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Memorial Tournament at Muirfield 2023 Odds, Predictions & Picks

Michael Harrison

by Michael Harrison in Golf

Updated May 29, 2023 · 12:09 PM PDT

Patrick Cantlay throws a golf ball to his caddie
May 19, 2023; Rochester, New York, USA; Patrick Cantlay tosses a ball to his caddie on the third green during the second round of the PGA Championship golf tournament. Mandatory Credit: Aaron Doster-USA TODAY Sports
  • The Memorial Tournament from Dublin, Ohio tees off Thursday, June 1st
  • Scottie Scheffler is the +650 favorite over Jon Rahm
  • See the 2023 Memorial Tournament odds, picks, and best value bets below

The PGA Tour’s best convene for one of the top events of the year at the Memorial Tournament. This has been a staple venue on the calendar since 1976, with Jack Nicklaus hosting the championship. This season it’s been given designated event status, so the winner takes home $3.6 million, as opposed to Billy Horschel making $2.16M in 2022.

The top-five golfers on the planet are all competing, with Jon Rahm winning this prestigious tournament once and Patrick Cantlay taking it twice. Scottie Scheffler, who comes in with three straight top-5’s, is the betting favorite.

2023 Memorial Tournament Odds

Golfers Odds
Scottie Scheffler +650
Jon Rahm +700
Patrick Cantlay +1000
Rory McIlroy +1200
Xander Schauffele +1400
Viktor Hovland +1800
Collin Morikawa +2000
Justin Thomas +2500
Jason Day +2500
Jordan Spieth +2800
Tyrrell Hatton +2800
Cameron Young +2800
Hideki Matsuyama +3500
Matt Fitzpatrick +3500
Sungjae Im +3500
Sam Burns +4000
Rickie Fowler +4000
Corey Conners +4000
Shane Lowry +4500
Sahith Theegala +4500

Scheffler is the +650 favorite, having won twice this season at the WM Phoenix Open and the Players Championship. Rahm is right behind him, and he’s won this in 2020, then held a six-shot lead through 54 holes in 2021, only to be forced to withdraw due to a positive COVID-19 test. McIlroy, Cantlay and Schauffele round out the top-five golfers teeing it up at Muirfield Village Golf Club.

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Patrick Cantlay Thrives At This Tournament

Every time Patrick Cantlay steps foot on these grounds, he’s a threat to win the tournament. He’s done so twice in the past, having lifted trophies in the 2019 and 2021 iterations of the Memorial. In 2018, he was fourth (a shot out of a playoff), and Cantlay wound up tied for third last year. Suffice to say, his ‘strokes gained’ stats around this track are phenomenal.

Patrick Cantlay’s Strokes Gained Stats Last 24 Rounds at Memorial

Total Tee-To-Green Ball Striking Approach Off-The-Tee Short Game Putting
1 1 1 1 2 8 20

In Cantlay’s last twelve overall rounds, he ranks second in SG: off-the-tee, fourth in total strokes gained, fifth in ball striking and seventh in putting. He enters this week coming off a T-9th at the PGA Championship, his ninth straight result of T-21st or better. Getting him at +1000 odds, which is longer than the top-two on the board, is a bonus.

Past Five Memorial Tournament Winners

Year Winner
2022 Billy Horschel
2021 Patrick Cantlay
2020 Jon Rahm
2019 Patrick Cantlay
2018 Bryson DeChambeau

2023 Memorial Tournament Picks and Value Bets

  1. Justin Thomas (+2500): Though Justin Thomas hasn’t had the year he’d have envisioned, these odds are very enticing. Had he been in form, they’d have been slashed to perhaps lower than +1000. It’s not as if his game has fallen off a cliff either, as he has eight top-25’s in his last eleven starts. JT has had success at this track in the past, dropping a playoff at this venue in 2020 (Workday Open), along with a pair of top-10’s at the Memorial.
  2. Hideki Matsuyama (+3500): Hideki Matsuyama has won here in 2014, and he’s posted two other top-6’s. He also comes in with some decent form, racking up top-30’s in his last five stroke play tournaments. He ranks fifth in SG: tee-to-green in the last three events.
  3. Adam Scott (+5500): Adam Scott has quietly put together some strong performances, with back-to-back top 10’s, followed by a top-30 at the PGA Championship. In his last twelve rounds, he ranks third in putting and seventh in total strokes gained. Scott has been a runner-up here in the past (2019), which was one of his four top-5’s at Muirfield Village. He’ll be an interesting name in the top 10/20 markets.

 

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