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49ers vs Chiefs Same Game Parlay Predictions for Super Bowl 58

Ryan Metivier

by Ryan Metivier in NFL Football

Updated Feb 11, 2024 · 11:01 AM PST

Chiefs quarterback Patrick Mahomes dives into the end zone for an 8-yard touchdown
Chiefs quarterback Patrick Mahomes dives into the end zone for an 8-yard touchdown against the Bills Micah Hyde. The Chiefs won 42-36 in overtime.
  • Our 49ers vs Chiefs same-game parlay has four legs and comes in at +250 odds
  • Will both Harrison Butker and Jake Moody be called upon to make field goals on Sunday?
  • Read on for our 49ers vs Chiefs same game parlay picks below for Sunday’s Super Bowl

One of the most exciting ways to get in on the Super Bowl betting action is through same-game parlays or SGPs. By selecting various game and total lines, as well as alternate player prop totals, you can combine a whole bunch of outcomes into one bet. It’s what we’ve done here including bets on the spread, total, field goals and Patrick Mahomes for our 49ers vs Chiefs same game parlay.

Want to know more about how to bet NFL same game parlays? Click the link here to learn more about how to create yours.

49ers vs Chiefs Same Game Parlay Picks

SGP Picks Odds
Chiefs alternate spread +10.5 -475
Alternate total under 60.5 -565
Both teams to kick a field goal -240
Patrick Mahomes 5+ rush attempts -115
SGP PARLAY ODDS +250

Our 49ers vs Chiefs same game parlay has four legs with the Chiefs spread, the under, both teams kicking a field goal and Mahomes rushing the ball at least five times. These four legs come in at +250 odds.

Odds from the Bet365 sportsbook app. Find out more about one of the top sportsbooks in the industry and their SGP+ that allows you to combine multiple same-game parlays into one with our Bet365 review.

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49ers vs Chiefs SGP Picks: Chiefs Alternate Spread

Getting Patrick Mahomes as an underdog at any number is always a good bet. In fact, he is 10-1-1 ATS and 9-3 SU as a dog in his career and in the playoffs he’s 14-3 SU. So if you’re telling me I can now add a whole bunch of points to the Chiefs in the form of a teaser or an alternate spread in a Super Bowl same-game parlay and get the Chiefs up and over 10-point underdogs, well sign me up for that.

Kansas City has six losses this season and only one of those came by more than eight points, and it happened away in Denver with Mahomes dealing with the flu.

The 49ers have won by just three points in both playoff games, but also found themselves down by seven points in the third quarter versus the Packers and down 17 points at halftime to the Lions. So while I could certainly see a scenario where San Fran wins, I don’t think it will be by double-digits in the 49ers vs Chiefs picks.

  • 49ers vs Chiefs same game parlay picks: Chiefs +10.5 alternate total

49ers vs Chiefs SGP Picks: Alternate Total Under

Historical Super Bowl totals trends will show that the Over/Under has gone an equal 28-28, However, the Under is currently on a 4-1 run.

Kansas City has the most Unders in the NFL this season at 14-6, while also cashing the Under in five of their past six games.

San Francisco have skewed to the Over, but are just 2-2 in their last four.

Last year’s Super Bowl was a shootout with the Chiefs winning 38-35 (73 points). But previous Super Bowls totalled 43, 40, 51, 16, 74, 62, 34, 52 and 51 points in the last ten.

So with a current Super Bowl total of 47.5 points, the Under would’ve gone just 4-6. But if we up this on the alternate total line to say 60.5 points, we’re suddenly looking at 7-3.

Neither of these teams play at an overly fast pace of play. The 49ers average 60.7 plays per game (26th) while the Chiefs average 63.8 (14th). Kansas City’s offense lacks big play threats, with short passes to Rice, Kelce and even Pacheco out of the backfield. Meanwhile, the 49ers biggest weapon is running back Christian McCaffrey. This all lines up for a slower, lower-scoring game.

  • 49ers vs Chiefs same game parlay picks: Alternate total under 60.5 points

49ers vs Chiefs SGP Picks: Field Goals

I see this as a tight game and both teams bring in impressive defensive units. The Chiefs were 2nd in PPG allowed and 2nd in YPG allowed during the regular season. While the 49ers were 3rd in PPG allowed and 8th in YPG allowed.

Both have good enough offenses to still move the ball, but I see some of those drives stalling out and Andy Reid and Kyle Shanahan electing to kick field goals. With no weather concerns indoors, that won’t be a worry for either coach.

On the Chiefs side, kicker Harrison Butker was 33-35 in field goals and 38-38 in extra points during the regular season season. In the playoffs he’s been a spotless 7-7 in both. About as perfect a season as any kicker can have. Only one game did Butker not attempt a field goal and in the games where he did make at least one attempt, he only failed to have at least one completed field goal once. Finally, he’s completed six field goals of 50+ yards, including one for 60.

49ers’ rookie placekicker Jake Moody hasn’t been as perfect, but has still also had a solid year being 21-25 in field goals and 60-61 with extra points in the regular season. He has missed 2/5 field goals in the playoffs but is 7-7 on extra points.

There were four games where the 49ers didn’t attempt a kick, but in the games where Moody did attempt a kick, he had at least one field goal in 14/15 games. His longest kick on the year was 57 yards and he’s 3/5 from 50+ yards overall.

  • 49ers vs Chiefs same game parlay picks: Both teams over 0.5 field goals

49ers vs Chiefs SGP Picks: Mahomes Rush Attempts

Mahomes carried the ball six times in both the Conference Championship and Divisional Round playoff games. He only rushed for 2 and 4 carries in the games prior, but also had 10 carries on Christmas Day. Season-long, he’s had 5+ carries in 10/20 games.

Jared Goff didn’t rush the ball at all versus San Fran last week, but opposing quarterbacks have rushed against the 49ers five times or more in five of the seven games prior.

Furthermore, I can see Mahomes taking off for a few runs if the 49ers do a good job of covering Kelce and Rice and he elects to run for a few yards versus throwing to some of his more unreliable targets. And finally, If I’m leaning towards a Chiefs’ win, the game script could also see Kansas City up and with the ball late, which could mean Mahomes is taking a few kneel downs at the end which will count towards rushing attempts.

  • 49ers vs Chiefs same game parlay picks: Patrick Mahomes 5+ rushing attempts

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Get more Super Bowl 58 coverage from SBD here! 

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