2025-26 NFL Coach of the Year Odds Tracker
By Matt McEwan
Updated:
- Get the latest odds to win the 2025-26 NFL Coach of the Year award
- Mike Vrabel is the NFL COY favorite
- Track how the NFL COY odds change throughout the course of the 2025-26 NFL season
The Associated Press has been handing out an NFL Coach of the Year award since 1957. Below you’ll find the odds to win the 2025-26 NFL COY award. The graphs below were generated by averaging the odds from multiple sportsbooks.
The NFL Coach of the Year award is not always awarded to the best head coach in the league. Often, it goes to the coach who turned around a bad team early in his tenure, or one whose team still won a lot of games while playing without some of their stars.
It’s hard to predict which coaches will see their teams suffer through some bad injury luck, but it is easy to identify the candidates to turn around bad or underachieving teams. This is why we saw Ben Johnson, who took over a Bears team who greatly underachieved last season, listed as the early favorite to win NFL COY, and have coaches like Mike Vrabel, who took over a bad Patriots team, Pete Carroll, who is in his first year as the Raiders head coach, and Liam Coen, who took on an underachieving Jaguars team, all listed with short odds prior to kickoff.
See how the Coach of the Year odds have changed throughout the season, as well as the best odds you can find for each coach below.
2025-26 NFL Coach of the Year Award Odds & Favorites
Mike Vrabel is given the best odds to win the 2025-26 NFL Coach of the Year award. Vrabel’s odds are listed at average odds of -218. These odds implies he has a 68.6% chance to win the award. If you bet $20 on the Patriots’ head coach, your potential profit would be $9.17 while returning $29.17.
Vrabel had been lingering as a close second in the odds starting in October, as his Patriots had taken over the top spot in the AFC East, notably knocking off the Bills. New England’s Week 10 signature win over the Bucs was enough for sportsbooks to make Vrabel the favorite, and he has followed that up with two more wins, putting the Patriots in the top seed in the AFC.
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Shane Steichen, who had been the favorite the majority of the season, is still given the second-best odds at +460. His COY odds faded from +190 to the now +460 after Indianapolis lost to the Chiefs in Week 12.
The top NFL Coach of the Year contenders after Week 12 are:
- Mike Vrabel, Patriots (-218 consensus odds)
- Shane Steichen, Colts (+460)
- Ben Johnson, Bears (+850)
- Mike Macdonald, Seahawks (+875)
- Sean McVay, Rams (+2000)
The coaches making the most notable rise up the NFL COY odds after Week 12 are:
- Brian Schottenheimer: a great win over the Eagles in Week 12, which really saved Dallas’ playoff hopes, saw Schottenheimer’s COY odds improve from +8000 to +6250.
And the coaches who saw their odds fall most notably include:
- Mike Macdonald: though Macdonald’s Seahawks got a win in Week 12, only beating the Titans by six points was seen as a bit of a letdown. Macdonald’s COY odds faded from an average of +650 to +875 as a result.
- Shane Steichen: as briefly mentioned earlier, Steichen’s Coach of the Year odds faded from an average of +190 to +460 after the Colts lost to the Chiefs in overtime this past Sunday.
*NFL Coach of the Year odds are updated every 15 minutes in the table above, surfacing up the best odds available from DraftKings, FanDuel, and other top sportsbooks. If you’re new to DraftKings, be sure to check out the best DraftKings promo codes before signing up.
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Here are some more notes on the movement we have seen:
- [November 11] Though Steichen’s Colts also recorded a win in Week 10, it wasn’t as impressive as Mike Vrabel and the Patriots’ win over the Buccaneers, according to sportsbooks. This is what led to Vrabel taking over as the COY favorite following Week 10.
- [September 16] Shane Steichen took over as the new favorite after beating the Broncos, and helping Daniel Jones throw for 316 yards against what was believed to be a stingy Denver defense.
- [September 9] Liam Cohen became the new favorite to win Coach of the Year after his Jaguars put together a convincing win over the Panthers in Week 1.
- [August 29] Ben Johnson reclaimed the best odds to win Coach of the Year after the Bears’ starting offense put together some encouraging drives during the preseason.
- [August 15] Bettors had to be appreciating Jonathan Gannon, as the Cardinals’ coach saw his odds improve from an average of +2500 in late-June to +1700 in mid-August.
- [July 22] Mike Vrabel overtook Ben Johnson as the favorite to win NFL Coach of the Year. Neither saw their odds move much at this time, and it was likely just the result of money coming in on Vrabel.
- [March 14] After the Bears added three new starting offensive linemen during free agency, acquiring two of them via trades, as well as bolstering the interior of their defense, Ben Johnson’s NFL Coach of the Year odds improved from +700 to +550.
- [March 7] Pete Carroll was already among the COY favorites prior to the Raiders acquiring Geno Smith, but most sportsbooks did not adjust his odds after the trade. ESPN Bet, however, quickly moved Carroll from +1400 to +1000 after the former Seahawks head coach was reunited with his quarterback.
- [February 12] The opening 2025-26 NFL Coach of the Year odds favor Ben Johnson, who is a first-time head coach and accepted the Bears job. Sportsbooks obviously like the talent Johnson is inheriting in Chicago, and understand he would be a front-runner in the eyes of the voters if he was able to get Caleb Williams going after a rough rookie season.
Looking for the latest NFL odds? – Get current spreads, totals, and moneyline odds for all upcoming games this week here.
AFC vs NFC
A coach from the AFC has won NFL COY in four of the last six seasons.
Odds for Past Winners
Since 1991, all but one NFL Coach of the Year winner has led their team to at least ten wins in taking home the honor. The lone winner without ten wins was Brian Daboll three seasons ago, whose Giants only went 9-7-1. Daboll’s turnaround was still significant enough, as he took over a team that went 4-13 the previous season and made a QB who had firmly been labeled a bust look very serviceable.
The only other notable from that streak above is Bruce Arians, who led the Colts to a 9-3 record as head coach after taking over for Chuck Pagano after he stepped away for health reasons. The Colts did still win 11 games, though.
Past Coach of the Year Winners
| Year | Coach of the Year | Team | Record |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | Kevin O’Connell | Vikings | 14-3 |
| 2023 | Kevin Stefanski (2) | Browns | 11-6 |
| 2022 | Brian Daboll | Giants | 9-7-1 |
| 2021 | Mike Vrabel | Titans | 12-5 |
| 2020 | Kevin Stefanski | Browns | 11-5 |
| 2019 | John Harbaugh | Ravens | 14-2 |
| 2018 | Matt Nagy | Bears | 12-4 |
| 2017 | Sean McVay | Rams | 11-5 |
| 2016 | Jason Garrett | Cowboys | 13-3 |
| 2015 | Ron Rivera (2) | Panthers | 15-1 |
The 2021-22 NFL season was the first time we saw the regular season schedule expanded to 18 weeks, with each team playing 17 games. This is why you see the extra game in all the COY winners since that season.
We have not seen a coach win the honor in back-to-back years since Joe Gibbs in 1982 and 1983.
Archived NFL Coach of the Year odds:
Who is the favorite to win Coach of the Year NFL?
The favorite to win Coach of the Year in the NFL is Mike Vrabel, head coach of the Patriots.
Who are the favorites for Coach of the Year?
The favorites for Coach of the Year are Mike Vrabel, Shane Steichen, and Ben Johnson. Many of the typical favorites, which are first-year head coaches taking over bad teams, have fallen off because their teams are still bad.
Who won NFL Coach of the Year 2024?
Kevin O’Connell won Coach of the Year in 2024 after resurrecting Sam Darnold’s career and leading the Vikings to an extremely impressive 14-3 record.
Editor-in-Chief; Sports Betting Expert
With nearly a decade working in the industry, Matt is a seasoned sports betting veteran. He got his start with SBD in 2016 and worked his way up the ladder to become the Editor-in-Chief. Along the way he has done everything from reviewing sportsbooks to creating proprietary sports betting tools.