Blue Jays vs Mariners Odds, Picks, and Probable Pitchers (August 13)
- The Toronto Blue Jays are -165 road favorites over the Seattle Mariners on Friday (August 13th, 10:10 pm ET)
- Robbie Ray (9-5, 2.90 ERA) will start for Toronto, while Seattle will counter with Chris Flexen (10-5, 3.81 ERA)
- Read below for odds, analysis and a betting prediction
A pair of teams in the Wild Card hunt square off on Friday (August 13th) as the Toronto Blue Jays visit the Seattle Mariners. The Jays will start the weekend 2.5 games back of Boston for the final AL playoff spot, while the M’s are currently 4.5 games behind the Red Sox.
First pitch is scheduled for 10:10 pm ET inside T-Mobile Park.
Blue Jays vs Mariners Odds
| Team | Moneyline | Runline | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Toronto Blue Jays | -165 | -1.5 (+100) | O 8.5 (-105) |
| Seattle Mariners | +145 | +1.5 (-120) | U 8.5 (-115) |
Odds as of August 12th at DraftKings.
Toronto opened up as a -165 moneyline favorite, in a game that features a total of 8.5. The two clubs have met three times this season, with Seattle holding a 2-1 advantage.
Probable Pitchers
The Mariners will give the ball to former KBO star Chris Flexen for the 22nd time this season. The right-hander leads the club with 10 wins, but has dropped two of his past three decisions. Last time out, he coughed up eight hits and three runs (including two homers) to the Yankees, and two starts ago was tagged for seven runs by the Astros.
Ray vs Flexen
| 9-5 | Record | 10-5 |
| 2.90 | ERA | 3.81 |
| 1.07 | WHIP | 1.28 |
| .213 | OBA | .277 |
| 4.5 | SO/W Ratio | 3.3 |
He’s faced the Blue Jays once this season, and while he kept the ball in the ballpark, he allowed 10 baserunners in only 5 innings of work.
Despite his impressive win total, Flexen has issued a .277 average to opposing batters, and a 34% hard hit rate. Those numbers won’t translate to success against Toronto, who lead the league in slugging and OPS, and rank third in runs per game.
Springer since the All-Star break:
🔹 .350 AVG
🔹 1.226 OPS
🔹 24 RBI
🔹 ELEVEN #TBJHomers 😳 pic.twitter.com/6hNBHgZUbp— Toronto Blue Jays (@BlueJays) August 12, 2021
Both George Springer and Vladimir Guerrero Jr. have hit Flexen hard this season, while Guerrero has a 1.079 OPS versus righties this season.
The Blue Jays will counter with Robbie Ray, who’s surrendered two or fewer runs in six of his past seven starts. Last time out, he shutout Boston over 6 innings, scattering two hits and striking out five. He’s in the best stretch of his career since 2017 in Arizona, and owns Toronto’s only win over Seattle this season.
Batting Average vs Starting Pitchers
| Blue Jays Batters | Batting Average vs Flexen | Mariners Batters | Batting Average vs Ray |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bo Bichette | .000 | Abraham Toro | 1.000 |
| Randal Grichuk | .333 | Mitch Haniger | .750 |
| Vladimir Guerrero Jr. | 1.000 | Kyle Seager | .000 |
| Lourdes Gurriel Jr. | .500 | Ty France | .500 |
| Teoscar Hernandez | .500 | J.P. Crawford | .500 |
| Marcus Semien | .333 | Jake Fraley | .000 |
| George Springer | .400 | Tom Murphy | .400 |
Back on June 29th, he struck out 10 Mariner batters over 6 innings, en route to a 9-3 victory
Blue Jays vs Mariners Pick
Seattle may have won three of its past four, but its bats have been very quiet. They’ve produced three runs or less in six of their past eight, and rank below league average in runs, OBP and slugging. The Mariners have posted a lower runs per game, batting average, and OPS at home this season than on the road, and will likely struggle to find success against the red-hot Ray.
#WeAreBlueJays Robbie Ray: Last 13 starts
ERA 2.30
Opponents AVG. .201
WHIP 1.03
99 strikeouts in 78.1 IP pic.twitter.com/GdV5bu8RsA— Sportsnet Stats (@SNstats) August 7, 2021
The Blue Jays meanwhile, have the third highest run differential in all of baseball, and boast power bats up and down their lineup. They’re one day removed from hanging 10 runs on the LA Angels, and with a favorable matchup versus Flexen on deck, we should expect another strong offensive output.
Pick: Toronto Blue Jays Moneyline (-165)
As SBD's resident Swiss Army Knife, Chris covers virtually every sport including NFL, PGA, NBA, MLB, NCAAB, NCAAF and the Olympics. A true grinder, he'd rather pick off small edges in the player props market than swing for the fences with a 5-leg parlay.
