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Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs New Orleans Saints – Odds, Spread, Picks, and Predictions

Bryan Thiel

by Bryan Thiel in NFL Football

Sep 17, 2022 · 5:00 AM PDT

Tom Brady celebrates; Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Sep 11, 2022; Arlington, Texas, USA; Tampa Bay Buccaneers quarterback Tom Brady (12) celebrates with offensive coordinator Byron Leftwich after throwing a touchdown pass during the second half at AT&T Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Kevin Jairaj-USA TODAY Sports
  • Week 2 features an NFC South battle between the Buccaneers and the Saints
  • 2022 Record: 1-1, +0.91 units
  • See the Buccaneers vs Saints odds ahead of Week 2

Since Tom Brady came to the NFC South, it’s been nothing short of entertaining between the Buccaneers and Saints.

New Orleans will be hoping for a more by-the-book week following a nail-biter over the Falcons. The Bucs, meanwhile, would be just fine with a second-straight sleeper, this one over a division rival. We know it probably won’t go that way, though.

The two kick off on Sunday at 1 pm ET from Caesars Superdome, with a 2-0 record on the line.

Buccaneers vs Saints Odds

Team Moneyline Spread Total
Tampa Bay Buccaneers -140 -2.5 (-109) Ov 44 (-109)
New Orleans Saints +120 +2.5 (-112) Un 44 (-112)

Odds as of September 17th from Barstool Sportsbook. Be sure to check out the Barstool Sportsbook promo code ahead of kickoff on Sunday.

For the second-straight week, Tampa Bay is a road favorite, after easily covering in Dallas. New Orleans were heavy road favorites in Atlanta in Week 1, but the 5.5-point spread was an afterthought in a one-point comeback win.

Early in the week, NFL Public Betting Trends were heavily favoring Tampa. Tom Brady and company are leading in both money and total bets on the moneyline and spread. The public shaved the total down to 44 heading into the weekend.

Buccaneers vs Saints Injury Report

Ahead of a key divisional matchup, the Saints had a couple of notable names pop up on the injury report throughout the week. Safety Marcus Maye was limited to open the week but was a full participant later on. Cam Jordan followed a similar path.

Quarterback Jameis Winston, who could crack the top-20 NFL MVP odds with a strong Week 2, is questionable. So too are Mark Ingram and Alvin Kamara, with the dynamic do-it-all back not practicing Thursday or Friday with a rib injury.

Week 2 Injury Report

Buccaneers Injury, Status Saints Injury, Status
Mike Evans, WR Calf, Questionable Alvin Kamara, RB Ribs, Questionable
Leonard Fournette, RB Hamstring, Questionable Tre’Quan Smith, WR Shoulder, Questionable
Breshad Perriman, WR Knee, Questionable Dwayne Washington, RB Hamstring, Questionable
Tristan Wirfs, T Abdomen, Questionable Jameis Winston, QB Back, Questionable
Russell Gage, WR Hamstring, Questionable Mark Ingram, RB Ankle, Questionable
Chris Godwin, WR Hamstring, OUT Paulson Adebo, CB Ankle, OUT
Julio Jones, WR Knee, Questionable N/A N/A
Zyon McCollum, CB Hamstring, Doubtful N/A N/A
Donovan Smith, T Elbow, Doubtful N/A N/A

For the Bucs, there are a lot of key offensive names on the list with varying clarity. Chris Godwin will be out for a few weeks, and Mike Evans got in two limited sessions with a rest day Thursday.

But then there are the statuses of Leonard Fournette, Russell Gage and Julio Jones. Considering Jones’ injury history the last few seasons, his knee injury would be the most concerning. But the fact the trio, along with both starting tackles, are slapped with questionable tags, isn’t great.

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Buccaneers vs Saints Recent Results

Things have been surprisingly one-sided when it comes to the Tampa Bay/New Orleans rivalry since Brady took over under centre. The Saints are 4-1 outright in that time will all of the games being decided by at least nine points.

That one Bucs win did come in the playoffs though.

Buccaneers vs Saints: Last Five Games

Date Away Team Home Team Final Score Line O/U
Sept 13, 2020 Tampa Bay Buccaneers New Orleans Saints NO 34-23 NO -4.5 48.5 (OVER)
Nov 8, 2020 New Orleans Saints Tampa Bay Buccaneers NO 38-3 TB -3.0 51.0 (UNDER)
Jan 17, 2021 Tampa Bay Buccaneers New Orleans Saints TB 30-20 NO -2.5 53.0 (UNDER)
Oct 31, 2021 Tampa Bay Buccaneers New Orleans Saints NO 36-27 TB -4.5 49.0 (OVER)
Dec 19, 2021 New Orleans Saints Tampa Bay Buccaneers NO 9-0 TB -11.5 45.5 (UNDER)

Winston and his offense held up their end of the bargain last Sunday. Sure it was after three quarters of sluggishness and it all came in the span of 12 minutes, but Winston ultimately finished with 269 yards and a pair of TDs.

Michael Thomas was eventually able to shrug off the rust of missing 2021 to finish with five catches for 57 yards and both of those clutch TDs. Then there was Jarvis Landry’s seven balls for 114 yards. Juwan Johnson and Chris Olave played small roles, but it gives Winston plenty of options to attack Tampa with.

Even if Kamara isn’t at full strength.

Buccaneers vs Saints Pick

Even though it’s early in the season, Brady’s receivers are battling injuries. Losing Godwin again hurts, and they have fewer difference-makers than in years past.

The Saints also have a deeper receiver group than the Cowboys, so they’ll be able to apply more pressure to Tampa.

It’s always tempting to back the GOAT, but on Sunday? Stick with the underdog at home.

The Pick: New Orleans Saints (+120); 1 Unit

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