Over/Under Number of People Arya Stark Kills in Season 8 Set at 3.5; Odds Say Cersei is First

• Arya Stark is seeking to complete her list by the end of Season 8 of Games of Thrones
• Many big names still remain unchecked
• How many lives will Arya take, and who will be the first?
  

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Arya Stark has rhymed off her list every night before drifting off to sleep. Dreaming of revenge. Now she has to complete that list.

As we’ve seen, Arya won’t necessarily be the end for all of these names. She’ll cross them off, but she won’t necessarily watch their final breaths.

Who Will Arya Stark Cross Off Her List First?

*Odds taken 04/08/2019

Arya’s list is shorter now. We also have prophecies to consider within Season 8. And with the expected bloodbath, she may not even get to all of the names herself.

Cersei, Melisandre Won’t be Arya’s First Victims

Ayra is on the list of many who could potentially kill Cersei. Whether it’s Cersei’s little brother, someone else’s brother, or Arya wearing their faces, the list of murders is long. But it won’t be Arya.

Assuming it’s a Lannister, having Arya pose as Jaime or Tyrion while wearing their face removes the impact. Also, if either are going to get dusted, it’s happening after Cersei’s gone. So Arya couldn’t wear their faces.

For Melisandre, there’s an excellent chance she meets her end at the hands of Arya. It’ll just happen later. Consider this chilling exchange the Red Priestess had with Arya earlier in the show:

https://youtu.be/vEj1aN_Rmj0?t=460

She also told Varys that she has to return to the country to die.

Neither Clegane Makes Sense as Number One

Whether Arya takes down The Hound or The Mountain, they won’t be her first victim either.

We know #CleganeBowl is going down. A theory has emerged from that which makes a lot of sense.

From Esquire: “The Hound defeats his brother but is mortally wounded in the process. The Hound lets Arya kill him to stop his suffering, thus also allowing her to cross his name off her list.”

We’re all for it happening that way, but it’s not an early-season write-off.

Expect Ilyn Payne to Be Arya’s First Victim

Cross off Beric Dondarrion, as he still has a role to play in the fight with the White Walkers.

That leaves Mr. Payne as her first victim.

https://twitter.com/emdy_k/status/1113882157880098820

If Arya is sneaking into King’s Landing on her revenge tour, he’s likely the easiest target to get to. He’s also the least integral to the plot of the final season than any of the other characters.

He’s the first to go, and pays alright at +400.

Pick: Ilyn Payne (+400)

How Many People Will Arya Kill in Season 8?

This is an interesting number. And one that isn’t directly list-related.

As we sort through her potential progress, we’ll get a good idea how close she’ll get.

Status of Arya Stark’s List

Arya Stark’s Final Death Total

The odds are even, but take the over.

This one isn’t specifically limited to her list.

#AryaStark’s kill list #BadListToBeOn pic.twitter.com/2B3W48TFFL

— just v¡be (@LVMelL0) April 4, 2019

Taking the remaining names on her list, let’s assume Arya kills Melisandre and Ilyn Payne. She’s at two, so it’s tough to bet against Arya knocking off some nameless extras in the process. Add The Mountain, and you only need one more.

It’s not a killing spree, but Arya’s going to make some serious headway on that list in Season 8.

Pick: Over 3.5 (-115)

Our Other Game of Thrones Season 8 Coverage:

• Yara Favored to be First Greyjoy to Perish in Game of Thrones Season 8
• Odds Say Arya Will be the First Stark to Perish in Season 8 of Game of Thrones
• Odds to Be Dead at the End of Game of Thrones Season 8: Jon Snow Favored to Survive; Odds Split on Daenerys
• The Mountain Favored to Die Before The Hound in Game of Thrones
• Arya Stark Props: Odds Say Arya Won’t Complete Her Kill List in Season 8 of GoT
• Cersei Lannister Season 8 Props: Odds Say She is Pregnant, Will Be Killed by Arya
• Odds Say Bran Stark is Not the Night King in Game of Thrones
• Game of Thrones Odds: Jon Snow Listed as Favorite to Kill the Ice Dragon
• Head-to-Head Odds to Perish 1st in Game of Thrones Season 8
• Jon Snow or Bran Stark? Odds to Rule Westeros at End of Game of Thrones Season 8
• Yara Greyjoy Favored to Perish First in Game of Thrones Season 8
• Cersei Favored to be First Lannister to Perish in Season 8 of Game of Thrones
• You Can Bet on the First & Last Person to Speak in Season 8 of Game of Thrones
• Odds Say Rhaegal Will Be First Dragon to Perish in Season 8 of Game of Thrones