Updated Super Bowl MVP Odds, Picks & Best Bet for Chiefs vs Eagles

• Who will win the 2025 Super Bowl MVP award on Sunday?
• It’s a tight race between Patrick Mahomes, Saquon Barkley and Jalen Hurts at the top of the leaderboard
• Below, see the full Super Bowl MVP odds and our expert picks

In football, and the Super Bowl MVP odds, Patrick Mahomes looms above all. The reigning two-time Super Bowl MVP is again the betting favorite to capture his third straight Super Bowl MVP, which more than likely means Kansas City hoists its historic third-straight Lombardi Trophy. Standing in their way are the Philadelphia Eagles, just slight 1.5-point underdogs in the Super Bowl odds, with Saquon Barkley and Jalen Hurts a big-time performance away from winning the franchise’s second Lombardi and the MVP accolades. Let’s look at the latest Super Bowl MVP odds as we determine the best bet and longshots to consider.

Super Bowl MVP 59 Odds

In the current Super Bowl MVP odds, Mahomes checks in as the +105 favorite, giving him a 40.8% implied chance to three-peat as the MVP winner. Quarterbacks have dominated the Super Bowl MVP award, winning it 33 times out of 58 Super Bowls . The last non-quarterback to win was wide receiver Cooper Kupp in 2022 (Super Bowl 56).

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Is Mahomes a Betting Lock to Win Super Bowl MVP?

Mahomes is already a living legend, even before potentially winning a third straight title.He’s led the Chiefs to three championships in five years, and his three MVPs over that span tops the legendary Tom Brady, who pulled three MVP trophies in seven years – his last one with the Buccaneers in a win over Mahomes.

But Mahomes is going to have to earn this one, as the Eagles bring the best defense to the table in Super Bowl 59. The Eagles have been ballhawks in these playoffs, with ten takeaways (and zero giveaways) in wins over the Packers, Rams and Commanders.

Philly allowed the second-fewest points during the regular season at 17.8 points per game, and owned the top passing defense, allowing 174.2 yards per game. The Eagles have bottled up the run in the playoffs, surrendering a miniscule 105.7 yards per contest.

Kansas City hasn’t had a great rush attack, with 50 yards against Houston and 135 against the Bills — though Mahomes added 43 yards and two scores on his own — so if he’s going to beat the Eagles, it’s likely he’s going to need to go through the teeth of that passing defense.

Super Bowl 59 MVP Candidates Worth Considering

If you believe the Eagles fly in the Super Bowl rematch, then it’s all but certain that either Hurts or Barkley (or both) light the Kansas City defense on fire.

Hurts was unreal in Super Bowl LVIII against these Chiefs, and had the Eagles pulled out the win instead of ending up on the wrong end of a 38-35 shootout, would have been the shoe-in MVP. He passed for 304 yards and a score, while rushing for 70 yards and three touchdowns.

Barkley, meanwhile, has been a home-run hitter for the Eagles. He’ll almost certainly surpass Terrell Davis for most rushing yards in a season (regular season and playoffs).

He’s gone for at least 118 yards in each playoff game, and he’s averaging a robust 6.7 yards per tote and touched paydirt five times.

Of course, they’re going against arguably the best defensive coordinator in football in Steven Spagnuolo, who isn’t going to just let Philly run wild.

There are other options down the board. Chiefs tight end Travis Kelce (+1500) could be in line for a monster performance.

Green Bay’s Tucker Craft, LA’s Tyler Higbee and Washington’s Zach Ertz have each led their team in receptions against the Eagles in the playoffs. Even at his age, Kelce is the most dynamic in this group, and easily Mahomes’ favorite target.

Philly finally unlocked AJ Brown (+3500) in the NFC Championship, as he had six grabs for 96 yards and a score, topping his three grabs for 24 yards in the previous two contests. If the KC gameplan is to make Hurts beat them with the pass, Brown should be heavily involved.

Recent Super Bowl MVP Winners

Deep longshots worth considering are defensive-line game wreckers. KC’s Chris Jones and Philly’s Jalen Carter are both sitting at +6600 odds. Both have the ability to destroy offensive schemes with their ability to pressure the QB, or blow up a run play.

They’re going to need to be Von Miller-level disruptive. The last defensive player to win Super Bowl MVP was a wrecking ball: six tackles, 2.5 sacks, two forced fumbles, two QB hurries and a pass defended in Denver’s SB Bowl win over Carolina.

Super Bowl 59 MPV Best Bet

Sorry to sound chalky, but this is Mahomes’ tittle to lose. Even in a year where the Chiefs have looked absolutely average, the combo of Andy Reid and his star pivot was the formula to pulling off a 15-2 season.

They’ve knocked down all comers, and really haven’t even played what would be classified as an A+ game. The crazy part is they might not even need to in New Orleans to win a third straight.

• Super Bowl MVP Prediction: Mahomes (+105)
• Best SB Longshot Prediction: Brown (+3500)

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