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Philadelphia Eagles vs Kansas City Chiefs Prediction, Spread & Odds for Monday Night Football Week 11

Robert Duff

by Robert Duff in NFL Football

Updated Nov 20, 2023 · 1:20 PM PST

The Kansas City Chiefs are 2.5-point favorites over the Philadelphia Eagles in the NFL Week 11 MNF game.
Philadelphia Eagles wide receiver A.J. Brown (11) catches a pass against the Kansas City Chiefs during the second quarter in Super Bowl LVII at State Farm Stadium in Glendale on Feb. 12, 2023. Nfl Super Bowl Lvii Kansas City Chiefs Vs Philadelphia Eagles
  • The Kansas City Chiefs are 2.5-point favorites over the Philadelphia Eagles in the NFL Week 11 MNF game on Monday, November 20
  • Kansas City is 3-1 ATS as a home favorite this season
  • See the Eagles vs Chiefs odds and prediction for Monday NIght Football

It’s a Super Bowl rematch in the Week 11 MNF game as the Kansas City Chiefs (7-2, 6-3 ATS) play host to the Philadelphia Eagles (8-1, 5-2-2 ATS). Overall, history says that’s good news for Kansas City.

This is the seventh rematch of the previous season’s Super Bowl in the ensuing NFL regular-season campaign. In those six prior games, reigning champions are 4-2 straight up and 5-1 against the spread. Kansas City is set at 2.5-home favorites in the Eagles vs Chiefs odds and favorites are 4-2 ATS in Super Bowl rematches.

However, Kansas City is 0-1 SU and ATS in Super Bowl rematches. In 1970, the Minnesota Vikings won 27-10 over the Chiefs as the 4-point home chalk in a rematch of the fourth Super Bowl game.

Eagles vs Chiefs Odds

Team Moneyline Spread Total
Philadelphia Eagles +125 +2.5 (-105) Over 45.5 (-110)
Kansas City Chiefs -145 -2.5 (-115) Under 45.5 (-110)

In the Philadelphia vs Kansas City odds, the Chiefs are -145 moneyline favorites, giving them a 59.18% implied win probability. The total is set at 45.5 points. It’s the fourth time in five Chiefs games that the total has been set at less than 50 points.

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Kickoff for this game at GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium on Monday, November 20, is set for 8:15pm ET. The broadcast is being carried by ABC and ESPN, as well as by DAZN in Canada.

Not only can you watch this game on ESPN, you can get the best Eagles vs Chiefs betting lines at ESPN Sportsbook. Use this ESPN BET promo code to bet this Philadelphia vs Kansas City game and all Week 11 NFL action and unlock $250 in bonus bets when using promo code ‘DIME’ at sign-up. 

Philadelphia vs Kansas City Betting Trends

The NFL public betting splits are leaning solidly toward the underdog Eagles. Philadelphia is getting 72% of both the spread and moneyline handle from the people. The Eagles are 1-4 both SU and ATS in their last five meetings with the Chiefs.

Philadelphia is also 1-5 ATS in the last six games facing AFC West opposition. The Chiefs are 9-3 ATS in the last 12 contests against NFC East clubs. Kansas City is also 4-1 ATS over the past five games and 11-1 SU in the last 12 home games.

The last three and five of the past six Eagles vs Chiefs games have gone over. However, the under has proven to be the winning play in each of KC’s past five games. Although the last two Philly games went over, the Eagles are just 2-3 on the total through the last five games.

Could another Super Bowl rematch be in the works? Kansas City is the +450 chalk in the Super Bowl odds. Philadelphia is set as the +500 second betting choice in this market.

Philly vs KC Is Best vs Best

At 8-1 SU, Philadelphia is the NFL’s best team. The Chiefs check in at 7-2 SU, which is the best mark in the AFC. Chiefs QB Patrick Mahomes and Eagles QB Jalen Hurts are top contenders in the NFL MVP odds. KC has Travis Kelce and Taylor Swift on their side. Philly has Jason Kelce and D’Andre Swift in their corner.

Chiefs coach Andy Reid used to be the Eagles coach. By the way, Reid is 5-0 SU when facing his old club.

Pass Defense Is Eagles Achilles Heel

The Eagles were also 8-1 SU through the first nine games of last season, but they haven’t been nearly as dominant a club this season. Philadelphia is only seventh overall in the NFL in point differential (+57) despite losing just one game all season.

While all eyes will be on the Mahomes vs Hurts matchup, ultimately the key to this outcome will the the respective defenses, especially when defending the pass. The Chiefs and 49ers are tied for the NFL’s best scoring defense, each allowing just 15.9 points per game.

Overall, the Chiefs are tied for the NFL’s #4 defense, allowing 4.8 yards per play. Kansas City’s pass defense is also fourth in the league, allowing 176 yards per game. The Chiefs have sacked the QB 31 times. That’s third in the NFL.

While the Eagles are the league’s top run defenders, holding teams to 66.3 yards per game on the ground, in the air it’s another story. Philly is allowing 257 passing yards per game, which is 28th in the league. Opposing QBs hold a 99.4 passer rating vs the Eagles defense. Only four teams are worse than that.

Eagles vs Chiefs Prediction

This is when we’re finding out what the Eagles are all about. A 28-23 win over Dallas was launching a five-game stretch facing Dallas, the Chiefs, 49ers, Bills, and then the Cowboys again, this time in Dallas.

At Kansas City, Philadelphia is 1-3 SU and ATS all-time. And the Eagles have two things working against the, Mahomes is at home, and it’s November. Along with being 11-1 SU in his last 12 home games, Mahomes is 16-2 SU all-time in the 11th month of the year. That includes an active streak of 14 consecutive November victories. Mahomes could also be worth a play in your Eagles vs Chiefs props.

Eagles vs Chiefs Picks: Kansas City Chiefs -2.5 (-115)

Get more picks for tonight’s game with our Eagles vs Chiefs same-game parlay prediction here!

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