Mariners vs Yankees Picks & Odds (Aug 3)
By John Perrotto in MLB Baseball
Published:
- The Yankees are -185 home favorites over the Mariners on Wednesday
- Luis Castillo (4-4, 2.86) will start for Seattle against Gerrit Cole (9-3, 3.30)
- A look at the Mariners vs Yankees odds can be found below with a pick
The Seattle Mariners visit the New York Yankees in the rubber game of a three-game series at 1:05 p.m. ET Wednesday at Yankee Stadium.
The Mariners (56-49, 29-26 road) won for the just the second time in their last six games when they beat the Yankees 8-6 on Tuesday night. The American League East-leading Yankees (70-35, 41-14 home) had won three of their previous four games
Mariners vs Yankees Odds
| Team | Moneyline | Runline | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Seattle Mariners | +150 | +1.5 (-140) | Over 7.5 (-105) |
| New York Yankees | -185 | -1.5 (+115) | Under 7.5 (-115) |
Odds as of August 2nd at BetMGM.
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The Yankees have a 64.91% implied win probability as -185 favorites. New York is a +360 favorite in the World Series odds and the Mariners’ odds are +4500.
The weather forecast is for sunny, a high temperature of 86 degrees and south wind at 5-8 mph.
Mariners vs Yankees Probable Pitchers
Luis Castillo (4-4, 2.86) will make his Mariners’ debut and start against Gerrit Cole (9-3, 3.30). Castillo will be pitching on six days of rest and Cole on four. Cole’s AL Cy Young odds are +1800.
Castillo vs Cole
| 4-4 | Record | 9-3 |
| 2.86 | ERA | 3.30 |
| 3.18 | xERA | 2.99 |
| 1.07 | WHIP | 1.03 |
| 3.21 | SO/W | 5.06 |
Castillo takes the mound for the first time since the Mariners acquired the two-time All-Star from the Cincinnati Reds last Friday in a trade.
Castillo was 2-0 with a 2.54 ERA in his last seven starts for the Reds. He beat the Miami Marlins last Wednesday in Cincinnati, allowing three runs on six hits in seven innings with eight strikeouts and one walk.
Catching you up on Luis Castillo’s month of July 🔥 pic.twitter.com/UZDt0vP50G
— Seattle Mariners (@Mariners) July 30, 2022
This will be Castillo’s third career start against the Yankees, and he has an 0-1 record and 3.00 ERA. Both outings have been at Yankee Stadium.
Castillo is 2-3 with a 2.09 ERA in seven starts on the road this season and 0-1 with a 3.10 ERA during the day in three starts. The Reds were 8-6 in Castillo’s 14 starts.
Cole is just 1-1 with a 4.74 ERA in his last three starts. He is coming off a no-decision against the Kansas City Royals last Friday at home in which he gave up five runs and seven hits over six innings with nine strikeouts and no walks.
Cole has been tough on the Mariners, going 5-1 against them with a 1.86 ERA in nine career starts.
Gerrit Cole is ON tonight pic.twitter.com/6xCus3PQN5
— Bronx Central (@BronxCentral) July 30, 2022
In 11 starts home this season, Cole has a 4-2 record and 2.55 ERA. He is 3-1 with a 2.09 ERA in seven starts in the daylight. The Yankees have a 15-6 record when Cole pitches.
Batting Average vs Starting Pitchers
| Mariners Batters | Batting Average vs Gerrit Cole |
|---|---|
| Jesse Winker | .750 |
| J.P. Crawford | .333 |
| Abraham Toro | .333 |
| Eugenio Suarez | .278 |
| Jake Lamb | .222 |
| Carlos Santana | .143 |
| Kyle Lewis | .000 |
| Adam Frazier | .000 |
| Luis Torrens | .000 |
| Curt Casali | .000 |
| Yankees Batters | Batting Average vs Luis Castillo |
| DJ LeMahieu | .400 |
| Jose Trevino | .333 |
| Aaron Judge | .250 |
| Marwin Gonzalez | .250 |
| Matt Carpenter | .214 |
| Anthony Rizzo | .207 |
| Andrew Benintendi | .000 |
| Josh Donaldson | .000 |
| Gleyber Torres | .000 |
The Mariners’ Carlos Santana is just 2 for 14 (.143) against Cole but has walked four times. Castillo has held the Yankees’ Anthony Rizzo to 6 for 29 (.207) with three doubles.
Mariners vs Yankees Betting Outlook
Sam Haggerty a pinch-hit home run leading off the seventh inning Tuesday night to snap a 6-6 tie and lift the Mariners over the Yankees.
Fly, Sammy, Fly! pic.twitter.com/KXTAN5CgWx
— Seattle Mariners (@Mariners) August 3, 2022
Carlos Santana drove in three runs for the Seattle. Eugenio Suarez homered and had two hits and Adam Frazier and Haggerty also had two-hit games.
Mariners first baseman Ty France missed his third straight game with a sore left wrist and is questionable for Wednesday.
The Mariners acquired catcher Curt Casali from the San Francisco Giants and utility player Jake Lamb from the Los Angeles Dodgers in trades Tuesday. It is unclear if they will be in uniform Wednesday.
Jose Trevino, Anthony Rizzo and Josh Donaldson homered for the Yankees. Donaldson’s two-run shot in the sixth tied the score at 6-6.
Showers & Power ☔️ pic.twitter.com/3I5q8AKVBL
— New York Yankees (@Yankees) August 3, 2022
Donaldson finished with two hits and three RBIs. Donaldson, Trevino, DJ LeMahieu and Isiah Kiner-Falefa had two hits each.
This is the teams’ first series of the season. The Yankees have gone 29-11 against the Mariners since 2015.
Mariners vs Yankees Last 10 Games
| Date | Home Team | Away Team | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 8/2/22 | Yankees | Mariners | SEA, 8-6 |
| 8/1/22 | Yankees | Mariners | NYY, 7-2 |
| 8/8/21 | Yankees | Mariners | SEA, 2-0 |
| 8/7/21 | Yankees | Mariners | NYY, 5-4 |
| 8/6/21 | Yankees | Mariners | NYY, 3-2 |
| 8/5/21 | Yankees | Mariners | NYY, 5-3 |
| 7/8/21 | Mariners | Yankees | SEA, 4-0 |
| 7/7/21 | Mariners | Yankees | NYY, 5-4 |
| 7/6/21 | Mariners | Yankees | NYY, 12-1 |
| 8/28/19 | Mariners | Yankees | NYY, 7-3 |
Mariners vs Yankees Prediction
Castillo gets a chance to show why the Mariners outbid so many teams to acquire him from the Reds. Look for him to shine as an underdog in his debut with Seattle.
Pick: Mariners ML (+150)
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Sports Writer
John Perrotto has been covering and writing about sports for various outlets for over 40 years. His work has appeared in the likes of USA TODAY, ESPN.com, SI.com, Forbes.com, The Associated Press, Baseball Digest, and more. John is based out of Beaver Falls, PA.
