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Minnesota vs Indiana Predictions, Player Props & Odds (Dec. 9)

Sascha Paruk

By Sascha Paruk in College Basketball

Published:


Indiana Hoosier players Myles Rice and Oumar Ballo walking out during introductions
Indiana's Myles Rice (1) and Oumar Ballo (11) shake hands before the start of the Indiana versus Miami (Ohio) men's basketball game at Simon Skjodt Asseembly Hall on Friday, Dec. 6, 2024.
  • The Indiana Hoosiers open their Big Ten schedule against the Minnesota Golden Gophers on Monday night in Bloomington
  • The Gophers lost the Big Ten opener to Michigan State last Wednesday (90-72 home)
  • See the Minnesota vs Indiana predictions, odds, and player props for Dec. 9

A quiet Monday in college basketball is headlined by the Indiana Hoosiers (7-2, 6-0 home, 5-4 ATS) kicking off their conference schedule with a home game against the struggling Minnesota Golden Gophers (6-4, 0-0 away, 1-7-2 ATS) at Simon Skjodt Assembly Hall at 6:30 pm ET. The Minnesota vs Indiana odds favor the home-town Hoosiers by as many as 10.5.

Minnesota vs Indiana Predictions

  •  Indiana -9.5 (-115) at BetMGM
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The Hoosiers are already 6-0 on their home court and every one of those six wins has come by at least 11 points. They haven’t played the most difficult home slate so far, but they do own lopsided wins over South Carolina (87-71), which ranks 68th at KenPom, and Providence (89-73), which ranks 81st. Both rate significantly better than Minnesota (111th) at this early stage of the season.

It’s hard to find a single team in the nation that’s had a more disappointing start to the year than the Gophers. Returning leading scorer and rebounder Dawson Garcia (17.6 PPG, 6.7 RPG, 1.6 APG last season) from a team that went 19-15 overall and even won a game in the NIT, better things were expected for Minnesota in Ben Johnson’s fourth season at the helm. They finished last year rated 78th at KenPom and one spot higher at Torvik, and entered this season 66th at the former.

They managed five wins in their first six games (all at home) with lone loss against #69 North Texas (54-51) but they have since lost three of their last four: 68-66 vs Wichita State (neutral), 57-51 vs Wake Forest (neutral), an 90-72 vs Michigan State (home). Their only win in that span was over #292 Bethune Cookman.

The Gophers play slowly (362nd our 364 DI teams in tempo) and can’t shoot the three (29.7%, 294th in the nation), which has led to them being held under 60 points in four games already this season.

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No one is going to mistake Indiana for a national-championship contender after their first nine games, which include ugly losses to Gonzaga (89-73 neutral) and Louisville (89-61 neutral) but you also can’t argue with what the Hoosiers have done at home so far.

Returnees Malik Reneau (15.4 PPG, 6.3 RPG) and Mackenzie Mgbako (15.3 PPG, 5.3 RPG), plus highly-coveted transfer center Oumar Ballo (12.7 PPG, 9.3 RPG) represent one of the most-formidable front lines in the nation. And the Hoosiers have managed to navigate their early home schedule flawlessly without that trio even rebounding the ball all that well. IU sits 137th in offensive-rebound percentage and 187th at the defensive end.

MIN vs IND Player Props

Player Points Rebounds Assists
Dawson Garcia (MIN) 18.5 (Ov -105 | Un -125) 6.5 (Ov -116 | Un -122) OFF
Lu’Cye Patterson (MIN) 10.5 (Ov -125 | Un -105) OFF 3.5 (Ov +110 | Un -154)
Mackenzie Mgbako (IND) 13.5 (Ov -110 | Un -120) 4.5 (Ov -108 | Un -130) OFF
Malik Reneau (IND) 15.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115) 6.5 (Ov +102 | Un -142) OFF
Myles Rice (IND) 11.5 (Ov -125 | Un -105) OFF OFF
Oumar Ballo (IND) 12.5 (Ov -120 | Un -110) 9.5 (Ov -108 | Un -132) OFF

Player props from FanDuel on Dec. 9. Check out SBD’s list of online betting banking methods

Minnesota forward Dawson Garcia leads the point totals at 18.5 O/U. The senior is averaging a career-best 19.0 PPG through ten games but he’s only gone over 18.5 in one of Minnesota’s losses, and has averaged just 13.5 PPG in the Gophers’ quartet of setbacks.

Reneau has the highest point total on the Indiana side at 15.5 while Ballo leads the rebound props at 9.5.

Best Minnesota vs Indiana Odds

Team Spread Moneyline Total
Minnesota Golden Gophers +10.5 (-120) at ESPN Bet +425 at bet365 O 139.5 (-110) at bet365
Indiana Hoosiers -9.5 (-115) at BetMGM -550 at Caesars U 140.5 (-115) at BetMGM

The Minnesota vs Indiana odds show a decent range as of Monday afternoon. The spread is as high as 10.5 at ESPN Bet and as low as 9.5 at BetMGM.

The best moneyline option on the Hoosiers is a hyper-short -550 at Caesars, while the longest odds on Minnesota winning straight-up are +425 at bet365.

There is also a one-point range in the game total with bet365 on the low end at 139.5 with -110 odds both ways and BetMGM on the high end at 140.5 (U -115).

Indiana is getting the vast majority of money in the college basketball public betting splits: IU has attracted 99% of moneyline handle and 92% of ATS handle despite the short odds and big spread.

Sascha Paruk
Sascha Paruk

Managing Editor

Sascha has been working in the sports-betting industry since 2014, and quickly paired his strong writing skills with a burgeoning knowledge of probability and statistics. He holds an undergraduate degree in linguistics and a Juris Doctor from the University of British Columbia.

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