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Dodgers vs Phillies Predictions, Odds & Starting Pitchers (June 11)

John Perrotto

By John Perrotto in MLB Baseball

Updated: June 12, 2023 at 7:44 am EDT

Published:


Dodgers designated hitter J.D. Martinez. Dodgers vs Phillies
Jun 10, 2023; Philadelphia, Pennsylvania, USA; Los Angeles Dodgers designated hitter J.D. Martinez (28) celebrates with first baseman Freddie Freeman (5) and third baseman Max Muncy (13) and left fielder David Peralta (6) after hitting a three RBI home run during the seventh inning against the Philadelphia Phillies at Citizens Bank Park. Mandatory Credit: Bill Streicher-USA TODAY Sports
  • The Dodgers are -120 road favorites over the Phillies on Sunday
  • Left-hander Victor Gonzalez will be the opener for the Dodgers and face Taijuan Walker
  • A look at the Dodgers vs Phillies odds and matchup can be found below with a prediction

The Philadelphia Phillies will look to get back on track when they host the Los Angeles Dodgers at 1:35 p.m. ET Sunday in the rubber game of a three-game series at Citizens Bank Park. Read on for an analysis of Dodgers vs Phillies.

The Phillies (31-33, 18-11 home) had their six-game winning streak ended Saturday as they were blanked 9-0 by Los Angeles. The Dodgers (37-28, 17-18 road) won for just the second time in their last seven games.

MLB Network will televise the game.

Dodgers vs Phillies Odds

Team Moneyline Runline Total
Los Angeles Dodgers -120 -1.5 (+140) Over 10 (-110)
Philadelphia Phillies +100 -1.5 (-165) Under 10 (-110)

It is expected to be partly sunny in Philadelphia with a high of 88 and southwest wind from 5-15 mph.

Left-hander Victor Gonzalez (1-2, 2.70) is expected to serve as the opener for the Dodgers in a bullpen game and face Taijuan Walker (5-3, 5.04). Gonzalez will be pitching on only one day of rest while Walker will be going on four days.

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Odds as of June 10th at Caesars Sportsbook.

Dodgers vs Phillies Probable Pitchers

The Dodgers are -120 favorites on the moneyline over the Phillies on Sunday in the MLB odds, giving them a 54.55% implied win probability. Los Angeles has +550 World Series championship odds and Philadelphia is listed at +3000.

Gonzalez vs Walker

Victor Gonzalez
VS
Taijuan Walker
1-2 Record 5-3
2.70 ERA 5.04
3.80 xERA 4.52
0.90 WHIP 1.37
2.80 SO/W 1.83

Gonzalez also opened Friday against the Phillies in a game the Dodgers eventually lost 5-4. He retired two of three batters he faced and walked the other one in his first start after 16 relief outings to begin the season.

In five career appearances against the Phillies, Gonzalez is 1-0 with a 0.00 ERA. He has pitched 4.1 scoreless innings.

Gonzalez is 0-2 with a 4.50 ERA on the road this season in nine games (one start). In day games, he has a 0-1 record and a 2.35 ERA in seven relief appearances.

Walker is 3-1 with a 3.53 ERA in his last seven appearances, including pitching seven shutout innings Tuesday to beat the Detroit Tigers in Philadelphia. He allowed two hits, struck out eight and walked three.

Walker will be making his 14th career start versus the Dodgers. He had a 3-5 record with a 5.74 ERA against them.

The Phillies are 8-5 when Walker pitches this season, and he has had quality starts in six of his 13 outings. At Citizens Bank Park, Walker is 2-0 with a 2.67 ERA in five starts and he has a 2-1 mark and 4.00 ERA in six starts in the daylight.

Batting Average vs Starting Pitchers

Dodgers Batters Batting Average vs Taijuan Walker
J.D. Martinez .583
David Peralta .500
Austin Barnes .500
Mookie Betts .462
Will Smith .364
Chris Taylor .282
Jason Heyward .222
Freddie Freeman .211
Miguel Rojas .130
Max Muncy .083
James Outman .000
Miguel Vargas .000
Phillies Batters Batting Average vs Victor Gonzalez
Brandon Marsh 1.000
Kyle Schwarber .333
Nick Castellanos .000
Alec Bohm .000
Bryce Harper .000
Josh Harrison .000
Edmundo Sosa .000
Bryson Stott .000
Garrett Stubbs .000
Trea Turner .000

Dodgers designated hitter J.D. Martinez 7 for 12 (.583) with one double and one home run off Walker in his career but third baseman Max Muncy is 1 for 12 (.083) with one homer.7-12 1-0-1.  Players on the Phillies’ active roster are just 2 for 13 (.154) facing Gonzalez.

Dodgers vs Phillies Betting Outlook

Martinez hit a three-run home run Saturday to lead the Dodgers over the Phillies. David Peralta homered and doubled while Mookie Betts, whose NL MVP odds are +1500, added two hits and two RBIs.

Dodgers shortstop Miguel Rojas sat out for the third time in the last four games because of neck tightness and is questionable for Sunday. Right-handed reliever Shelby Miller was placed on the bereavement list before the game and righty Andre Jackson was recalled from Triple-A Oklahoma City.

Bryson Stott had three hits for the Phillies, who are expected to activate third baseman Alec Bohm (strained left hamstring) from the injured list prior to Sunday’s game.

Dodgers vs Phillies Last 10 Games

Date Home Team Away Team Score
6/10/23 Phillies Dodgers LAD, 9-0
6/9/23 Phillies Dodgers PHI, 5-4
5/3/23 Dodgers Phillies LAD, 10-6
5/2/23 Dodgers Phillies LAD, 13-1
5/1/23 Dodgers Phillies LAD, 13-4
5/22/22 Phillies Dodgers PHI, 4-3
5/21/22 Phillies Dodgers LAD, 7-4
5/20/22 Phillies Dodgers LAD, 4-1
5/15/22 Dodgers Phillies LAD, 5-4
5/14/22 Dodgers Phillies PHI, 8-3

The Dodgers are 3-2 against the Phillies this season and 15-10 since 2019.

Dodgers vs Phillies Prediction

Saturday’s blowout loss notwithstanding, the Phillies have been playing well lately and Walker has been pitching well. Philadelphia is the way to go, especially playing at home with good odds.

Pick: Phillies +100 ML

Season Record: 27-11 (+14.1 units) ML; 2-2 (0.0 units) RL; 2-1 (+1.0 unit) O/U; 0-1 (-1.0 unit) same-game parlays; 1-1 (+1.0) player props; 32-16 (+15.1 units) overall

 

John Perrotto
John Perrotto

Sports Writer

John Perrotto has been covering and writing about sports for various outlets for over 40 years. His work has appeared in the likes of USA TODAY, ESPN.com, SI.com, Forbes.com, The Associated Press, Baseball Digest, and more. John is based out of Beaver Falls, PA.

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