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Mariners vs Yankees Picks & Odds (Aug 3)

John Perrotto

by John Perrotto in MLB Baseball

Updated Aug 2, 2022 · 8:56 PM PDT

Seattle Mariners right fielder Sam Haggerty running around second base
Jul 24, 2022; Seattle, Washington, USA; Seattle Mariners right fielder Sam Haggerty (0) runs the bases for a two-run triple against the Houston Astros during the seventh inning at T-Mobile Park. Mandatory Credit: Joe Nicholson-USA TODAY Sports
  • The Yankees are -185 home favorites over the Mariners on Wednesday
  • Luis Castillo (4-4, 2.86) will start for Seattle against Gerrit Cole (9-3, 3.30)
  • A look at the Mariners vs Yankees odds can be found below with a pick

The Seattle Mariners visit the New York Yankees in the rubber game of a three-game series at 1:05 p.m. ET Wednesday at Yankee Stadium.

The Mariners (56-49, 29-26 road) won for the just the second time in their last six games when they beat the Yankees 8-6 on Tuesday night. The American League East-leading Yankees (70-35, 41-14 home) had won three of their previous four games

Mariners vs Yankees Odds

Team Moneyline Runline Total
Seattle Mariners +150 +1.5 (-140) Over 7.5 (-105)
New York Yankees -185 -1.5 (+115) Under 7.5 (-115)

Odds as of August 2nd at BetMGM.

 

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The Yankees have a 64.91% implied win probability as -185 favorites. New York is a +360 favorite in the World Series odds and the Mariners’ odds are +4500.

The weather forecast is for sunny, a high temperature of 86 degrees and south wind at 5-8 mph.

Mariners vs Yankees Probable Pitchers

Luis Castillo (4-4, 2.86) will make his Mariners’ debut and start against Gerrit Cole (9-3, 3.30). Castillo will be pitching on six days of rest and Cole on four. Cole’s AL Cy Young odds are +1800.

Castillo vs Cole

Luis Castillo
VS
Gerrit Cole
4-4 Record 9-3
2.86 ERA 3.30
3.18 xERA 2.99
1.07 WHIP 1.03
3.21 SO/W 5.06

Castillo takes the mound for the first time since the Mariners acquired the two-time All-Star from the Cincinnati Reds last Friday in a trade.

Castillo was 2-0 with a 2.54 ERA in his last seven starts for the Reds. He beat the Miami Marlins last Wednesday in Cincinnati, allowing three runs on six hits in seven innings with eight strikeouts and one walk.

This will be Castillo’s third career start against the Yankees, and he has an 0-1 record and 3.00 ERA. Both outings have been at Yankee Stadium.

Castillo is 2-3 with a 2.09 ERA in seven starts on the road this season and 0-1 with a 3.10 ERA during the day in three starts. The Reds were 8-6 in Castillo’s 14 starts.

Cole is just 1-1 with a 4.74 ERA in his last three starts. He is coming off a no-decision against the Kansas City Royals last Friday at home in which he gave up five runs and seven hits over six innings with nine strikeouts and no walks.

Cole has been tough on the Mariners, going 5-1 against them with a 1.86 ERA in nine career starts.

In 11 starts home this season, Cole has a 4-2 record and 2.55 ERA. He is 3-1 with a 2.09 ERA in seven starts in the daylight. The Yankees have a 15-6 record when Cole pitches.

Batting Average vs Starting Pitchers

Mariners Batters Batting Average vs Gerrit Cole
Jesse Winker .750
J.P. Crawford .333
Abraham Toro .333
Eugenio Suarez .278
Jake Lamb .222
Carlos Santana .143
Kyle Lewis .000
Adam Frazier .000
Luis Torrens .000
Curt Casali .000
Yankees Batters Batting Average vs Luis Castillo
DJ LeMahieu .400
Jose Trevino .333
Aaron Judge .250
Marwin Gonzalez .250
Matt Carpenter .214
Anthony Rizzo .207
Andrew Benintendi .000
Josh Donaldson .000
Gleyber Torres .000

The Mariners’ Carlos Santana is just 2 for 14 (.143) against Cole but has walked four times. Castillo has held the Yankees’ Anthony Rizzo to 6 for 29 (.207) with three doubles.

Mariners vs Yankees Betting Outlook

Sam Haggerty a pinch-hit home run leading off the seventh inning Tuesday night to snap a 6-6 tie and lift the Mariners over the Yankees.

Carlos Santana drove in three runs for the Seattle. Eugenio Suarez homered and had two hits and Adam Frazier and Haggerty also had two-hit games.

Mariners first baseman Ty France missed his third straight game with a sore left wrist and is questionable for Wednesday.

The Mariners acquired catcher Curt Casali from the San Francisco Giants and utility player Jake Lamb from the Los Angeles Dodgers in trades Tuesday. It is unclear if they will be in uniform Wednesday.

Jose Trevino, Anthony Rizzo and Josh Donaldson homered for the Yankees. Donaldson’s two-run shot in the sixth tied the score at 6-6.

Donaldson finished with two hits and three RBIs. Donaldson, Trevino, DJ LeMahieu and Isiah Kiner-Falefa had two hits each.

This is the teams’ first series of the season. The Yankees have gone 29-11 against the Mariners since 2015.

Mariners vs Yankees Last 10 Games

Date Home Team Away Team Score
8/2/22 Yankees Mariners SEA, 8-6
8/1/22 Yankees Mariners NYY, 7-2
8/8/21 Yankees Mariners SEA, 2-0
8/7/21 Yankees Mariners NYY, 5-4
8/6/21 Yankees Mariners NYY, 3-2
8/5/21 Yankees Mariners NYY, 5-3
7/8/21 Mariners Yankees SEA, 4-0
7/7/21 Mariners Yankees NYY, 5-4
7/6/21 Mariners Yankees NYY, 12-1
8/28/19 Mariners Yankees NYY, 7-3

Mariners vs Yankees Prediction

Castillo gets a chance to show why the Mariners outbid so many teams to acquire him from the Reds. Look for him to shine as an underdog in his debut with Seattle.

Pick: Mariners ML (+150)

 

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