Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs New Orleans Saints – Odds, Spread, Picks, and Predictions
By Bryan Thiel in NFL Football
Published:
- Week 2 features an NFC South battle between the Buccaneers and the Saints
- 2022 Record: 1-1, +0.91 units
- See the Buccaneers vs Saints odds ahead of Week 2
Since Tom Brady came to the NFC South, it’s been nothing short of entertaining between the Buccaneers and Saints.
New Orleans will be hoping for a more by-the-book week following a nail-biter over the Falcons. The Bucs, meanwhile, would be just fine with a second-straight sleeper, this one over a division rival. We know it probably won’t go that way, though.
The two kick off on Sunday at 1 pm ET from Caesars Superdome, with a 2-0 record on the line.
Buccaneers vs Saints Odds
| Team | Moneyline | Spread | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tampa Bay Buccaneers | -140 | -2.5 (-109) | Ov 44 (-109) |
| New Orleans Saints | +120 | +2.5 (-112) | Un 44 (-112) |
Odds as of September 17th from Barstool Sportsbook. Be sure to check out the Barstool Sportsbook promo code ahead of kickoff on Sunday.
For the second-straight week, Tampa Bay is a road favorite, after easily covering in Dallas. New Orleans were heavy road favorites in Atlanta in Week 1, but the 5.5-point spread was an afterthought in a one-point comeback win.
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Early in the week, NFL Public Betting Trends were heavily favoring Tampa. Tom Brady and company are leading in both money and total bets on the moneyline and spread. The public shaved the total down to 44 heading into the weekend.
Buccaneers vs Saints Injury Report
Ahead of a key divisional matchup, the Saints had a couple of notable names pop up on the injury report throughout the week. Safety Marcus Maye was limited to open the week but was a full participant later on. Cam Jordan followed a similar path.
Quarterback Jameis Winston, who could crack the top-20 NFL MVP odds with a strong Week 2, is questionable. So too are Mark Ingram and Alvin Kamara, with the dynamic do-it-all back not practicing Thursday or Friday with a rib injury.
Week 2 Injury Report
| Buccaneers | Injury, Status | Saints | Injury, Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mike Evans, WR | Calf, Questionable | Alvin Kamara, RB | Ribs, Questionable |
| Leonard Fournette, RB | Hamstring, Questionable | Tre’Quan Smith, WR | Shoulder, Questionable |
| Breshad Perriman, WR | Knee, Questionable | Dwayne Washington, RB | Hamstring, Questionable |
| Tristan Wirfs, T | Abdomen, Questionable | Jameis Winston, QB | Back, Questionable |
| Russell Gage, WR | Hamstring, Questionable | Mark Ingram, RB | Ankle, Questionable |
| Chris Godwin, WR | Hamstring, OUT | Paulson Adebo, CB | Ankle, OUT |
| Julio Jones, WR | Knee, Questionable | N/A | N/A |
| Zyon McCollum, CB | Hamstring, Doubtful | N/A | N/A |
| Donovan Smith, T | Elbow, Doubtful | N/A | N/A |
For the Bucs, there are a lot of key offensive names on the list with varying clarity. Chris Godwin will be out for a few weeks, and Mike Evans got in two limited sessions with a rest day Thursday.
Bucs WR Chris Godwin is officially out on Sunday, while LT Donovan Smith is doubtful and WR Mike Evans, WR Julio Jones, WR Russell Gage, RT Tristan Wires and RB Leonard Fournette are all questionable.
— Field Yates (@FieldYates) September 16, 2022
But then there are the statuses of Leonard Fournette, Russell Gage and Julio Jones. Considering Jones’ injury history the last few seasons, his knee injury would be the most concerning. But the fact the trio, along with both starting tackles, are slapped with questionable tags, isn’t great.
Buccaneers vs Saints Recent Results
Things have been surprisingly one-sided when it comes to the Tampa Bay/New Orleans rivalry since Brady took over under centre. The Saints are 4-1 outright in that time will all of the games being decided by at least nine points.
That one Bucs win did come in the playoffs though.
Buccaneers vs Saints: Last Five Games
| Date | Away Team | Home Team | Final Score | Line | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sept 13, 2020 | Tampa Bay Buccaneers | New Orleans Saints | NO 34-23 | NO -4.5 | 48.5 (OVER) |
| Nov 8, 2020 | New Orleans Saints | Tampa Bay Buccaneers | NO 38-3 | TB -3.0 | 51.0 (UNDER) |
| Jan 17, 2021 | Tampa Bay Buccaneers | New Orleans Saints | TB 30-20 | NO -2.5 | 53.0 (UNDER) |
| Oct 31, 2021 | Tampa Bay Buccaneers | New Orleans Saints | NO 36-27 | TB -4.5 | 49.0 (OVER) |
| Dec 19, 2021 | New Orleans Saints | Tampa Bay Buccaneers | NO 9-0 | TB -11.5 | 45.5 (UNDER) |
Winston and his offense held up their end of the bargain last Sunday. Sure it was after three quarters of sluggishness and it all came in the span of 12 minutes, but Winston ultimately finished with 269 yards and a pair of TDs.
Michael Thomas was eventually able to shrug off the rust of missing 2021 to finish with five catches for 57 yards and both of those clutch TDs. Then there was Jarvis Landry’s seven balls for 114 yards. Juwan Johnson and Chris Olave played small roles, but it gives Winston plenty of options to attack Tampa with.
Even if Kamara isn’t at full strength.
Buccaneers vs Saints Pick
Even though it’s early in the season, Brady’s receivers are battling injuries. Losing Godwin again hurts, and they have fewer difference-makers than in years past.
The Saints also have a deeper receiver group than the Cowboys, so they’ll be able to apply more pressure to Tampa.
It’s always tempting to back the GOAT, but on Sunday? Stick with the underdog at home.
The Pick: New Orleans Saints (+120); 1 Unit
Sports Writer
Bryan has spent the last decade working in the sports industry. From the sidelines in the OHL and Rugby League to behind the scenes at TSN, Bryan has a wealth of experience with a soft spot for props and parlays.
