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Padres vs Phillies Odds, Picks & Starting Pitchers (July 15)

John Perrotto

by John Perrotto in MLB Baseball

Updated Jul 14, 2023 · 9:01 PM PDT

Manny Machado celebrates with Xander Bogaerts
Jul 14, 2023; Philadelphia, Pennsylvania, USA; San Diego Padres third baseman Manny Machado (13) celebrates with shortstop Xander Bogaerts (2) after hitting a home run during the sixth inning against the Philadelphia Phillies at Citizens Bank Park. Mandatory Credit: Bill Streicher-USA TODAY Sports
  • The Padres are -124 road favorites over the Phillies on Saturday in the first game of a day-night doubleheader
  • Lefty Blake Snell (6-7, 2.85) will start for the Padres against Taijuan Walker (10-3, 4.02)
  • A look at the Padres vs Phillies matchup and odds can be found below with a pick

The San Diego Padres and Phillies meet in the day portion of a day-night doubleheader at 1:05pm ET Saturday at Citizens Bank Park.

The Padres (44-47, 19-24 road) have won three games in a row and six of their last seven after beating the Phillies 8-3 on Friday night in the opener of a four-game series. The Phillies (48-42, 22-17 home) have lost three games in a row.

MLB Network will broadcast the game.

Padres vs Phillies Odds

Team Moneyline Runline Total
San Diego Padres -124 -1.5 (+125) Over 10 (+104)
Philadelphia Phillies +106 +1.5 (-150) Under 10 (-128)

The Padres are -124 favorites over the Phillies on Saturday in the MLB odds. Philadelphia has +2000 World Series championship odds and San Diego is listed at +4500.

The weather forecast calls for a 20% chance of thunderstorms. Otherwise, is expected to be partly sunny with a high of 91 with south wind at 5 mph.

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Odds as of July 14th at FanDuel. Don’t forget to claim a FanDuel promo code to bet on Padres vs Phillies.

Padres vs Phillies Probable Pitchers

Left-hander Blake Snell (6-7, 2.85) is expected to pitch for the Padres against Taijuan Walker (10-3, 4.02). Snell will be working on six days of rest and Walker on nine.

Snell has been outstanding over his last seven starts, going 5-1 with a 0.64 ERA. He was masterful last Saturday in beating the New York Mets in San Diego, pitching six shutout innings while allowing one hit, striking out 11 and walking three.

Snell vs Walker Head-to-Head Stats

Blake Snell
Taijuan Walker
6-7 Record 10-3
2.85 ERA 4.02
3.94 xERA 4.03
1.22 WHIP 1.25
2.69 SO/W 2.24

Snell has struggled against the Phillies as he has a 1-3 record and a 5.41 ERA in five career starts. The win came in last year’s National League Championship Series.

The Padres are just 7-11 when Snell pitches in 2023 but he has made 10 quality starts. He is 1-3 with a 2.72 ERA in nine starts in road games and 1-1 with a 1.55 ERA in five starts in day games.

Snell has +950 NL Cy Young odds.

Walker has won six straight starts with a 1.62 ERA in that span. He beat the Rays last Wednesday in St. Petersburg when he gave up four runs on five hits in seven innings with eight strikeouts and five walks.

Against the Padres, Walker has a 3-3 lifetime record with a 2.61 ERA in seven starts.

Walker is 4-0 with a 2.13 ERA this season in seven starts at Citizens Bank Park and 3-1 with a 3.38 ERA in seven starts during the day. He has notched quality starts in half his 18 outings and the Phillies are 13-5 when he takes the hill.

Batting Average vs Starting Pitchers

Padres Batters Batting Average vs Taijuan Walker
Fernando Tatis Jr. .667
Rougned Odor .462
Juan Soto .375
Trent Grisham .333
Xander Bogaerts .200
Jake Cronenworth .200
Ha-Seong Kim .200
Manny Machado .118
Matt Carpenter .000
Gary Sanchez .000
Austin Nola .000
Phillies Batters Batting Average vs Blake Snell
J.T. Realmuto .308
Alec Bohm .300
Edmundo Sosa .250
Bryce Harper .222
Trea Turner .167
Kyle Schwarber .167
Nick Castellanos .143
Brandon Marsh .000
Drew Ellis .000

Padres infielder/outfielder Rougned Odor is 6-for-13 (.462) with a home run off Walker but third baseman Manny Machado is 2-for-17 (.118), designated hitter Matt Carpenter is 0-for-9 and catcher Gary Sanchez is hitless in eight at-bats.

Phillies catcher J.T. Realmuto is 4-for-13 (.308) against Snell with a double and a homer. Conversely, right fielder Nick Castellanos is 2-for-14 (.143).

Padres vs Phillies Betting Outlook

Machado, Juan Soto – who has +3000 NL MVP odds — and Fernando Tatis Jr homered to lead the Padres over the Phillies on Friday night. Sanchez also went deep.

The Padres got two hits each from Xander Bogaerts and Trent Grisham.

The Padres activated right-handed reliever Steven Wilson (right pectoral strain) from the injured list before the game.

Alec Bohm had two hits for the Phillies.

The Phillies placed infielder/outfielder Josh Harrison and outfielder Cristian Pache on the IL prior to the game and callup infielder Drew Ellis from Triple-A Lehigh Valley and outfielder Johan Rojas from Double-A Reading.

Padres vs Phillies Last 10 Games

Date Home Team Away Team Score
7/14/23 Phillies Padres SD, 8-3
10/23/22 Phillies Padres 4-3
10/22/22 Phillies Padres PHI, 10-6
10/21/22 Phillies Padres PHI, 4-2
10/19/22 Padres Phillies SD, 8-5
10/18/22 Padres Phillies PHI, 2-0
6/26/22 Padres Phillies PHI, 8-5
6/25/22 Padres Phillies PHI, 4-2
6/24/22 Padres Phillies SD, 1-0
6/23/22 Padres Phillies PHI, 6-2

The Phillies are 12-7 against the Padres since the start of 2021, including going 4-1 in last year’s NLCS.

Padres vs Phillies Prediction

With two hot pitchers squaring off, let’s make a play on the hot team and go with the Padres on the moneyline.

Pick: Padres ML (-124) 

Season Record: 36-12 (+21.7 units) ML; 2-2 (0.0 units) RL; 2-1 (+1.0 unit) O/U; 0-1 (-1.0 unit) same-game parlays; 2-2 (+3.6) player props; 41-17 (+25.3 units) overall.

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