NFL Public Betting Splits for Cowboys vs 49ers Divisional Round Playoffs
- San Francisco is getting 60% of the ATS handle in the Cowboys vs 49ers public betting splits ahead of their NFC Divisional Round matchup
- Over 46.5 is garnering 74% of the tickets and 74% of all money wagered on the total
- A comprehensive breakdown of the Cowboys vs 49ers public betting splits and key trends are below
No two teams in NFL playoff history have squared off more often than the Cowboys and 49ers. Tonight will mark their ninth meeting in the postseason to date, and the second in as many years. Read on for an analysis of the Cowboys vs 49ers public betting splits.
San Francisco walked into Dallas during last year’s Wild Card Round and promptly upset the Cowboys. Bettors are expecting history to repeat itself tonight in the Divisional Round judging by the NFL public betting trends, only this time the Niners will be the favorites.
Cowboys vs 49ers ATS Betting Splits
San Francisco opened up as 3.5 point favorites over its storied rival, and the line stayed that way for most of the week. Late Niners money came in over the weekend, driving the line up to -4 where it currently sits. At that number, 60% of the ATS money is on San Francisco, and that handle is coming from 61 % of the spread bets.
The 49ers enter play as the hottest team in the league, racking up 11 straight victories. They’re 9-2 against the spread during that stretch, including 8-1 ATS in their last nine outings. San Francisco has been incredible as a home favorite this season, covering in all but one the nine instances.
Brock Purdy is only the second rookie QB to be favored in a Divisional Round playoff game since 2000, with the other being his counterpart tonight Dak Prescott.
Brock Purdy Passing Stats – Last 5 Games
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Purdy has taken the league by storm since assuming the Niners starting job, covering in five of six starts. He’s led the team to at least 35 points in five of those outings, and hung 41 points on the Seahawks in the Wild Card Round.
Per the Cowboys vs 49ers picks, San Fran is 6-1 ATS in playoff games under Kyle Shanahan, including 4-0 since last season.
Dallas, on the other hand, has been abysmal in the playoffs in an underdog role. They haven’t won a postseason game as a ‘dog since 1992, posting a 2-5 ATS mark in the last seven instances.
The Cowboys are headed to The Bay this Sunday 🌴
Who wins? @dallascowboys vs @49ers on FOX 🔥 pic.twitter.com/D5uonyPXyn
— FOX Sports: NFL (@NFLonFOX) January 20, 2023
Tonight will mark the first game in their last 13 outings that the Cowboys haven’t been favored. They’ve been an underdog just five times this season, posting a 3-2 record both straight up and against the spread.
If you’re looking to back Dallas tonight, you can take comfort in knowing they’ve excelled on the road over the last two years. They’re 13-5 ATS in their last 18 games away from home.
Dallas vs San Francisco Total Betting Splits
Total-wise, the line sits at 46.5 after opening at 45.5. Overs went 4-2 on Wild Card Weekend, but the first two Divisional Round games came in under the total.
As of this morning, bettors are anticipating a high-scoring affair. Over 46.5 is drawing 74% of the over/under tickets and 74% of all money wagered on the total.
Dallas and San Francisco ranked fourth and sixth respectively in scoring this season, and 11th and fifth respectively in total offense. The Niners rank third in expected points added per play since Purdy took over, and have averaged 35 points per game with him under center.
Before you go racing to your favorite online sportsbook to hammer the over, however, consider the following. San Francisco and Dallas rank first and second in defense per DVOA. They both boast top-10 pass rushes, with the Cowboys ranking atop the NFL in that category.
#49ers TE George Kittle was serving up pancakes this weekend 🥞😅
🎥: @NFL pic.twitter.com/SjyxguMgmc
— OurSF49ers (@OurSf49ers) January 11, 2023
That should force San Fran to run more and keep extra blockers in when Purdy does drop back. For that reason, consider fading George Kittle in the Cowboys vs 49ers props. Kittle is one of the league’s premier blocking tight ends and will be needed to slow down Micah Parson and Co.
Cowboys vs 49ers Moneyline Splits
Both teams are coming into this game in good health per the Cowboys vs 49ers injury report. As far as the moneyline market goes, the ticket count and handle favor San Francisco, but it’s a lot closer than you might think.
The 49ers are drawing 58% of the moneyline wagers, but only 54% of the handle as -195 favorites. Bettors see value on the Cowboys as +165 underdogs, in spite of their poor playoff track record when not favored.
Dallas owns a 5-3 record all-time against San Francisco in the playoffs, and it’s worth noting the last time they won as an underdog was against the 49ers. As mentioned that was back in 1992, and that win propelled the Troy Aikman, Emmitt Smith, and Michael Irving Cowboys to their first of three Super Bowls together.
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