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Bills Still Favored in Super Bowl Odds After Loss to Jets

Eric Rosales

by Eric Rosales in NFL Football

Updated Nov 6, 2022 · 5:32 PM PST

Josh Allen tackled
Nov 6, 2022; East Rutherford, NJ, USA; New York Jets defensive end Vinny Curry (99) tackles Buffalo Bills quarterback Josh Allen (17) in the second half at MetLife Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Robert Deutsch-USA TODAY Sports
  • The Buffalo Bills were  upset on the road against the Jets in Week 9
  • Buffalo still owns the best Super Bowl odds in the NFL
  • See below for the latest Super Bowl 57 odds after Week 9 Sunday games

It appears it’s going to take more than an upset loss to a division rival to knock the Buffalo Bills off their perch in the 2023 Super Bowl odds.

They stalled in the Meadowlands, dropping a 20-17 decision to the New York Jets. With that result, Buffalo, New York and the Miami Dolphins (who rolled in Detroit) now all have six wins, though the Bills remain first in the AFC East as they have one less loss.

The Bills hang tough at the top of the title charts, but the loss definitely have other favorites closing in.

Let’s break down what happened in Sunday and see if Buffalo is still worthy of a wager.

Super Bowl 57 Odds

Team Odds
Buffalo Bills +270
Philadelphia Eagles +500
Kansas City Chiefs +600
San Francisco 49ers +1200
Minnesota Vikings +1500
Dallas Cowboys +1600
Baltimore Ravens +1600
Tampa Bay Buccaneers +2000
Miami Dolphins +2200
Cincinnati Bengals +2500

*Odds as of November 6 at Caesars Sportsbook; if you’re new to Caesars, be sure to claim the best Caesars Sportsbook promo when signing up.

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Buffalo entered Sunday with +250 odds to hoist the Lombardi Trophy, and they’ve slightly faded now to +270.

The closest team to them remains the undefeated Philadelphia Eagles, who beat up on the Houston Texans Thursday night. They sit at +500 odds while the Kansas City Chiefs are in action tonight against the Tennessee Titans.

San Francisco, on a bye in Week 9, is in fourth with +1200 odds, while Minnesota holds steady in fifth at +1500.

Bills Offense Stalls Sunday

It was a rough one for Josh Allen, who came into the game as the betting favorite in the 2023 NFL MVP odds. While he did lead the team in rushing with 84 yards and a pair of scores, one of the top passing offenses in the league was limited to 205 yards.

Allen finished 18-for-34, and didn’t throw a TD pass in a game for the first time since Week 17 of last season against the Atlanta Falcons. He was sacked five times, and was also picked off twice.

After throwing just four interceptions in the Bills’ first six games, Allen has now gone back-to-back games with two interceptions.

Aside from Allen, the running game was virtually non-existent. The duo of Devin Singletary and James Cook had just 12 carries between them for 39 yards.

Defensively, the Bills were without both starting safeties Micah Hyde and Jordan Poyer, while linebacker Matt Milano was sidelined with an oblique injury.

They held Zach Wilson to just 154 yards passing and a TD, but had trouble handling the run. The Jets put up 174 yards rushing on 34 carries, a 5.1-yard average per carry.

How Should You Bet the Bills?

There is no real reason to panic here. The Bills are still the team leading in the league in terms of DVOA rankings and are ranked fourth in both offensive and defensive DVOA.

They have a defense that allows the fewest points in the NFL, allow the fifth-fewest rushing yards, and are tied in for second in the league with 11 interceptions.

With Allen at the helm, they’re the 3rd-highest scoring team in the league, and are churning out 416 yards of offense per game, which is tops in the NFL.

Sunday’s loss to the Jets was more blip than exposure of a weakness. Expect for them to be back in top form when they host the Vikings in Week 10 — Minnesota is 7-1 and a current runaway leader in the NFC North.

If the Bills struggle there may be cause for concern. For now? Buffalo is as solid a championship pick as it gets.

It’s also worth noting some interesting odds emerging for the other two contenders in the AFC East. With a 35-23 win over the Lions, Miami has climbed in to the top-10 championship odds. They’re a frisky wager at +2200, a big climb from +3000 a week ago.

As for the Jets? At 6-3, they climb to +7000 odds from the microscopic +12500 they were sitting in heading into Sunday.

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