Diamondbacks vs Phillies Player-Prop Picks & Predictions for Game 7

• The Arizona Diamondbacks vs Philadelphia Phillies Game 7 goes tonight at Citizens Bank Park at 8:07 pm ET.
• After both dazzled in Game 3 of the NLCS, Brandon Pfaadt and Ranger Suarez get their second starts of the series in Game 7
• Below, see the DBacks vs Phillies Game 7 player props, picks, and predictions on Oct. 24

A dominant 5-1 victory on Monday night by the Arizona Diamondbacks (92-81, 46-42 away) forced a Game 7 in the 2023 NLCS with the Philadelphia Phillies (97-76, 55-33 home) on Tuesday night at Citizens Bank Park in Philadelphia. Both teams are turning to their number-three starters in a pitching rematch from Game 3: rookie Brandon Pfaadt starts for the Diamondbacks while Ranger Suarez gets the ball for the Phillies.

The MLB odds for Game 7 opened with Philadelphia as a -166 favorite and that line has, somewhat surprisingly, only shortened over the past 12 hours.

Arizona Diamondbacks vs Philadelphia Phillies Game 7 Odds

The Phillies are now -175 moneyline favorites to advance in the MLB playoff bracket while the DBacks come back as +145 underdogs. The game total of 8.5 remains unchanged from the ARI vs PHI Game 7 opening  odds.

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Odds as of Oct. 24 at DraftKings. Check out SBD’s DraftKings review to claim a sign-up bonus for the MLB playoffs.

Philadelphia, which had been the outright favorite in the World Series odds over the past few days, is now a +218 second-favorite to the Texas Rangers with Arizona sitting at +415 on average.

Despite both Game 7 starting pitchers shining in their previous appearance in the series, the MLB props for Game 7 list both hurlers with relatively low over/unders.

Diamondbacks vs Phillies Game 7 Player Props

Last Thursday, Pfaadt tossed 5.2 scoreless innings while striking out nine and allowing just two hits and no walks during Arizona’s much-needed 2-1 walk-off victory, which prevented the DBacks from falling in a 3-0 hole in the best-of-seven series. Suarez was just as effective on the other side, pitching 5.1 innings of shutout ball with seven Ks, three hits, and a walk.

Pfaadt’s first postseason start was a disaster – three runs on seven hits over just 2.2 innings at Milwaukee – but he’s now thrown 10 straight scoreless innings including a NLDS-clinching Game 3 against the LA Dodgers.

Suarez is in the midst of one of the best stretches of baseball in his four-plus-year career, especially as a starter. In three playoff starts, he’s surrendered just one run (earned or unearned) on seven hits over 14.0 innings while striking out 13 and walking just two batters. All the more impressive is that the first two of those starts came against Atlanta’s record-setting offense, which posted a league-high OPS of .845 in the regular season.

On the hitting side, Ketel Marte is the biggest storyline. Playing in his first postseason at the ripe age of 30, Marte has tied the National League record for consecutive playoff games with a hit to start a career (15), equalling Marquis Grissom’s record. Marte is currently -265 to record a hit in Game 7 and set a new record in the process.

The shortest home run odds belong to a trio of Phillies: Kyle Schwarber at +240, Trea Turner at +320, and Bryce Harper at +330. Texas slugger Adolis Garcia currently leads the playoffs with seven homers, while Harper, Schwarber, and Nick Castellanos are tied for the National League lead with five each.

DBacks vs Phillies Game 7 Predictions

Suarez’s over/under strikeout number is wildly low. Yes, he was held to just two Ks over five innings against the Braves on Oct. 12, but he literally recorded at least three strikeouts in every single regular-start he made this season (all 22 of them). He’s also been a better strikeout pitcher at home throughout his career (214 Ks in 229.2 innings at home versus 195 Ks in 224.1 innings on the road). Coming off a scoreless seven-strikeout performance last Thursday, Suarez should have no issues getting to three Ks tonight. (Notably, FanDuel’s line on Suarez recording at least three Ks is -220, considerably shorter than DraftKings’ -180 number.)

The only member of the DBacks who’s had sustained success against Suarez over the past few seasons is, you guessed it, Marte, who is 8-for-18 lifetime against the Phillies lefty with two doubles and zero strikeouts.

Though the confidence-level is lower, I also like Pfaadt to go over 4.5 Ks, which bettors can get at +124 at FanDuel (instead of +110 at DK). Up and down during the regular season, the rookie appears to have found his footing, containing two of the most-dangerous lineups in baseball in two high-pressure starts over the past ten days. Pfaadt also finished the regular season by recording at least six Ks in three straight starts. Only Trea Turner and Brandon Marsh managed a hit of Pfaadt in Game 3, and the former is going to join Marte in today’s hitter parlay.

ARI vs PHI Game 7 Picks:

• Suarez over 2.5 Ks (-180)
• Pfaadt over 4.5 Ks (+124 at FanDuel)
• Trea Turner & Ketel Marte both over 0.5 hits (-125 parlay at FanDuel)