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NFL Playoff Props – Best Player Props to Bet for Wildcard Weekend

Matt McEwan

by Matt McEwan in NFL Football

Updated Jan 15, 2022 · 12:19 AM PST

Ja'Marr Chase dancing with Bengals teammates
Cincinnati Bengals wide receiver Ja'Marr Chase (1) reacts with teammates during an NFL football game against the San Francisco 49ers, Sunday, Dec. 12, 2021, in Cincinnati. (AP Photo/Emilee Chinn)
  • NFL player props are available for the six NFL wildcard games at online sportsbooks
  • Matt McEwan has five props he’s betting this weekend
  • See all the NFL Playoff props below for wildcard weekend

With NFL wildcard weekend upon us, the NFL player props available to us have dwindled thanks to just six games this weekend. But there is still plenty of value to be had if you take the extra time to look for it – I did this for us!

I’m also coming into the week feeling extra motivated to bounce back from an awful 2-6 (-1.75 units) showing in Week 17. I’m now +5.88 units in my last 12 weeks.

You’ll find my picks below in each section, as well as all the lines for each category of NFL player props.

Passing | Rushing | Receiving | Touchdown Props

NFL Passing Props

Quarterback Completions Passing Yards Passing TDs
Derek Carr (LV) 23.5 (Ov -120 | Un -110) 249.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115) 1.5 (Ov +115 | Un -150)
Joe Burrow (CIN) 23.5 (Ov -120 | Un -110) 262.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115) 1.5 (Ov -155 | Un +120)
Mac Jones (NE) 18.5 (Ov -120 | Un -110) 204.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115) 1.5 (Ov +165 | Un -225)
Josh Allen (BUF) 21.5 (Ov -125 | Un -105) 239.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115) 1.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115)
Jalen Hurts (PHI) 16.5 (Ov -125 | Un -105) 199.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115) 1.5 (Ov +180 | Un -250)
Tom Brady (TB) 26.5 (Ov -120 | Un -110) 273.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115) 2.5 (Ov +160 | Un -215)
Jimmy Garoppolo (SF) 20.5 (Ov -130 | Un -105) 252.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115) 1.5 (Ov -125 | Un -105)
Dak Prescott (DAL) 25.5 (Ov -135 | Un +100) 282.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115) 1.5 (Ov -220 | Un +160)
Ben Roethlisberger (PIT) 24.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115) 229.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115) 1.5 (Ov +150 | Un -205)
Patrick Mahomes (KC) 24.5 (Ov -130 | Un -105) 275.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115) 2.5 (Ov +140 | Un -190)
Kyler Murray (ARI) 23.5 (Ov +102 | Un -136) 253.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115) 1.5 (Ov +105 | Un -140)
Matthew Stafford (LAR) 23.5 (Ov -114 | Un -114) 276.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115) 1.5 (Ov -188 | Un +140)

All props as of January 14.

Dak Prescott has the highest passing total set for Wildcard Weekend. Prescott’s over/under for passing yards is listed at 282.5 for his game against the 49ers. He has a few quarterbacks just behind him in the 270’s, including Matthew Stafford (276.5), Patrick Mahomes (275.5), and Tom Brady (273.5). The lowest passing total of the week belongs to Jalen Hurts at 199.5.

Best Passing Props to Bet for Wildcard Weekend

1) Kyler Murray OVER 253.5 Passing Yards (-115); risk 0.5 units

Kyler Murray averaged 270.5 passing yards per game this season. He has gone over 253 yards in nine of 14 games this season, including both games against the Rams this season. Murray threw for 268 in their first meeting and 383 in their second.

The Rams rank 22nd against the pass and have allowed Kirk Cousins and Jimmy Garoppolo to each go over 300 passing yards against them in the last three weeks.

The Cardinals vs Rams game has the second-highest game total of wildcard weekend, which makes sense since the two teams combined for 110 points in their two matchups this season. I suspect we’ll see lots more firepower from these two offenses on Monday.

The result will be Kyler having to throw to keep Arizona in it, and he’s shown success against this Rams defense this season when taking to the air.

NFL Rushing Props

Player Rush Attempts Rush Yards Rushing + Receiving Yards
Josh Jacobs (LV) 16.5 (Ov -105 | Un -125) 59.5 (Ov -110 | Un -125) 84.5 (Ov -105 | Un -125)
Joe Mixon (CIN) 19.5 (Ov -105 | Un -125) 76.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115) 100.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115)
Rhamondre Stevenson (NE) 39.5 (Ov -125 | Un -105)
Devin Singletary (BUF) 15.5 (Ov -130 | Un +100) 64.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115) 86.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115)
Josh Allen (BUF) 7.5 (Ov -140 | Un +105) 40.5 (Ov -130 | Un -105)
Jalen Hurts (PHI) 8.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115) 49.5 (Ov -105 | Un -125)
Miles Sanders (PHI) 41.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115)
Leonard Fournette (TB) 60.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115) 96.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115)
Deebo Samuel (SF) 29.5 (Ov -120 | Un -110) 96.5 (Ov -114 | Un -114)
Elijah Mitchell (SF) 19.5 (Ov +110 | Un -140) 80.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115) 91.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115)
Ezekiel Elliott (DAL) 49.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115) 70.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115)
Tony Pollard (DAL) 37.5 (Ov -110 | Un -120) 58.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115)
Darrel Williams (KC) 55.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115) 81.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115)
Kyler Murray (ARI) 6.5 (Ov -105 | Un -125) 38.5 (Ov -110 | Un -120)
Cam Akers (LAR) 32.5 (Ov -114 | Un -114)
Sony Michel (LAR) 59.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115) 68.5 (Ov -120 | Un -110)

Elijah Mitchell has the highest rushing over/under of NFL wildcard weekend, set at 80.5 for San Francisco’s game against Dallas. Mitchell just edges out Joe Mixon, whose over/under is listed at 76.5.

Best Rushing Props to Bet for Wildcard Weekend

1) Rhamondre Stevenson OVER 39.5 Rushing Yards (-125); risk 0.5 units

If Damien Harris is unable to go Saturday, this becomes an absolute steal of a bet. But Harris is currently listed as questionable on the Patriots’ injury report, and seems to be on the right side of questionable. Even if the Patriots’ lead back does suit up, I still like this line for Rhamondre Stevenson.

The rookie ran the ball very well against the Jaguars in Week 17, going for 107 on 19 carries. He also saw plenty of work, 24 carries that he turned into 78 yards, in New England’s Week 14 matchup with the Bills thanks to Harris leaving early with an injury.

Though the wind isn’t expected to be a major factor in the Patriots vs Bills wildcard matchup, as it was in Week 14, it is expected to be very cold. The weather report is calling for single digits at best all night, likely dipping below zero.

I’m suspecting we see Buffalo’s offense struggle a little with the extreme cold, allowing New England to keep pounding the ball throughout the game. Even if Harris is fully healthy, which doesn’t seem to be the case, I still like Stevenson to get enough touches to go over his 39.5 rushing total.

NFL Receiving Props

Player Receptions Receiving Yards Longest Reception
Darren Waller (LV) 5.5 (Ov +115 | Un -155) 60.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115) 21.5 (Ov -110 | Un -120)
Hunter Renfrow (LV) 5.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115) 55.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115) 19.5 (Ov -120 | Un -110)
Zay Jones (LV) 4.5 (Ov +110 | Un -145) 45.5 (Ov -110 | Un -120) 18.5 (Ov -110 | Un -120)
Ja’Marr Chase (CIN) 5.5 (Ov +100 | Un -135) 69.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115) 24.5 (Ov -120 | Un -110)
Tee Higgins (CIN) 5.5 (Ov +115 | Un -155) 65.5 (Ov -120 | Un -115) 24.5 (Ov -120 | Un -110)
Tyler Boyd (CIN) 3.5 (Ov -175 | Un +130) 41.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115) 18.5 (Ov -110 | Un -120)
Hunter Henry (NE) 3.5 (Ov +130 | Un -170) 32.5 (Ov -110 | Un -120) 15.5 (Ov -120 | Un -110)
Jakobi Meyers (NE) 4.5 (Ov +125 | Un -165) 46.5 (Ov -120 | Un -110) 19.5 (Ov -110 | Un -120)
Kendrick Bourne (NE) 3.5 (Ov +135 | Un -170) 32.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115) 16.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115)
Cole Beasley (BUF) 3.5 (Ov -165 | Un +125) 36.5 (Ov -110 | Un -120) 12.5 (Ov -114 | Un -114)
Dawson Knox (BUF) 3.5 (Ov +100 | Un -135) 32.5 (Ov -105 | Un -125) 15.5 (Ov -120 | Un -110)
Stefon Diggs (BUF) 6.5 (Ov +110 | Un -150) 71.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115) 22.5 (Ov -120 | Un -110)
Dallas Goedert (PHI) 4.5 (Ov +110 | Un -145) 53.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115)
DeVonta Smith (PHI) 3.5 (Ov -110 | Un -125) 43.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115)
Quez Watkins (PHI) 2.5 (Ov +115 | Un -155) 27.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115)
Breshad Perriman (TB) 42.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115) 19.5 (Ov -110 | Un -120)
Mike Evans (TB) 4.5 (Ov -105 | Un -125) 53.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115) 21.5 (Ov -110 | Un -120)
Rob Gronkowski (TB) 5.5 (Ov +105 | Un -140) 56.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115) 20.5 (Ov -105 | Un -125)
Brandon Aiyuk (SF) 3.5 (Ov -155 | Un +120) 49.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115) 21.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115)
Deebo Samuel (SF) 4.5 (Ov +105 | Un -140) 62.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115) 25.5 (Ov -110 | Un -120)
George Kittle (SF) 4.5 (Ov -110 | Un -125) 50.5 (Ov -120 | Un -110) 20.5 (Ov -120 | Un -110)
Amari Cooper (DAL) 4.5 (Ov -130 | Un -102) 60.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115) 22.5 (Ov -110 | Un -125)
CeeDee Lamb (DAL) 5.5 (Ov +116 | Un -154) 60.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115) 22.5 (Ov -110 | Un -120)
Dalton Schultz (DAL) 3.5 (Ov -154 | Un +116) 41.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115) 17.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115)
Chase Claypool (PIT) 3.5 (Ov -165 | Un +125) 43.5 (Ov -110 | Un -120) 18.5 (Ov -120 | Un -110)
Diontae Johnson (PIT) 6.5 (Ov -110 | Un -120) 60.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115) 19.5 (Ov -125 | Un -105)
Pat Freiermuth (PIT) 3.5 (Ov -125 | Un -105) 30.5 (Ov -120 | Un -110) 14.5 (Ov -110 | Un -120)
Byron Pringle (KC) 30.5 (Ov -110 | Un -120) 16.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115)
Travis Kelce (KC) 5.5 (Ov -125 | Un -105) 68.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115) 22.5 (Ov -110 | Un -120)
Tyreek Hil (KC) 5.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115) 69.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115) 22.5 (Ov -125 | Un -105)
AJ Green (ARI) 3.5 (Ov -110 | Un -120) 43.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115) 20.5 (Ov -120 | Un -110)
Christian Kirk (ARI) 4.5 (Ov +105 | Un -140) 52.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115) 21.5 (Ov -110 | Un -120)
Zach Ertz (ARI) 5.5 (Ov +100 | Un -130) 52.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115) 19.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115)
Cooper Kupp (LAR) 7.5 (Ov -135 | Un +105) 104.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115) 30.5 (Ov -110 | Un -120)
Odell Beckham Jr (LAR) 3.5 (Ov -120 | Un -110) 46.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115) 20.5 (Ov -110 | Un -120)
Tyler Higbee (LAR) 4.5 (Ov +115 | Un -155) 40.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115) 17.5 (Ov -110 | Un -120)
Van Jefferson (LAR) 3.5 (Ov +135 | Un -180) 36.5 (Ov -120 | Un -110) 18.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115)

Cooper Kupp sits well above the field in terms of receiving over/unders for Wildcard Weekend. Kupp’s receiving yards total is set at 104.5, while the next best is Stefon Diggs’ 71.5.

Best Receiving Props to Bet for Wildcard Weekend

1) Ja’Marr Chase OVER 69.5 Receiving Yards (-115); risk 0.5 units

Ja’Marr Chase wasn’t really a factor in Cincinnati’s 32-13 victory over the Raiders earlier this season. He only caught three balls for 32 yards, but Joe Burrow only threw for 148 in the game as well.

However, in the Bengals biggest games this season, they’ve looked to get their rookie receiver involved early and often. He’s seen at least ten targets now in five games: two games against the Ravens where he totalled 326 receiving yards, a close loss to the Packers where he posted 159 yards, a win over the Chiefs where he went off for 266 yards, and then a game where his Bengals got crushed by the Browns.

There is no way Cincinnati comes into this playoff game without plenty of plans to get the ball in Chase’s hands. When they target him, it pays off.

Though he has only gone over 69 yards in eight of 17 games, Week 18 shouldn’t really count, Chase is averaging 85.6 receiving yards per game this season, and has hit the over in three of his last four where he has played more than five snaps.

Touchdown Props

Team Odds to Score 1st TD Odds to Score Any TD
Josh Jacobs (LV) +750 -105
Darren Waller (LV) +1200 +180
Hunter Renfrow (LV) +1300 +180
Joe Mixon (CIN) +550 -160
Ja’Marr Chase +750 +100
Tee Higgins (CIN) +900 +125
Damien Harris (NE) +750 +110
Rhamondre Stevenson (NE) +1400 +250
Hunter Henry (NE) +1400 +250
Devin Singletary (BUF) +750 +110
Stefon Diggs (BUF) +850 +140
Josh Allen (BUF) +1000 +160
Miles Sanders (PHI) +1000 +160
Jalen Hurts (PHI) +1200 +190
Dallas Goedert (PHI) +1400 +225
Leonard Fournette (TB) +550 -145
Mike Evans (TB) +700 -105
Rob Gronkowski (TB) +750 +100
Elijah Mitchell (SF) +700 -110
Deebo Samuel (SF) +700 -115
George Kittle (SF) +1100 +150
Ezekiel Elliott (DAL) +700 -120
CeeDee Lamb (DAL) +1000 +130
Tony Pollard (DAL) +1200 +175
Najee Harris (PIT) +750 +120
Diontae Johnson (PIT) +1100 +185
Pat Freiermuth (PIT) +1600 +250
Travis Kelce (KC) +600 -120
Darrel Williams (KC) +650 -105
Tyreek Hill (KC) +650 -105
James Conner (ARI) +1000 +130
Eno Benjamin (ARI) +1000 +130
Kyler Murray (ARI) +1400 +210
Cooper Kupp (LAR) +550 -165
Sony Michel (LAR) +750 +105
Odell Beckham Jr (LAR) +1000 +140

The player with the best odds to score a touchdown in Wildcard Weekend is Cooper Kupp at -165. Joe Mixon is a close second at -160. The two are joined by Leonard Fournette for the best odds to score their respective game’s first touchdown. They are all seeing +550 odds.

Anytime Touchdown Picks for Wildcard Weekend

Here’s who I like to find the endzone and why:

  1. Odell Beckham Jr anytime touchdown (+140): OBJ has a touchdown in five of his last seven games now, one of which came against the Cardinals in Week 14. We should not be getting odds this long anymore. He’s as short as +115 at some sportsbooks. (0.5 units)
  2. Diontae Johnson anytime touchdown (+185): Johnson has a touchdown in two of his last three games, one being a Week 16 game against the Chiefs. The Steelers will be put in a negative game script early, and Ben Roethlisberger loves Johnson. The third-year pro has seen double-digit targets in 12 of 16 games. (0.33 units)
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