Super Bowl Public Betting – See Which States are Betting on the Chiefs & Eagles Against the Spread
- DraftKing’s Super Bowl public betting map shows the Chiefs favored on the moneyline
- The Philadelphia Eagles are getting much of the attention on the spread, literally every state but KC
- See the maps below as we look at the betting trends for Super Bowl 57
We’re closing in on the Super Bowl 57, and DraftKings is showing NFL public betting trends across the United States.
Some pretty interesting discoveries in their heat maps (shown below).
In almost all the legal betting states, the moneyline wagers are going on the underdog Kansas City Chiefs, currently at +105 in the latest 2023 Super Bowl odds.
It’s a sharp contrast when looking at betting on the point spread, where everywhere but Kansas City is leaning on the Eagles as the current 1.5-point favorite.
Is there more to it than just regional bias? Let’s break down these maps and see if it can’t help you shape your wager for the big game.
Super Bowl 57 Odds
| Team | Moneyline | Spread | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Kansas City Chiefs | +105 | +1.5 (-110) | Over 50.5 (-110) |
| Philadelphia Eagles | -125 | -1.5 (-110) | Under 50.5 (-110) |
Odds as of Feb 2 at DraftKings Sportsbook
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Moneyline Wagers Trending to Chiefs
A quick primer on the image looking at the moneyline wagers: the grey states are the non-legal betting states, with red representing bets on the Chiefs and green for the Eagles.
You’d expect KC to bet on their hometown guys, and the PA area skewing to Philly, but why are the rest of the betting states leaning on the Chiefs?
It could be a case of bettors simply backing the underdog that offers a bigger payout on the big game. But if you base your bets on taking the best player, then it’s a no-brainer. Patrick Mahomes is the betting favorite in the NFL MVP odds, and he should resemble more of the game-breaking dynamo in the Super Bowl with the extra week off.
Mahomes suffered a high-ankle sprain against the Jaguars in the Divisional Playoff, and while his injury forced him to mainly play a traditional pocket-passing style, he was still dominant. He finished 29-for-43 for 326 yards and two TD’s with no interceptions in the 23-20 win over the Bengals in the AFC Title game.
The opening Super Bowl odds ensured that Mahomes would be a playoff underdog for the first time in his career, but something strange is also happening en route to Arizona.
KC is tracking to be the first team to enter the playoffs as the Super Bowl favorite and then be an underdog in the Super Bowl for the first time since 2004.
The Chiefs currently sit at +105, and were as long as +120 earlier in the week. Philly’s odds have shortened as well, with some books opening them at -140, before settling in at the current -125.
Spread Picks Heavily on Eagles
If you haven’t yet, you’ll definitely want to learn more on Super Bowl ATS trends and maybe dig a little into the historical point spreads for the Super Bowl.
So far, the betting public is pretty green on where they stand.
Philadelphia were a crisp 9-3 ATS this season with Jalen Hurts under center with the Eagles favored by eight points or less. That’s a lot more promising than their 10-9 ATS mark, which just seeped over .500 after covering in back-to-back playoff wins.
It’s a different story for the KC side, who finished the year 13-4 straight up, but just 8-11 ATS. They’re only the sixth team to reach the Super Bowl with a losing ATS record. Only one of those five teams went on to win the title game.
Variance is the name of the game when talking about the spread: you can still find the Eagles as 1-point favorites, while some other books currently have the Chiefs getting as many as 2.5 points. They’ve split the difference at DraftKings. And bettors are DK have piled onto the Philly spread to tune of 72% of the handle 70% of the bet percent.
Should You Follow These Betting Trends?
I’m surprised there’s so much confidence betting against (a potentially compromised) Superman. Mahomes has thrived as an underdog, a rarity in his short but spectacular career. In the nine games the Mahomes’ Chiefs have been underdogs, he’s gone 7-1-1 ATS.
Underdogs have recently been the bet, going 8-7 SU and 10-5 ATS in the last 15 Super Bowls. It’s right down the middle through the previous 56 now: favorites and underdogs are 27-27-2 ATS all-time in the big game.
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Having worked in and around sports since 1997, Eric is truly a knowledgeable expert. The two-time journalism grad specializes in all things NBA and NFL. From TSN.ca to CTV's Olympic Broadcast Consortium, Eric's work has appeared in local and national publications alike.
