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Diamondbacks vs Angels Predictions, Odds & Starting Pitchers (July 1)

Chris Amberley

by Chris Amberley in MLB Baseball

Updated Jun 30, 2023 · 5:01 PM PDT

Shohei Ohtani home run trot.
Jun 29, 2023; Anaheim, California, USA; Los Angeles Angels designated hitter Shohei Ohtani (17) is greeted by third base coach Bill Haselman (82) after hitting a two run home run against the Chicago White Sox during the ninth inning at Angel Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Gary A. Vasquez-USA TODAY Sports
  • Los Angeles is a -145 moneyline favorite in Saturday’s Diamondbacks vs Angels odds
  • Ryne Nelson (4-4, 4.97 ERA) toes the rubber for Arizona, while LA counters with Tyler Anderson (4-2, 5.54 ERA)
  • Don’t miss the latest Diamondbacks vs Angels predictions, odds, and starting pitching analysis below

As good as Shohei Ohtani has been in June, not even his heroics have been able to save the Angels (44-39, 22-18 home) from mediocrity. Ohtani broke the LA franchise record for most home runs in a month this week with his 14th homer in June, but the Angels still dropped that game to fall to 3-6 in their last nine outings entering the weekend.

Online sportsbooks are expecting a rebound for Ohtani and Co. on Saturday versus the NL West-leading Diamondbacks (48-34, 24-14 away), as they pegged Los Angeles as home chalk in the MLB odds.

Diamondbacks vs Angels Odds

Team Moneyline Runline Total
Arizona Diamondbacks +125 +1.5 (-155) O 9 (-115)
Los Angeles Angels -145 -1.5 (+135) U 9 (-105)

LA is currently a -145 moneyline favorite, in a contest with a total of 9. First pitch is scheduled for 10:07 pm ET at Angel Stadium in Los Angeles, CA, with clear skies, and 75-degree game-time temperatures on deck.

 

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Arizona vs Los Angeles Probable Pitchers

Neither the Angles or D-Backs are viewed as serious contenders in the World Series odds, despite Arizona leading its division. As it stands, LA is a game and a half out of a Wild Card berth, but trail both Texas and Houston in the AL West.

The Angels will give the ball to Tyler Anderson on Saturday, who’s put together back-to-back solid starts, after a horrific stretch. Anderson held Colorado to four hits and three runs in 6 innings last time out at Coors Field, striking out nine. His previous outing was a 5 inning performance at KC, holding the Royals to two runs.

Both of those outings were against lousy lineups, with far less dangerous hitters than the Diamondbacks feature. Anderson didn’t fare so well when he faced a step up in competition earlier in the month, allowing a total of 15 runs in 15 innings to the Rangers, Cubs and White Sox combined.

The lefty has plenty of history with the Arizona regulars in the MLB starting lineups, and for the most part, they’ve had his number. Current D-Backs are slashing .273/.310/.480 lifetime versus Anderson, with 19 extra-base hits in 150 at-bats.

Nelson vs Anderson Stats

Ryne Nelson
VS
Tyler Anderson
4-4 Record 4-2
4.97 ERA 5.54
1.45 WHIP 1.54
.285 OBA .283
2.1 SO/W Ratio 1.8

The Diamondbacks will counter with Ryne Nelson, who like Anderson is searching for consistency. The 25-year-old was fantastic last time out, holding the Giants to three hits and one run over 7 innings. The previous two starts were nowhere near as impressive, as he coughed up 16 hits and eight runs combined to the Brewers and Phillies.

Nelson posted phenomenal numbers in limited action as a rookie last season, but hasn’t been able to replicate that success in 2023. He’s yielding a .285/.338/.469 slash line to enemy hitters so far, and now has to deal with Ohtani and Mike Trout, two of the AL’s top bats.

Diamondbacks vs Angels Predictions

Offense certainly hasn’t been Los Angeles’ issue during this run of mediocrity. They’re fresh off crossing the plate 12 times in their last two games, but lost both outings. They’re averaging 5.5 runs over the last two weeks, boasting a .284/.361/.529 slash line.

Ohtani, the runaway favorite in the AL MVP odds, has smacked seven home runs during that stretch, while Trout and Brandon Drury have clubbed three and four apiece. All three hitters, plus Hunter Renfroe, have a wOBA north of .400 over the last two weeks, but it’s tough to win a lot games when your pitching staff is struggling.

LA hurlers have coughed up 35 runs over the past seven games, including 20 to the White Sox in their last two outings.

The D-Backs meanwhile, are slugging .271/.339/.444 over the last 14 days, and escaped a major injury scare on Thursday. NL ROY odds leader Corbin Carroll left Arizona’s game with a shoulder injury, but it was deemed to be minimal by the end of the night. Carroll leads the D-Backs in WAR and OPS, while also slugging a team-high 17 home runs.

Arizona ranks top-six in OPS so far this season, and is one of only six teams who average north of five runs per game (the Angels being another).

The Diamondbacks have seen 60% of their road tilts go over the total this season, and given the quality of these two lineups, plus the inconsistency of both starters, I like a high-scoring result on Saturday as well.

Pick: Over 9 (-115)

 

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