Upcoming Match-ups

Opening SEC Week 1 Lines – See Spreads for All Seven Games

Jordan Horrobin

by Jordan Horrobin in College Football

Updated Mar 8, 2021 · 2:08 PM PST

Jacoby Stevens LSU
LSU safety JaCoby Stevens (7) and safety Maurice Hampton Jr. (14) celebrate after LSU stopped Florida on a fourth-and-goal at the 1-yard line during the first half of an NCAA college football game Saturday, Dec. 12, 2020, in Gainesville, Fla. (AP Photo/John Raoux)
  • The SEC opens its season with a seven-game slate on Saturday, Sept. 26th
  • Alabama, Georgia and Texas A&M are all 20-plus point favorites
  • Find all the opening point spreads, and early leans on the games within the story below

In just over a month, college football’s most dominant conference in recent history — the Southeastern Conference — will be back in earnest.

College football fans across the map likely have Saturday, Sept. 26 circled on their calendars, as that’s when the SEC will dive into its 10-game intra-conference slate.

Without further ado, here are the opening odds for those seven matchups, including three with spreads that are within two scores.

SEC Week 1 Opening Spreads and Odds

Team Spread
Alabama -21.5 (-105)
Missouri +21.5 (-115)
Team Spread
Georgia -24 (-110)
Arkansas +24 (-110)
Team Spread
Auburn -9 (-110)
Kentucky +9 (-110)
Team Spread
Florida -10.5 (-110)
Ole Miss +10.5 (-110)
Team Spread
LSU -18.5 (-110)
Mississippi State +18.5 (-110)
Team Spread
Tennessee -2 (-110)
South Carolina +2 (-110)
Team Spread
Texas A&M -28.5 (-110)
Vanderbilt +28.5 (-110)

 Odds taken Aug. 20th

Any of these lines can (and likely will) shift a bit in the coming weeks, based on injuries and other trends. For now, let’s take a closer look at some of the tightest spreads in the SEC.

What’s Up With Rocky Top?

The Tennessee Volunteers are favored in their road matchup against South Carolina, but by less than a field goal. What gives, for a team that finished strong in 2019 and is returning a boatload of players?

Tennessee went 8-5 last season, capping the campaign with a five-game win streak (which started with a win against South Carolina and finished with a bowl victory against Indiana). The Vols return eight starters apiece on offense and defense, including fifth-year senior quarterback Jarrett Guarantano.

Guarantano had an up-and-down season last year, but he at least has some stability now. For the first time in his college career, he’ll work with the same offensive coordinator and head coach in consecutive years.

South Carolina, meanwhile, went 4-8 last year and lost arguably their two most talented players in receiver Bryan Edwards and defensive tackle Javon Kinlaw.

The Gamecocks return only 11 total starters after closing last season with four losses in their last five.

Suffice to say, this slim point spread doesn’t sit right. In such a strange season, bettors should be encouraged by a veteran quarterback like Guarantano, who will be able to settle in quickly.

Pick: Tennessee, -2 (-110)

Florida In Flux vs Ole Miss

Who is going to catch passes for the Florida Gators this year? They still have a handful of weeks to figure that out, but right now the receiving corps is in a dangerous state.

A quartet of 2019 seniors graduated, and three current receivers have recently sat out of practice due to concerns over COVID-19. That leaves five other wideouts on scholarship, who accounted for exactly two catches in 2019.

Perhaps that helps explain why Florida, one of the SEC’s powers last year, is barely a two-score favorite over Ole Miss. The Rebels are beginning the Lane Kiffin Era this season, which of course is challenged by the limitations that the pandemic have placed on the off-season.

With question marks around its receivers, Florida will have to ask more of running back Dameon Pierce (54 carries, 5.6 yards/rush, four touchdowns last year), who becomes the starter for the first time.

This is still a game Florida should absolutely win, but for now it has the makings of a grind-it-out game for the Gators. Bettors should either take the points for Kiffin and Co., or await further news on Florida’s receiving situation.

Pick: Ole Miss, +10.5 (-110)

Does Auburn Have the Edge?

It appears the Auburn Tigers will be able to make use of their home field advantage this year, to some extent, after the school announced Wednesday that it will allow 20 percent stadium capacity — set aside exclusively for Auburn students.

The Tigers might need an edge like that, as they welcome Kentucky to town in their season opener. The Wildcats were a plucky 8-5 team last year (Auburn was 9-4) that rattled off four late wins in a row en route to a bowl victory.

Kentucky’s only road win, though, came against Vanderbilt. Not exactly awe-inspiring. They also had the worst passing offense in the SEC, and saw their most exciting offensive weapon (Lynn Bowden Jr.) move on to the NFL.

For Auburn, a dominant run-stopping team, Kentucky’s offensive tendencies are ideal. And yes, Auburn lost some big names to the NFL, but they return a few notable players as well — including first team All-SEC linebacker K.J. Britt.

Kentucky did not have a proven quarterback last year, and now they must turn to Terry Wilson (two touchdowns, 360 yards on 52 attempts in 2019). Meanwhile, Auburn puts the ball in the hands of Bo Nix, who set school records in yards and touchdowns as a freshman last season.

The matchup here is lopsided in Auburn’s favor, and bettors should take advantage.

Pick: Auburn, -9 (-110)

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