- Our Eagles vs Chiefs SGP includes plays on AJ Brown and Kadarius Toney
- Philly is 8-1 while KC is 7-2, and Andy Reid is 21-3 SU off of a bye
- Read on for our Eagles vs Chiefs same game parlay picks below for this week’s Monday Night Football game
One of the best prime-time matchups we’ve seen in some time, sees a Super Bowl re-match between the Eagles and the Chiefs. Both teams are scorching hot with KC being 7-2 and Philadelphia 8-1. We’re banking on a slightly lower scoring game than their 38-35 shootout in February, as well as on some compelling Andy Reid and Patrick Mahomes trends in our Eagles vs Chiefs same game parlay predictions for MNF.
Want to know more about how to bet NFL same game parlays? Click the link here to learn more about how to create yours here.
Eagles vs Chiefs Same Game Parlay Picks
|Chiefs alt spread +4.5||-280|
|Alt total under 52.5||-270|
|AJ Brown over 5.5 receptions||-150|
|Kadarius Toney over 4.5 receiving yards||-140|
|SGP PARLAY ODDS||+371|
Our Eagles vs Chiefs SGP includes picks on the Chiefs and the Under in the alternate spreads and totals markets, plus prop bets on AJ Brown and Kadarius Toney. Those odds come in at +371 at ESPN BET.
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Eagles vs Chiefs SGP Picks: Chiefs Alternate Spread +4.5
This Chiefs team isn’t the same explosive team offensively as years past but this year they are a top defensive team giving up just 15.9 PPG (2nd).
They’ll still have their hands full with an Eagles offense scoring 28.0 PPG (3rd). But the Eagles will be without TE Dallas Goedert and Jalen Hurts is clearly dealing with a knee injury.
We could run down a long list of stats that support a Chiefs win here but let’s summarize just a few. Andy Reid is 21-3 SU off of a bye in the regular season. Patrick Mahomes as a favorite of three points or less is 20-6-1 ATS. Mahomes is also 30-1 SU in his last 31 games in November and December.
Different teams, different years and getting an 8-1 team with Super Bowl revenge in an underdog role is not a bad play in your Eagles vs Chiefs picks. But for the purposes of this SGP, we’ll flip the Chiefs to a home dog banking on a win or a very close loss if they come up short.
- Eagles vs Chiefs same game parlay picks: Chiefs +4.5
Andy Reid’s teams are 21-3 off of a bye week.
“The guy’s got the formula. He gives everybody off… coaches, players…recharge the batteries.” ~Rex Ryan
This is counterintuitive in our ‘work harder’ culture.
Tired is the enemy, not the goal.
🚫 GRIND pic.twitter.com/VvGZaY1j4F
— Tony Holler (@pntrack) November 20, 2023
Eagles vs Chiefs SGP Picks: Alternate Total Under 52.5
After one prime-time game finally went Over the total in recent weeks on TNF, the prime-time Under trend was right back at in on SNF.
Will it continue on MNF? Well Unders are on an 11-1 run on Mondays. And overall prime-time Unders this season are now 26-8.
The Eagles have been more of an Over team at 5-4. But only four of their games have gone into the 50s this season. One versus Dallas and then twice with Washington and once with Minnesota. The Commanders have a good offense and terrible defense. The Vikings had Kirk Cousins and a poor defense at the time too. The Chiefs are neither of those things. Good offense but not explosive, and a top defense.
For KC, they’re 7-2 to the Under an they’ve only seen one game go into the 50s this season way back in September when they ran up the score on Chicago 41-10. Otherwise, their next highest scoring game had 48 points.
The total for this game in the NFL lines is 45.5 and it’s been a popular Under play in tonight’s Eagles vs Chiefs public betting trends, but for our Eagles vs Chiefs SGP we’ll bump this up to 52.5 and bet the Under.
- Eagles vs Chiefs same game parlay picks: Under 52.5
Eagles vs Chiefs SGP Picks: AJ Brown Over 5.5 Receptions
AJ Brown is fourth in league receiving yards with 1,005. Last week he was held to just 66 yards on 7/9 catches but in the weeks prior he finished with 130, 137, 131, 127, 175 and 131 yards.
Now this week he’ll be going up against a Chiefs defense ranked fourth in passing yards allowed, only giving up 176 YPG. So if any team can contain Brown it could be KC. There’s no Goedert at TE for Philly this week with him on the Eagles vs Chiefs injury report so that should both mean more coverage on Brown, but also more targets going his way from Hurts.
Brown’s reception totals have been 7, 8, 10, 7, 6, 9, 9, 4 and 7 this season. That means he would’ve gone over a total of 5.5 catches in all but one game. We’ll take the Over 5.5 receptions on Brown for this MNF SGP.
- Eagles vs Chiefs same game parlay picks: AJ Brown Over 5.5 Receptions
— Chase Daniel (@ChaseDaniel) November 18, 2023
Eagles vs Chiefs SGP Picks: Kadarius Toney Over 4.5 Receiving Yards
After a poor start to the season, Kadarius Toney has become the forgotten man in the Chiefs offense. Dropping the ball numerous times will do that.
However, he’s still had at least one catch in every game this seaosn. It is often just one though. He has one single catch on one single target in each of his last three games. But the yardage on those catches has been 18, 4 and 13 yards.
At 4.5 receiving yards in this Eagles vs Chiefs prop, we’re basically just asking for this trend to continue. Make one catch for at least five yards. He has gone over 4.5 yards in 6/9 games this season.
- Eagles vs Chiefs same game parlay picks: Kadarius Toney Over 4.5 Receiving Yards
SGP Season Record to: 5-11, -3.76 units