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NCAAM 2019 MAAC Tournament Odds: Iona & Rider Listed as Co-Favorites

Eric Rosales

by Eric Rosales in College Basketball

Updated Mar 30, 2020 · 6:59 AM PDT

Iona Gaels Mascot
The Iona Gaels are the top seed at the upcoming MAAC Tournament. Photo by Quintin Soloviev (Flickr) [CC License]
  • Iona is the three-time defending MAAC Tournament champ. 
  • The winner earns an automatic bid to NCAA tournament.
  • Are the Gaels the best bet or will Rider, Siena, or Quinnipiac break the streak? 

March Madness technically starts with the NCAA Tournament, but in practice, it begins this week with mid-major conference tournaments, like the Metro Atlantic Athletic Conference (MAAC) Tournament.

Just how up for grabs is the MAAC’s lone berth to the NCAA Tournament?

The top two seeds — the Iona Gaels and Rider Broncos — both have losing records on the season.

Let’s delve into this one, and see if we can’t find a value bet amongst this cluttered field.

Odds to Win MAAC Men’s Basketball Tournament

Team Seed Overall Record  Conference Record Odds
Iona Gaels 1 14-15 12-6 +325
Canisius Golden Griffins 2 14-16 11-7 +700
Quinnipiac Bobcats 3 16-13 11-7 +375
Rider Broncs 4 16-14 11-7 +325
Siena Saints 5 16-15 11-7 +375
Monmouth Hawks 6 11-20 10-8 +2000
Manhattan Jaspers 7 10-20 8-10 +5000
Marist Red Foxes 8 12-18 7-11 +1600
Saint Peter’s Peacocks 9 9-21 6-12 +5000
Fairfield Stags 10 9-21 6-12 +2000
Niagara Purple Eagles 11 13-18 6-12 +3300

*Odds taken on 03/05/19

Beware Betting the No. 1 Seed

Something’s gotta give in this year’s MAAC tournament. The Iona Gaels enter as the top seed and winners of three straight conference tournaments.

But all those wins have come as a non-1 seed.

In fact, the MAAC is the most volatile conference in the country: no top seed has claimed this tournament title since 2010, the longest drought among the 32 conferences. The next closest streak is the Atlantic 10, with five.

Iona has made it to the final of the MAAC Tournament six straight years, but as mentioned, they are on shaky ground both with history and their play this season. Thankfully, a 12-6 conference record was the determining factor in seeding, as they went just 2-9 in all other games this season.

They’re led by All-MAAC First Team stars EJ Crawford and Ricky McGill. Crawford was second in the conference in scoring at 18.8 points per game while shooting 53% from the field. McGill, a senior, averaged 16.9 points, 5.0 assists, and 2.4 steals per game in MAAC play, a top four ranking in all conference categories. Junior Tajuan Agee was also named to the Second Team.

Other Players to Watch

After Iona, there’s a log jam, with four teams tied for second in the conference standings.

If star power is the key to escaping the tourney with the title, then a player to keep an eye on is Quinnipiac University’s Cameron Young, a unanimous First Team choice. The senior scorched in league play, dropping 25.5 points a game to lead all players.

He hung 55 points on Siena in a triple-overtime extravaganza in February – setting the MAAC all-time mark. His 55-point output was the highest-scoring game in the NCAA this season.

It was a part of a duel with Siena freshman Jalen Pickett, who scored the second-most points in a game in MAAC history, with a 46-point, 13-assist gem. Pickett earned both All-MAAC First Team honors and a unanimous choice on the All-Rookie Team.

The second-seeded Canisius Golden Griffins will go as far as sophomore Takal Molson takes them. He led Canisius in scoring at 17 points a game, while building on his rookie of the year campaign from a season ago.

Meanwhile, Rider shares the best odds with Iona (+325), but with far less fanfare. Some impressive numbers for the Broncos:  they rank eighth in the nation in free throws attempted and sixth in steals. Within the conference, they’re first in offensive rebounding and second in scoring at 76.8 points a game.

A team that can defend, rebound and get to the line will always have value in short tournaments.

What is the Right Bet to Make?

While Iona is the favorite, we’re wary of the top-seed jinx, and how this tournament can go any which way, without surprise.

If you must bet a favorite, then roll with Rider (+325).

We lean to value and the best player. That conveniently lands on Young and Quinnipiac (+700).

Looking for some long shots? The Monmouth Hawks (+2000) started the season 0-12, but ended on quite a run, going 11-8 down the home stretch. Meanwhile, Marist (+1600) is ranked fifth in the conference, according to KenPom, so don’t be scared by their 7-11 mark in conference play.

SBD’s NCAA conference tournament coverage:

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