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Penguins vs Golden Knights Best Bets, Odds & Prediction (Oct. 17)

Eric Rosales

By Eric Rosales in NHL Hockey

Published:


Carter Hart jumping
Oct 10, 2026; Las Vegas, Nevada, USA; Vegas Golden Knights goaltender Carter Hart (79) jumps before the start of overtime against the Los Angeles Kings at T-Mobile Arena. Mandatory Credit: Candice Ward-Imagn Images
  • The Pittsburgh Penguins visit T-Mobile Arena for a late Saturday clash with the Vegas Golden Knights
  • Vegas brings a 25.7% power play into this Penguins vs Golden Knights matchup, while Pittsburgh’s unit sits at 14.8%
  • Read below for our Penguins vs Golden Knights best bets, odds and prediction

The Vegas Golden Knights host the Pittsburgh Penguins on Saturday, Oct. 17, with puck drop set for 10pm ET at T-Mobile Arena. The two clubs enter this interconference matchup with recent trends pointing in opposite directions.

Vegas has been strong at both ends of the ice, scoring 3.89 goals per game while allowing 2.33. Pittsburgh can put pucks in the net, but its defense and special teams have given opponents plenty to work with.

The prediction markets have taken a firm stance on this one. Our best bet, the latest odds and a full prediction are below.

Penguins vs Golden Knights Best Bets

  • Golden Knights to Win (68¢ on Kalshi)
Prediction Markets
Golden Knights to Win
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Kalshi
Vegas
68%

Our top Penguins vs Golden Knights best bet is Vegas to win outright. The Golden Knights winner contract costs 68¢, roughly a 68% implied chance, while Pittsburgh’s contract trades at 33¢.

Recent trends back the home side. Vegas has gone 5-0 at home against teams with losing records and has won four of its last five games overall. Those are rolling samples, so not every result comes from this season.

Pittsburgh’s recent numbers point the other way. The Penguins are 2-5 in their last seven games as a road underdog and 2-7 in their last nine games following a loss.

That second trend matters on a long road trip to the desert. Pittsburgh hasn’t consistently answered back after a defeat, and Vegas is a tough building to find a response in.

PIT Penguins vs LV Golden Knights Odds

The Penguins vs Golden Knights odds on Kalshi make Vegas a clear favorite on home ice.

MarketPenguinsGolden Knights
Winner Contract33¢68¢
Implied Chance33%68%

New to prediction markets? Grab the Kalshi promo code before opening your first NHL position.

Vegas at 68¢ works out to about a 68% implied probability, while Pittsburgh’s 33¢ contract implies roughly a 33% chance. The two prices add up to 101¢, with the extra cent coming from the gap between the two asks.

Traders who want to shop another exchange can check out the Novig promo code as a separate option.

Penguins vs Golden Knights Prediction

Our Penguins vs Golden Knights prediction comes down to the gap between these teams at both ends of the ice. Vegas averages 3.89 goals and 31.00 shots per game, and its power play is converting at 25.7%.

Pittsburgh scores at a respectable 3.25 goals per game, but its power play sits at 14.8%. That hands Vegas a sizable special teams edge if this game turns into a penalty-filled night.

The defensive gap is even wider. The Golden Knights allow 2.33 goals and 25.44 shots per game, while the Penguins give up 3.13 goals on 28.63 shots.

Vegas is outscoring opponents by about 1.56 goals per game and outshooting them by more than five shots a night. A two-way profile like that keeps the Golden Knights firmly in the conversation on the Stanley Cup Odds board.

The projected goalie matchup also tilts toward Vegas. Carter Hart carries a .911 save percentage and 2.35 GAA, while Pittsburgh’s Arturs Silovs sits at .875 with a 3.20 GAA.

Pittsburgh is also dealing with an injury, as Egor Chinakhov is day-to-day with a lower-body issue.

Vegas holds the edge in goal, on special teams and in its own end. We expect the Golden Knights to control play and pick up the win on home ice.

Eric Rosales
Eric Rosales

Sports Writer & Editor

Having worked in and around sports since 1997, Eric is truly a knowledgeable expert. The two-time journalism grad specializes in all things NBA and NFL. From TSN.ca to CTV's Olympic Broadcast Consortium, Eric's work has appeared in local and national publications alike.

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