the ninth inning with New York leading 6-5.

Anthony Rizzo hit a three-run home run in the seventh inning to put the Yankees on top 6-4, but the bullpen couldn’t hold the lead. DJ LeMahieu added a two-run homer.

Rizzo, LeMahieu and Matt Carpenter had two hits each for New York.

Even though it is the first day of August, the teams will be meeting for the first time this season. The Yankees were 5-2 against the Mariners last season, including 3-1 at home, and are 29-10 in the series since 2015.

Mariners vs Yankees Last 10 Games

Date Home Team Away Team Score
8/8/21 Yankees Mariners SEA, 2-0
8/7/21 Yankees Mariners NYY, 5-4
8/6/21 Yankees Mariners NYY, 3-2
8/5/21 Yankees Mariners NYY, 5-3
7/8/21 Mariners Yankees SEA, 4-0
7/7/21 Mariners Yankees NYY, 5-4
7/6/21 Mariners Yankees NYY, 12-1
8/28/19 Mariners Yankees NYY, 7-3
8/27/19 Mariners Yankees NYY, 7-0
8/26/19 Mariners Yankees NYY, 5-4

Mariners vs Yankees Prediction

German looked better in his second start since his lengthy stay on the injured list. He should be even sharper this time around and pitch the Yankees to victory following Sunday’s tough loss.

Pick: Yankees ML (-175)

 

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John Perrotto
John Perrotto

Sports Writer

John Perrotto has been covering and writing about sports for various outlets for over 40 years. His work has appeared in the likes of USA TODAY, ESPN.com, SI.com, Forbes.com, The Associated Press, Baseball Digest, and more. John is based out of Beaver Falls, PA.

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