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Jacob deGrom’s Cy Young Odds Already Surge Further Ahead of Bauer

Robert Duff

by Robert Duff in MLB Baseball

Mar 26, 2021 · 6:37 PM PDT

New York Mets starting pitcher Jacob deGrom throwing a pitch during a MLB game.
New York Mets starting pitcher Jacob deGrom throws during the first inning of a spring training baseball game against the Washington Nationals, Sunday, March 21, 2021, in West Palm Beach, Fla. (AP Photo/Lynne Sladky)
  • The NL Cy Young Award odds on New York Mets ace Jacob deGrom have shortened from +500 to +388
  • Meanwhile, the betting line on reigning NL Cy Young Award winner Trevor Bauer lengthened from +700 to +725
  • Bauer (2020) and deGrom (2018, 2019) have captured the past three NL Cy Youngs

Jacob deGrom is dealing in spring training. Forget for a moment, though, about the movement on his fastball.

Check out deGrom’s movement in the National League Cy Young Award race. In early February, the New York Mets ace was listed at an average of +500 in the Cy Young odds. Today, his betting line has shortened to +388.

Meanwhile, Trevor Bauer of the Los Angeles Dodgers saw his average Cy Young odds length from +700 to +725 over the same time frame.

Bauer (2020) and deGrom (2018, 2019) have won the past three NL Cy Young Awards.

2021 NL Cy Young Award Odds

Pitcher (Team) Odds at DraftKings
Jacob deGrom (Mets) +425
Trevor Bauer (Dodgers) +700
Max Scherzer (Nationals) +950
Walker Buehler (Dodgers) +1000
Yu Darvish (Padres) +1200
Aaron Nola (Phillies) +1200
Blake Snell (Padres) +1200
Luis Castillo (Reds) +1500
Jack Flaherty (Cardinals) +1500
Max Fried (Braves) +1700
Clayton Kershaw (Dodgers) +2000
Stephen Strasburg (Nationals) +2000

Odds as of March 26th.

Jacob Climbs The Ladder

The sensational spring training being enjoyed by deGrom continued in his most recent outing on March 21st against the Washington Nationals. The right-hander threw 4.2 shutout innings while allowing just three hits, two walks, and striking out five.

His fastball was once again averaging as high as 99 to 100 mph. deGrom’s slider stopped the radar gun at 95 mph.


The Mets ace shows three wins for the spring.  He’s fanned 21 through 13.2 innings pitched. deGrom also displays a 0.66 WHIP and an identical 0.66 ERA.

Instead of a second spring start against the Nats on Friday, the Mets opted to pitch deGrom in a simulated game. He’s slated to start opening day against Washington. Mets manager Luis Rojas didn’t want to give the Nationals another look at deGrom before that start.

Bauer’s Different Spin

A new MLB rule regarding foreign substances on pitches seems to be aimed directly at Bauer. On Wednesday, MLB revealed that it would be seeking to crack down on the use of foreign substances by pitchers.

Methods that will be deployed in order to decipher the cheaters will be via the analysis of a random sampling of baseballs, surprise inspections and spin-rate analysis. Last season, as he won the NL Cy Young with the Cincinnati Reds, Bauer slyly admitted that he’d discovered the secret of how the Houston Astros pitchers were able to increase their spin rate.

In 2020, Bauer’s spin rate on his pitches increased significantly.

Bauer clearly put a target on his back by leaving the Reds to sign a three-year free-agent deal with the Dodgers. The reigning NL Cy Young Award winner joining the reigning World Series champions. Can you say pressure under a massive spotlight?

deGrom Is The Man

It’s worth noting that Bauer’s outstanding 2020 campaign came during an unusual 60-game season. Would he have maintained that pace over 162 games?

On the other hand, deGrom has put together three brilliant seasons. He finished third in NL Cy Young balloting last year, just missed on joining Greg Maddux and Randy Johnson as the only pitchers in history to win three consecutive Cy Young Awards.

On paper the Mets look to have their best team in over a decade. Pete Alonso has rediscovered his home-run stroke. Francisco Lindor’s presence bulks up their offense.

deGrom ranked near the bottom of starting pitchers in run support in both 2018 (3.53) and 2019 (4.16), his two Cy Young Award-winning campaigns.

Imagine how dominant he’ll be if the Mets start scoring runs?

Pick: Jacob deGrom (+425).

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