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Texans Fall Out of Top 10 Super Bowl Contenders After Bad Loss to Ravens

Robert Duff

by Robert Duff in NFL Football

Updated Mar 26, 2020 · 9:00 AM PDT

Deshaun Watson in the pocket
Following Sunday's 41-7 drubbing handed them by the Baltimore Ravens, the Houston Texans have fallen out of the top 10 contenders in the Super Bowl 54 odds. Photo by KA Sports Photos (flickr) [CC License]
  • After Sunday’s 41-7 rout by the Baltimore Ravens, the Houston Texans are out of the top-10 contenders in the Super Bowl 54 odds
  • Books list the Texans at +5000 to win the Super Bowl
  • Last week, Houston’s average odds to win the big game were +2233

Was Sunday’s 41-7 thrashing at the hands of the Baltimore Ravens just a bad week for the Houston Texans? Or, as former NFL coach Dennis Green once infamously expressed, are the Texans who we thought they were after that embarrassing loss?

Certainly, Houston’s Super Bowl odds reflect the latter position.

Books moved the Texans out of the top ten Super Bowl 54 contenders, listing them at odds of +5000.

Super Bowl 54 Odds

Team Odds
New England Patriots +250
Baltimore Ravens +550
New Orleans Saints +600
San Francisco 49ers +700
Green Bay Packers +1200
Kansas City Chiefs +1200
Minnesota Vikings +1600
Seattle Seahawks +1600
Dallas Cowboys +2000
Philadelphia Eagles +2500
Los Angeles Rams +3300
Oakland Raiders +4000
Houston Texans +5000
Indianapolis Colts +5000

Odds taken November 18th

Last week, Houston’s average Super Bowl odds were +2233. Books pegged the Texans at +2500 in their Super Bowl 54 future book.

Houston, We Have a Problem

How awful were the Texans on Sunday? Let’s count the ways.

Houston was shut out in the first half, the first time that’s ever happened with Deshaun Watson at quarterback. Watson didn’t pass for a single touchdown and was sacked six times.

He’s hit the turf 31 times this season, the most of any AFC QB. Watson is one of four QBs to be sacked at least 30 times this season. The other three – Jameis Winston of the Buccaneers (3-7), Daniel Jones of the Giants (2-8) and Kyler Murray of the Cardinals – have a combined record of 8-22-1.

In other words, good teams don’t allow their QB to be hit that much.

The Houston defense hadn’t allowed a 100-yard rusher in 25 games but Gus Edwards sliced and diced the Texans for 112 yards. Baltimore finished with 263 yards on the ground, an average of 7.3 yards per carry.

Sunday’s debacle emphasized how precarious Houston’s hold on a playoff position truly is at the moment. The 6-4 Texans are the #6 seed in the AFC but only because they hold the head-to-head tiebreaker over the 6-4 Oakland Raiders.

However, books are offering better odds on the Raiders (+4000) winning Super Bowl 54 than the Texans.

Well, It Was Pass Interference

Houston players and coach Bill O’Brien spent the post game grousing about a non-call, and they had a point. DeAndre Hopkins was interfered with in the end zone by Marlon Humphrey.

So the final score should’ve been 41-14. Not exactly a game changer.

This would be like sitting in one of the lifeboats from the Titanic and pointing out that the food on the ship wasn’t all that tasty. Even Congressional Republicans felt this was an effort to deflect attention from the real issue.

Out of The Frying Pan

Perhaps the most disturbing aspect of how easily Houston was manhandled by the Ravens is the fact that the Texans were coming off their bye week. They had two weeks to plan for Baltimore, and couldn’t accomplish a thing on either side of the ball.

There will be no such luxury this time around. The Texans face the 6-4 Indianapolis Colts on Thursday with leadership of the AFC South on the line. Indy’s already beaten Houston once this season, so a loss would virtually finish any hopes the Texans might hold of winning the division.

Houston’s erratic season is perhaps best emphasized in the bouncing ball that is this team’s Super Bowl odds. The Texans were +4100 on Oct. 11. By Oct. 20, they’d dropped to a season-low +1733.

Should you bet on the Texans to win Super Bowl 54?

No. Not now. Not ever.

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