Mets vs Phillies Picks & Odds (Aug 19)
By John Perrotto in MLB Baseball
Published:
- The Phillies are -124 home favorites over the Mets on Friday night
- Chris Bassitt (10-7, 3.27) will start for New York against Aaron Nola (8-9, 3.07)
- A look at the Mets vs Phillies odds can be found below with a pick
The visiting New York Mets look to get back on track when they visit the Philadelphia Phillies at 7:05 p.m. ET Friday in the opener of a four-game series.
The National League East-leading Mets (76-43, 36-24 road) lost three of four games to the second-place Braves in Atlanta, including 3-2 on Thursday night in the series finale. The Mets still have a 3.5-game lead on the Braves and are heavy favorite in the MLB division odds with just over 40 games to play.
The Phillies (65-52, 32-26 home) have dropped three of their last five games, including falling 1-0 to the Reds in Cincinnati on Wednesday before having Thursday off. The Phillies are 10 games behind the Braves but hold the second NL wild card in the MLB playoff bracket.
Mets vs Phillies Odds
| Team | Moneyline | Runline | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| New York Mets | +107 | +1.5 (-200) | Over 8 (-113) |
| Philadelphia Phillies | -124 | -1.5 (+155) | Under 8 (-106) |
Odds as of August 18th at Barstool Sportsbook.
As -124 favorites, the Mets have an implied win probability of 55.36%. The Mets have +500 World Series odds and the Phillies’ odds are +3500.
The weather forecast is calling for 85 degrees at first pitch with a low of 72, increasing clouds and a south wind at 5-10 mph.
New York vs Philadelphia Probable Pitchers
Chris Bassitt (10-7, 3.27) is expected to pitch for the Mets against Aaron Nola (8-9, 3.07). Bassitt will be working on four days of rest and Nola on five.
Bassitt vs Nola
| 10-7 | Record | 8-9 |
| 3.27 | ERA | 3.07 |
| 3.12 | xERA | 2.76 |
| 1.13 | WHIP | 0.93 |
| 3.72 | SO/W | 7.86 |
Bassitt is 3-0 with a perfect 0.00 ERA in three starts in August. He has allowed one unearned run in 18 innings.
Got that dawg in him.
8 fantastic innings for Chris Bassitt! pic.twitter.com/DboKRAvQz0
— SNY (@SNYtv) August 9, 2022
Last Sunday, Bassitt worked five scoreless innings to beat the Phillies in New York. He allowed four hits, struck out five and walked two.
Bassitt is 2-0 with a 1.08 ERA against the Phillies in three career starts. His lone appearance at Citizens Bank Park resulted in a win May 8 when he yielded only one run in 5.2 innings in the second game of a doubleheader.
Bassitt is 6-2 with a 4.24 ERA in 10 starts on the road this season. He has a 4-6 record and 3.78 ERA in 14 starts at night. The Mets are 14-8 when Bassitt pitches.
Nola is 2-1 with a 1.35 ERA in his last three starts but took a tough-luck loss against the Mets last Saturday at Citi Field. He gave up one run on four hits in eight innings while striking out eight and walking one.
Nola, who has +5500 NL Cy Young Award odds, will be making his 25th career start against the Mets. He has a 9-6 record and 3.06 ERA.
Throwback to when Aaron Nola tied the major league record with 10 consecutive strikeouts in a row against the New York Mets pic.twitter.com/U922zZAeeU
— Philly Sports Sufferer (@mccrystal_alex) August 12, 2022
In 11 starts at home this season, Nola is 4-3 with 4.21 ERA. He is 4-8 with a 3.42 ERA in 16 starts at night. The Phillies have gone 10-13 when Nola toes the slab.
Batting Average vs Starting Pitchers
| Mets Batters | Batting Average vs Aaron Nola |
|---|---|
| Pete Alonso | .350 |
| Starling Marte | .333 |
| Tyler Naquin | .333 |
| Daniel Vogelbach | .333 |
| Jeff McNeil | .306 |
| Brandon Nimmo | .275 |
| Eduardo Escobar | .222 |
| Francisco Lindor | .200 |
| Mark Canha | .167 |
| James McCann | .091 |
| Michael Perez | .000 |
| Yolmer Sanchez | .000 |
| Phillies Batters | Batting Average vs Chris Bassitt |
| Bradley Zimmer | .500 |
| Kyle Schwarber | .375 |
| Nick Castellanos | .364 |
| Jean Segura | .333 |
| Rhys Hoskins | .286 |
| Alec Bohm | .222 |
| Bryson Stott | .000 |
| Garrett Stubbs | .000 |
| J.T. Realmuto | .000 |
| Darick Hall | .000 |
| Matt Vierling | .000 |
The Mets’ Pete Alonso has given Nola trouble, hitting .350 (14 for 40) with three doubles and four home runs. Conversely, James McCann is 1 for 11 (.091) with five strikeouts.
The Phillies’ Nick Castellanos is 8 for 22 (.364) with three doubles and a homer off Bassitt.
Mets vs Phillies Betting Trends
Mark Canha accounted for all the Mets’ runs with a two-run home run in Thursday night’s one-run loss to the Braves. He also had a double and was the only New York player with multiple hits.
Outta da pak for Mark!@outtadapakmark | #LGM pic.twitter.com/i1QwU8OMUw
— New York Mets (@Mets) August 19, 2022
The Mets claimed infielder Yolmer Sanchez off waivers Thursday from the Boston Red Sox and designated catcher Patrick Mazeika for assignment.
New York is hopeful backup catcher Tomas Nido could be activated from the COVID-19 injured list Friday.
The Phillies took a tough loss Wednesday against the Reds when Cincinnati’s Jose Barrero singled in the game’s lone run in the bottom of the ninth inning off Seranthony Dominguez. It was the first run allowed by Dominguez since July 10.
On Thursday, the Phillies placed center fielder Brandon Marsh on the injured list with a bruised left knee and sprained left ankle. Outfielder Bradley Zimmer was claimed from the Toronto Blue Jays off waivers.
The Mets are 11-4 against the Phillies this season, including 4-2 at Citizens Bank Park. Alonso is hitting .333 (17 for 51) for the Mets with five doubles, five home runs and 19 RBIs.
The Polar Bear struggled in Atlanta, though.
Pete Alonso woke up feeling dangerous this series
1-15 🗣
2 RBIS 👹
6 strikeouts 😈
2 games lost in the division 🥶 pic.twitter.com/k6lDCJcwmq— Barstool Atlanta (@Barstool_ATL) August 19, 2022
The Mets hold a slight 32-31 series edge since 2019.
NYM vs PHI Last 10 Games
| Date | Home Team | Away Team | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 8/14/22 | Mets | Phillies | NYM, 6-0 |
| 8/13/22 | Mets | Phillies | NYM, 1-0 |
| 8/12/22 | Mets | Phillies | PHI, 2-1 |
| 5/29/22 | Mets | Phillies | NYM, 5-4 |
| 5/28/22 | Mets | Phillies | NYM, 8-2 |
| 5/27/22 | Mets | Phillies | NYM, 8-6 |
| 5/8/22 (2) | Phillies | Mets | NYM, 6-1 |
| 5/8/22 (1) | Phillies | Mets | PHI, 3-2 |
| 5/5/22 | Phillies | Mets | NYM, 8-7 |
| 5/1/22 | Mets | Phillies | NYM, 10-6 |
Mets vs Phillies Prediction
This is an interesting matchup between two pitches coming off good starts against the same opponent last weekend. Nola’s home ERA is a bit concerning, so let’s give a slight nod to Bassitt and the Mets as an underdog.
Pick: Mets ML (+107)
Sports Writer
John Perrotto has been covering and writing about sports for various outlets for over 40 years. His work has appeared in the likes of USA TODAY, ESPN.com, SI.com, Forbes.com, The Associated Press, Baseball Digest, and more. John is based out of Beaver Falls, PA.
